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Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
Greatwood Hurdle tips for Sunday’s Grade 3 handicap race. An ultra competitive field as always in this two mile handicap hurdle, a smart mix of quality handicappers and youthful potential. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY: JENKINS has had a lot written about his hurdling which is far from fluent, but given what he beat in a Newbury novice last season, he is potentially a stone or more well in from a mark of 137 and could take some stopping. Tigris River acts well on soft ground, this stiff two miles will be to his liking in a bid to follow up his Galway Hurdle win. The New One has an exceptional record when the ground is soft and when not competing at Grade 1 level, he should run a huge race off top weight. London Prize has improved rapidly, has won off a quick turnaround in the past so he is another to consider in an open race.
1 THE NEW ONE – Winner of the Welsh Champion Hurdle on his return, he is three pounds higher for that now. Has plenty of weight but with eight wins and a pair of seconds in ten completed starts when the ground is soft or heavy, he shouldn’t be discounted.
2 IVANOVICH GORBATOV – Won a maiden hurdle on heavy, his form since on similar ground has been poor. Sixth in the County Hurdle at the Festival, he is more than capable from the same mark, but this looks a tough place to start his season.
3 TIGRIS RIVER – Rapid improvement this year, landing the Galway Hurdle when last seen. Acts on very soft ground, producing a smart effort at the 2015 Listowel Festival where the ground can get desperate. Needs more from ten pounds higher, but holds an each way chance.
4 OLD GUARD – Fairly treated these days, four pounds higher than when winning this race in 2015. Picked up a Listed contest at Kempton last time, this turning into a test on soft ground could suit him given he gets a little further.
5 CHESTERFIELD – Improved well last season, culminating in a Scottish Champion Hurdle victory. That was on quicker ground but he has won on soft in the past. Has won fresh, as well as on this track, so he is another with an each way chance.
6 ELGIN – Close to a career best last time when winning. Unable to cope with Neon Wolf on the softest ground he has encountered and he struggled on this track in March. Three pounds worse off with Mohaayed on their meeting last season, he needs a little more.
7 PROJECT BLUEBOOK – Fourth in the Fred Winter at the Festival, behind Flying Tiger. Two pounds higher than when well behind Tigris River in the Galway Hurdle, this mark looks beyond his capabilities.
8 FLYING TIGER – Very soft ground is no concern, plus he has won on this track at the Festival in March. Third to London Prize last week in the Elite Hurdle, he looked in need of the run, the quick turnaround is the biggest issue for his chances.
9 LONDON PRIZE – Done nothing but improve in both disciplines in the last fourteen months. Winner of the Northumberland Plate on the flat, he added a Grade 2 over hurdles last week. Shapes as if this mark is within his grasp and has won with a quick return in the past.
10 AMOUR DE NUIT – Starting to click over hurdles now, runner-up to a solid form guide in Poetic Rhythm at Chepstow last month. He has got his head in front since, but soft ground was no help to him on the flat and rates a major concern here.
11 JENKINS – Jumped stickily when winning on soft ground at Newbury last season, but a look back at the race with Bags Groove, Captain Forez and Pingshou following him home, he could be absolutely thrown in off 137. Has a huge engine, looks well capable of landing the money.
12 MOHAAYED – Progressed well as a novice, not beaten far in the County Hurdle nor Scottish Champion Hurdle. Has won on soft, but the very best of his form has come on a sounder surface, this ground is a concern for him once more.
13 NIETZSCHE – Two dismal runs on the flat since third in the Fred Winter in March. A winner on soft ground from 122 last season when able to beat a weaker field, this demands plenty more from him.
14 MISTERTON – Smart win to kick off his campaign beating Elgin at Chepstow. The runner-up has filled the same spot since, with Elgin in fourth going on to win at Ascot. He has placed on soft ground, but this deep surface looks unlikely to be to his liking.
16 WILLIAM H BONNY – Inconsistent type, all three of his wins have come on soft, including here. Five pound claimer helps given he is four pounds out the handicap, wouldn’t be the biggest shock to see him make the frame at a big price if on a going day.
15 TOP OTHE RA