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Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1)
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes tips for Saturday’s Group 1 race. A race you do not want to miss, this mile contest features some of the best horses in Europe and there will be little in it at the finish. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY: Ribchester got back on track when winning the Prix du Moulin de Longchamp last month and he’s the one to beat on ratings. That said, it was similar conditions in the Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood when HERE COMES WHEN defeated that rival to win the Group 1 contest. The ground is soft at the moment and with more rain forecast, the testing ground is going to play right into his hands. He can take his second Group 1 victory of the season with another danger being Beat The Bank, who has shown marked progression this season and is well worth his place in this field.
1 BRETON ROCK – A seven furlong specialist who is yet to record a big success at the mile distance, winning the Lennox Stakes at Glorious Goodwood earlier this season. He was well beaten in this race twelve months ago and another minor role is on the cards.
2 HERE COMES WHEN – Revels in testing conditions for Andrew Balding, winning the Sussex Stakes on his latest start ahead of Ribchester. With the ground already soft and further rain expected, he will be in his element and should make a very bold bid to win back to back Group 1s.
3 LIGHTENING SPEAR – Has been beaten by Ribchester on seven separate occasions and he was well below form when beaten by that rival once again over in France. Softer ground is no problem but he should fall short here.
4 RIBCHESTER – At his best he’s the top miler of the older generation, winning a Group 1 at Chantilly last month. He faces some stern opposition here though and softer ground perhaps isn’t ideal, which could catch him out today.
5 TOSCANINI – Useful performer at his best for Richard Fahey, including a Group 3 second two starts ago but he’s been more often than not used as a pacemaker for Ribchester. Has no frame prospects here.
6 ZONDERLAND – Returned from a year’s absence when second to Lightning Spear in the Celebration Mile at Goodwood, going down by a nose. A lot more is needed in this company and softer ground is a question mark, so he’s best left alone.
7 AL WUKAIR – Three year old for Andre Fabre who won a Group 1 at Deauville in August in a very competitive field, with the cheekpieces now going on. He loves softer ground and Fabre doesn’t bring them over to make up the numbers, so he should be on the premises.
8 BEAT THE BANK – Has progressed beyond comprehension this season for Andrew Balding, winning a Group 2 on his latest start in ready style. He is well worth his place in this line-up and acts on soft, so he looks the main danger to our selection.
9 CHURCHILL – Completed the Guineas double earlier in the season but he’s been beaten in Group 1 company three times since, including a very disappointing run at Leopardstown when last seen. A career best is needed here and he looks set to just miss out on victory.
10 LANCASTER BOMBER – Has finished runner-up four times in Group 1 company, including over course and distance in the St James’s Palace at Royal Ascot. Softer ground is a big negative though and he should once again fall short.
11 NATHRA – Has been back to her best of late, but even her best isn’t going to be enough to cut it at this level. She was never a threat when third in the Sun Chariot last time out and this is a much tougher race, so she’s dismissed.
12 PERSUASIVE – Completed a double back in the summer but she could only manage second in a Fillies’ Group 1 on her latest start at Newmarket. That form isn’t going to be good enough going back against the boys and she’d be a surprise addition to the placings.
13 SIR JOHN LAVERY – Has been disappointing considering how well regarded of he was earlier this season, beaten five lengths by Beat The Bank on his latest start. A turnaround with that rival looks impossible and he should be outclassed in Group 1 company.
14 THUNDER SNOW – Group 1 winner two starts ago at Chantilly and he wasn’t disgraced when pipped by Al Wukair at Deauville in August. That form isn’t far behind the best of the three year olds and a switch to the visor could help squeeze out more. Each way contender under Christophe Soumillon.
15 SEA OF GRACE – Hasn’t been progressing of late, with her fourth in a Curragh Group 2 a very disappointing effort as she was beaten a fair way. Softer ground will suit her but she doesn’t look good enough to win this.