Doncaster Sky Bet Chase trends: JP McManus horse fits the bill at a big price 💚 💛

JP McManus

The Sky Bet Chase is a Listed handicap run over 3m at Doncaster Racecourse. Alan King, Paul Nicholls and David Pipe have historically done well in the race but it is generally a wide open affair. It is a race that doesn’t suit favourite backers with just two favourites winning in the last 16 runnings.

Last year, Takingrisks won the race at odds of 40-1 and you have to do just that when betting in this race, take risks. Here at myracing.com we look back at recent renewals and we will dissect the key stats to take into account when looking for the 2022 winner.

Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
New customers only. T&Cs apply. 18+. begambleaware.org #ad
ladbrokes
Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4x £5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&Cs apply.

Sky Bet Chase Key Trends

  • 15 of the last 16 had never won more than three times over fences.
  • 13 of the last 16 carried 11st 2lb or less to victory.
  • 13 of the last 16 were rated 130 or higher.
  • 13 of the last 16 had won over 3m or further over fences.
  • 12 of the last 16 were aged nine-year-old or younger.
  • 11 of the last 16 returned at odds of 9-1 or shorter in the betting.
  • 10 of the last 16 runnings had unplaced favourites.
  • 10 of the last 16 winners were bred in Ireland.
  • 9 of the last 16 carried 10st 12lb or less.
  • 9 of the last 16 had a race in the last four weeks.
  • 9 of the last 16 finished unplaced last time out.

What horses fit the bill?

CANELO (14-1) is by far the most likely winner of the race according to the trends. He ticks the majority of the boxes and it would be no surprise to see a late flurry of money come for the JP McManus-owned runner. The nine-year-old son of Mahler had a disappointing 2021 but he always runs well at Doncaster. He won a novice hurdle here in the past and ran well from higher marks in handicap company here over fences. A bounce back to form is highly likely.

ROCCO (40-1) can’t be ignored at his current odds as he falls in behind Canelo at second place in the trends order. Nigel Twiston-Davies won this race three years ago with Go Conquer and there’s no way this boy should be the price he is. He was prominent when making an awful blunder at Cheltenham in December so that run can be forgiven. Prior to that he won a Listed chase at Wincanton off 134, staying on strongly in the closing stages and is only 3lb higher in the weights now.


If you back any of our selections you can watch them live on the free Racing Post app or racingpost.com. Simply log in to one of your bookmaker accounts and click ‘Watch live’ on the racecards.

Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
New customers only. T&Cs apply. 18+. begambleaware.org #ad
ladbrokes
Get £20 In Free Bets When You Bet £5
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4x £5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Please Gamble Responsibly