Fillies’ Mile Tips & Betting Preview

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bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1)

  • 15:35
  • Newmarket

Race Preview

A Group 1 dominated in recent years by Ballydoyle, notching up three wins in a row, while John Gosden has trained the winner four times in the last 17 renewals. There have been six winning favourites in the last decade – three of them odds-on – the only shock coming when Charlie Hills took the race in 2013 with Chriselliam at 28/1. Our expert preview for the 2017 renewal of the Fillies’ Mile is below.

IN SUMMARY: Plenty of lightly raced sorts who could improve markedly, including Magic Lily who won on her debut when routing a field over course and distance last month. She has the pedigree to improve into something smart but it’s very hard to get away from LAURENS who shows a great level of form, beating the very talented Nyaleti into third in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes. The fact Karl Burke trains her on this season means she must be doing great work at home and she is still very unexposed.

1 EFAADAH – French raider for the Head team who won her debut at Deaville before a narrow defeat at Chantilly in a Group 3. She had plenty to do that day and there should be more to come from her. Ground conditions will suit and she’s an each way player.

2 ELLTHEA – Has really come to life the last twice, following up a Doncaster Nursery win with a Group 3 victory at Naas last month. She has plenty to prove back on a sounder surface though and she isn’t sure to back up that performance.

3 HAPPILY – Steadily progressive and gained revenge on Magical when nutting her on the line to win the Moyglare two starts ago. She was game when taking a Group 1 at Chantilly when last seen and with further improvement likely, she shouldn’t be for passing under Ryan Moore.

4 LAURENS – Step up to the mile suited her when winning a Group 2 at Doncaster last month, nosing ahead in a blanket finish. She needs to progress again but that couldn’t be discounted as Burke is having a great year with his two year olds.

5 LUBINKA – Finished a promising second on debut at Doncaster but she failed to back it up when only third on her latest start, not improving. Needs to step up massively to feature here and shouldn’t be good enough.

6 MAGICAL – Beat Happily three starts ago in a Group 2 before that rival reversed form two starts ago, running well enough in a hot race at Chantilly after perhaps being unlucky in the run. Happily looks to have improved past her though and she is booked for a place here with Heffernan preferring September.

7 MAGIC LILLY – Out of an Oaks winner who has a very smart pedigree and demolished a field over course and distance on her debut. She needs to improve here but she is completely unexposed and won’t be far away for top connections.

8 MUIRIN – Won her debut well but was behind Happily, Magical and September at the Curragh last month in the Moyglare. That was softer ground and she should suit a sounder surface here, but she is unlikely to reverse form with all three and can only be given an each way poke.

9 MUSICAL ART – Has come up short in two Group 3s since his debut win at Newbury, only able to manage sixth at Deauville when last seen. She has her stamina to prove at the mile distance and is best watched here.

10 NYALETI – Front-runner who has been running well of late for Mark Johnston, finishing second by a head in the Rockfel when last seen. She has more on her plate here and a return to the mile isn’t ideal. Should be outclassed in this field.

11 QUIVERY – Won her first two starts for Jeremy Noseda, finishing fourth at Goodwood in August when running on strongly late on. She is worth a crack at the mile but should be soundly outclassed in this company.

12 SEPTEMBER – Won the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot in June but has failed to match stablemates Magical and Happily the last twice. She needs this step up to the mile and a return to better ground to suit, which it could plausibly do and she’s not one to dismiss lightly.