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The ground staff at Yarmouth are watering in order to maintain the current good to firm going. With conditions set to be pretty fast, it could be prudent to side with horses that are proven in dryer conditions. Liam Bramall has picked out three runners on Tuesday evening who have good records on the current going. When you combine these runners they form a nicely priced 54-1 treble. Check out our free tips page for content across all British and Irish racing.
It’s no surprise that Franco Grasso (4-5, bet365) is an extremely short price in this race. He’s the only horse in the four-runner field to have won a race. That win came here on good to firm ground and he has a record of a victory and a place in three starts in these conditions. As he needed every yard of the extended 1m3f that day, the step up to 1m6f looks likely to suit. A 66 per cent win/place strike-rate is certainly healthy albeit with a small pool of data to pick from. The handicapper showed leniency when only putting him up by a pound and he should be winning again.
Twelfth Knight (9-4, William Hill) won his maiden in the style of a smart horse over course and distance last time out. It was a comfortable victory with a winning margin of two-and-a-half lengths. There was plenty to like about that effort which was his one and only start on good to firm ground. He makes his handicap debut off a mark of 79 on just his fourth run and it seems to be well within the gelding’s capabilities to win here for the second time.
Strawberry Jack (17-2, William Hill) is the outsider of this five-runner field. This fact can’t be based on his record when the ground is good to firm. In 15 starts on the current going, he has won twice and placed a further seven times. Added to this, he’s currently very well handicapped despite some below par efforts recently. His last handicap win came at Bath last May off 73 and his current rating is a pound lower than that mark. He’s entitled to improve for his seasonal debut last time and the stats imply his chances are better than the prices suggests.
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