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The Jersey Stakes (Group 3)
- Royal Ascot
Always a very competitive Group 2, won in 2016 by Ribchester. The intermediate seven furlong trip is a difficult one, pairing together both six furlong horses trying to stretch out and horses who don’t quite get a truly run mile. Read on for our Jersey Stakes Tips and Betting Preview.
IN SUMMARY: This looks one of the clashes of the meeting as Dream Castle and LE BRIVIDO go head to head. The Godolphin horse’s form ties in well with Barney Roy who gave it a boost winning the St James’s Palace Stakes but he is a typical buzzy Frankel and the atmosphere of Royal Ascot could be his undoing. The French challenger was just caught in the French 2000 Guineas so this step down in trip looks perfect. Escobar may be the best of the rest.
1 BACCHUS – Brian Meehan trained gelding, who won on his penultimate start at Newbury in April in handicap company and a further five pound rise was not enough to stop him running another respectable race over C&D in May to finish third. This however is a big step up in class and far more is needed if he’s to be troubling the principles, regardless of the form he is in. Unlikely to land a blow in this sort of company.
2 BARRINGTON – Won on his second start at Windsor in novice company and he has been outclassed in two runs since in pattern company, last seen at Newbury where he was sixth, beaten around eight lengths. Hard to see him playing any sort of role in this and he’s passed over with complete confidence.
3 BEAT THE BANK – Unbeaten in two runs for Andrew Balding, winning a Dundalk maiden for the Bunyan yard before a good victory in Conditions company at Newmarket in April, creating a good impression under today’s jockey, Oisin Murphy. Conditions are to suit and this looks to be his optimum trip at present, with him falling into the ‘could be anything’ category at present. He clearly is progressive and although this is his toughest challenge yet, he still remains with potential and could be an each way contender at a good price.
4 CHESSMAN – Won on debut at Kempton in impressive style and although he has run well in two subsequent handicaps and is far from fully exposed, he still looks outclassed in this company for John Gosden. He’s likely to be coming fast and late which could see him snatching a place as he should get a strong pace he wants, so he can’t be fully discounted under Andrea Atzeni, though he is an unlikely winner.
5 DABAN – Smart filly for John Gosden who ran her best race yet when finishing a good third in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket in May, wide throughout and rallying well after a very poor beginning. Clearly classy enough to win a race like this on that evidence and the ground is firmly in his favour, with a drop to seven furlongs another likely plus for the daughter of Acclamation. She still remains with potential and should have her say in the finish for a yard in brilliant form at present. Respected.
6 DREAM CASTLE – Son of Frankel who finished second in the Greenham on his second start at Nebwury in April (form franked when winner Barney Roy landed the St James’s Palace Stakes) before a good fifth in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket, unlucky not to finish closer after a poor passage at numerous points. Back into Group 3 company he commands total respect as that piece of form sets the standard and he still remains with potential for better with Josephine Gordon taking the ride. Likely to go very close for Saeed Bin Suroor and needs to be considered.
7 ESCOBAR – Looked to have huge amounts of potential after winning both his first two runs for Hugo Palmer and he clearly wasn’t right on his final two year old start when well beaten in the Somerville Stakes. He returned this season in good heart when second in a Listed race at Sandown and although more is needed, he should come on for the seasonal reappearance and he remains with potential for better. Possible place contender for Pat Smullen and has to be respected.
8 GLASTONBURY SONG – Won two of his first three starts for Ger Lyons before a fourth in the Irish 2000 Guineas when last seen, as good an effort as could have been expected with the ground against him on that occasion. A return to better ground will undoubtedly help, but others have achieved more in previous runs and it’s hard to see him making a big impact unless he resumed on a progressive curve. Outside each way possibilities but wouldn’t be the highest on the list.
9 LE BRIVIDO – French raider for Andre Fabre who nearly tasted Group 1 success on only his third start when headed in the final stride in the Poule d’Essai des Poulains (French Guineas) at Deauville in May. That form sees him as the one to beat as he remains with potential for better and has his jockey Pierre-Charles Boudot over for the ride. The better ground will be of no concern for the three year old son of Siyouni and he’s likely to go one better.
