5.30pm Goodwood Tips & Betting Preview 28/07/2015

Race Time: 5.30pm MeetingGlorious Goodwood Distance: 6f
Full Race Name Kish Armstrong Memorial EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race)

We hope she doesn’t take this as an insult but for a relatively small yard, local trainer Amanda Perrett keeps getting a mention in our articles and appears to have arranged a pretty strong team for this meeting with more chances tan we ever expected on day one alone. Five year old gelding Czech It Out (9/1) is all set to carry top weight of ten stone today with Pat Dobbs all set to ride the son of Oratorio. At the risk of misreading the situation, we would hazard a guess that this has been the long term plan ever since he ran on strongly here over a furlong less back in May despite bring unfancied in the market at odds of 16/1.

Only put up five pounds for that comfortable win he may well be a good few pounds lower than his true abilities, and as he has more course experience than the opposition combined (five course runs form just eight career outings), he would come out as a very serious consideration come race day once we all see the final field and prices of course. Hertfordshire handler Ed De Giles trains one of only two others who won last time out in the shape of Wind In My Sails (16/1), a three year old who scored at Leicester in a seven furlong maiden, though that was his ninth race so we can’t be getting too excited. It is possible that he has finally seen the light but more likely that was a weak race, and frankly we would be more than a touch surprised if he was good enough even off a lowly rating of 77.

Hannington (10/1) seems far more interesting to us with Andrew Balding back among the winners lately and rock solid consistent form to his name. Last gasp wins at Lingfield and Ascot have book ended a couple of fourths at Bath and Windsor, but he still wasn’t beaten tat far and these are competitive handicaps.  Kieran Shoemark is back in the saddle as he was in both those victories, and claims a vey useful five pounds as well to reduce his weight still further, though he is not to be backed by the faint hearted – his late slate style of winning will need precise timing to the split second as well as luck in running – so not at too short a price thank you very much.

Everyone will have noticed the form this season of the Richard Fahey trained Third Time Lucky (6/1) who has already won three races this season as well as finishing runner up to Muffri’Ha at Lingfield when last seen in action. That was over seven furlongs on faster going and things all happened a bit too quick for him that day, but he ran on after the race was won, and should be a lot happier upped in trip and on this slower surface. He has gone up an unlucky thirteen pounds for his winning sequence which will not make his life any easier that’s for sure, but his yard are more than clever enough to squeeze a bit more improvement out of him and he won’t be going down without a fight we assure you.

Each way fans will be salivating at a race like this with a likely place one two three four, and we suggest they may at least have a look at Aqua Ardens (25/1) who had some decent winning form last year despite two lacklustre efforts so far in 2015. At the age of seven there is good reason to think that maybe he will have needed both runs to put him straight for his seasonal targets, in which case he comes here overpriced for as horse with a one from three Goodwood record but who may well be better at a furlong less – a big price and a big chance maybe, but remember those nagging doubts.


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