16:20 - Royal Ascot Preview & Tips
Won last year by Henry Candy’s Twilight Son, this six furlong contest is going to be fast and furious as the top sprinters go to war at Royal Ascot. See our Diamond Jubilee Stakes tips and betting preview below.
IN SUMMARY: Limato brings the best form into the contest after tearing up the July Cup field at Newmarket but he will have a huge task to beat THE TIN MAN for James Fanshawe and Tom Queally. He won the course and distance British Champions Sprint back in October and he made a satisfactory return when fifth at York in softer ground, with this return to better ground a big help. He usually saves his best for Ascot and should take all the beating with that fitness run behind him. Of the rest, Tasleet is most likely to fill the final place.
1 ACLAIM – Improving over further distance towards the end of last season which culminated in a win at Group 2 level at Newmarket in October, keeping on strongly over the seven furlong distance. He returned in the Lockinge at Newbury in May where he was easily outclassed and a drop back to six furlongs isn’t sure to suit on the best of his form. Career best needed and even then he’d be only vying for placings.
2 COMICAS – Improved form on the dirt which included a good second at Group 1 level but he failed to match that level when only third at York behind Tasleet in the Clipper Logistics Stakes. More is needed on that evidence and judging by his previous turf form he’s likely booked for a struggle.
3 FINSBURY SQUARE – Won a Group 3 back in August in Deauville, but that was a weak looking race and his latest second at Chantilly is not good enough to suggest he can compete at this level for the Chappet yard. Olivier Peslier takes the ride but he’s unlikely to be adding to his Royal Ascot tally with this ride.
4 GROWL – Finished second to The Tin Man in the British Champions Sprint over course and distance in October but has failed to match that form in his last three races, well beaten at Haydock in the John of Gaunt Stakes when last seen. Far more needed on that evidence and despite the better ground perhaps a catalyst to spark him back to life, others make more appeal.
5 KACHY – Finished second in the Commonwealth Cup last season for Tom Dascombe but he’s failed to match that form since, only fifth at Haydock in Group 2 when beaten around three lengths. He needs more on that evidence and the tongue-tie needs to have a drastic effect on this occasion, placed at best if things really go his way.
6 LIBRISA BREEZE – Showed a mighty turn of foot to win a seven furlong handicap here back in October but he was unable to match that form down to this trip when only sixth in the British Champions Sprint, around four lengths behind The Tin Man. Possible each way claims if they go off a strong clip but he is likely to lack the high cruising speed of at least a few of these.
7 LIMATO – Won the Group 1 July Cup at Newmarket back in July and that form sets the standard, running some great races since including a brilliant win in the Prix de la Foret at Chantilly in October. He can be forgiven his reappearance at Meydan as the torrential rain before the race changed the ground and he now has the ground he wants here, as the firmer the better for this five year old. Henry Candy’s yard has started to find its form and with Ryan Moore taking the ride, he’s got to be considered a main contender.
8 LONG ON VALUE – American raider for William Mott who was unlucky not to win a Group 1 at Meydan when narrowly denied by The Right Man after coming from a mile back to finish second by a nose. This stiffer track could play to his strengths and he’s an interesting each way player for Joel Rosario, but he is a six year old now and further improvement is perhaps unlikely at this stage of his career.
9 MAGICAL MEMORY – Got back on track when second at York on his latest start when behind Tasleet, keeping on well but never the pace to challenge. This better ground will be fine for him but on balance he does have something to find with a few of these, with a turnaround with Tasleet very unlikely with that rival winning comfortably. Possible each way contender but that is all on this occasion.
10 MOBSTA – Won a Group 2 in softer ground at the Curragh in May but his form this season has been less than impressive, only able to muster up fifth in his preferred ground at the Curragh when last seen. Better ground unlikely to suit and the introduction of the visor is not enough to tempt.
11 SUEDOIS – Placed three times in Group 1 company in 2016 but has been well below his best in two runs this season for David O’Meara, last seen well beaten in the Greenlands Stakes at the Curragh. Return to better ground may help but softer ground is no excuse as he’s placed on it in the past, so he does remain with a point to prove. Others make more appeal on this occasion.
12 TASLEET – Posted a career best by some margin when storming away to win the Clipper Logistics Stakes at York in softer ground 38 days ago and the return to better ground is no problem for this four year old. He still remains with potential for better and if building upon that latest run he’d have to be considered a big contender under Jim Crowley for the in form William Haggas. Interesting.
13 THE RIGHT MAN – Posted a career best when scrambling home to win a Group 1 at Meydan in March, but he is unproven on better ground which is a concern and he’ll need to better that Dubai run if he’s to be threatening a few of these. If matching that form he’s a likely each way contender under Francois-Xavier Bertras, but he’ls likely to find at least one too good in a tough race.
14 THE TIN MAN Won the Course and Distance British Champions Sprint here in October and made an encouraging return when fifth in the Clipper Logistics Stakes at York back in May. Today’s better ground will suit him far better and he remains with potential after only twelve runs, of which he has won six of them. Likely to be tough to beat now he has a run under his belt under Tom Queally and has to be respected.
15 TUPI – Stormed clear to win a Listed race at Doncaster in April but he failed to match that performance when well beaten at York in the Clipper Logistics Stakes, never able to land a blow. He looks up against it in the company and is booked for a struggle.
16 WINDFAST – Ran up to his best when returning this season with a third at Newmarket in April, looking one paced towards the finish and he jumps up to classes to compete in this. None of his previous form indicates he can compete at this level and it’s hard to see him landing a blow.
17 AL JAZI – Narrowly got home to win a Listed race at Maisons-Laffitte when last seen, which was her best effort since winning a Goodwood Group 3 for Fillies & Mares back in July. That form however isn’t enough in this and she’s likely to struggle in this sort of company unless she’s imrpoved markedly.
18 DANCING STAR – Took a step back in the right direction when second at Windsor in Listed company last month, which was more like his form when winning the Stewards Cup of 2016 at Goodwood. That said, more is needed on the back of that Listed second and he likely lacks the class to win a race of this nature.
19 KASSIA – Progressive sprinter for Mick Channon who won the Boadicea Fillies’ Stakes at Newmarket in October, finishing fourth on her latest start at Newmarket which was a disappointing return. Far more needed on that evidence and she seems booked to struggle in this.