10 MUBTASIM – Finished a close third over the six furlongs here on his penultimate start in the Group 3 Pavilion Stakes, though failed to back that up when well beaten in the Sandy Lane at Haydock subsequently. This is his first attempt at the seven furlong trip and it needs to prompt marked improvement if he’s to be playing a role in this, which looks unlikely. William Haggas’ yard continues in good form, but this one is unlikely to add to his tally.
11 PARFAIT – First time cheekpieces worked wonders eleven days ago when he stormed clear in a handicap at Newmarket by seven lengths unchallenged, but this is far tougher company and an uncontested lead in this is simply very unlikely. He is exposed compared to most and his form is much weaker than some of his rivals ahead of him in the market, so it’s hard to see him playing any more than a possible pace angle under William Buick.
12 SIR DANCEALOT – Won three times as a two year old for David Elsworth but he has been poor in two runs this season for connections, only able to muster up fifth in the Pavilion Stakes here over the six back in May. He was behind Mubtasim on that occasion and a turnaround is unlikely though he should appreciate the step up to seven furlongs.That said, he would be a surprise inclusion in the placings with his form simply not good enough this season.
13 SOLOMON’S BAY – Won a Listed race at Epsom earlier this month despite not looking to handle the track particularly well, though it was a weak looking race compared to this and the form is up for debate. He’s clearly in good heart though and runs for the in form Roger Varian team, so he couldn’t be ruled out of the placings now returned to a flat track if back in the same form again, though that is far from guaranteed.
14 SPIRIT OF VALOR – Decent two year old for Aidan O’Brien who finished second in a Group 3 on his third career start, though he has failed to build on that and his eighth in the 2000 Guineas was only ‘okay’. More is needed on that evidence and although this is his easiest assignment for a while, he would still be a surprise winner as a turnaround with Dream Castle looks extremely unlikely. Frame claims but may just be pushed out of the placings.
15 SUTTER COUNTY – Won a Goodwood Handicap on his penultimate start and it’s unfair to judge him on his latest start as the track at Epsom clearly didn’t suit him. He does however have more on his plate now upped in to Group 2 company, with that form not likely enough to see him hitting the frame under James Doyle. More exposed than most and unlikely to land a blow.
16 TAAMOL – The classic model of a Sir Michael Stoute horse, being brought along slowly. He posted a career best on his latest start to win the King Charles II Stakes at Newmarket in May, a game effort to lead late on. He remains with potential for better after only four runs and more improvement is likely. He was idling close home so there should be more to come and he’s an each way contender under Jim Crowley.
17 TOP SCORE – Ran a good race on his penultimate start when finishing seventh in the 2000 Guineas, keeping on well but never able to challenge. He was however behind Dream Castle that day who was hampered at several stages and his subsequent sixth at Goodwood in handicap company was disappointing. Hard to rule him out for the placings under Olivier Peslier but he’s an unlikely winner.
18 TRUE VALOR – Hasn’t been disgraced the last twice for the Johnny Murtagh yard, finishing third in a Listed race at Epsom when last seen. That form is nowhere near enough to see him competitive in this but there remains a suspicion he can do better in time, so although he is unlikely to get involved in this, he is one to watch with a keen eye on the future.
19 WHITECLIFFSOFDOVER – Useful at his best for Aidan O’Brien as proven by his win in the European Free Handicap on his penultimate start, though he failed to back up that run when only third in Listed company at Naas when last seen. Choice of Ryan Moore and he’s clearly capable at his best, though he’s risky enough given that latest run, with connections bringing out the blinkers. Others make more appeal on the basis of consistency, though you can never rule out a Ballydoyle representative.
20 WINNING WAYS – Steadily improving commodity for Jeremy Noseda who ran his best race yet when impressively winning a course and distance handicap 40 days ago. On that evidence he could surprise a few with a big run under Gerald Mosse, but this is big step up in class and he is likely vulnerable for win purposes with others achieving far more in their careers. Place claims only today with conditions to suit.