‘Writing him off would be a mistake’ - 40/1, 25/1 and 20/1 outsiders on Day 1 at Aintree
1 hour ago
WINCANTON
31 March 2025
You Can't Catch Me Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 3f 179y
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 8
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Has some encouraging hurdles form and may improve for this new trip; debut for new yard
327647
Age: 5
Weight: 11-12
OR: 94
Days: 72
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 25 | Tau Taunton | 24f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-12 | 7/14 | Jesuila Des Mottes (34L) | 11/1 | 96 | 80 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f GS | 4HcH | 10-10 | 4/15 | Ugo Bingo (4¾L) | 33/1 | 97 | 95 |
| 6 Dec 24 | San Sandown | 16f Sft | 4NvHcH | 10-9 | 6/6 | Razzle Dazzle Boy (25L) | 11/1 | 99 | 73 |
| 2 Jul 24 | Str Stratford | 18.5f GF | 5HcH | 12-0 v | 7/11 | Bob O Rhino (8½L) | 16/5F | 100 | 90 |
| 14 Jun 24 | Nab Newton Abbot | 17f Gd | 5HcH | 11-5 v1 | 2/13 | King's Castle (1¼L) | 6/1 | 99 | 97 |
| 16 May 24 | Sal Salisbury | 14f Sft | 3Hc | 9-1 | 4/12 | Kyle Of Lochalsh (13L) | 40/1 | 80 | 74 |
Not particularly solid on overall form but the good ground may help returned to hurdles
774P6P
Age: 7
Weight: 11-9
OR: 91
Days: 71
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 25 | Fak Fakenham | 21f Gd | 5HcCh | 11-9 | PU/11 | Mortens Leam () | 14/1 | 95 | - |
| 31 Dec 24 | War Warwick | 19f Sft | 5NvHcH | 11-6 | 6/13 | Lord Of All Saints (25L) | 33/1 | 98 | 88 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 24.5f Sft | 5NvHcH | 11-12 | PU/10 | Jongleur d'Etoiles () | 50/1 | 100 | - |
| 17 Nov 24 | Fon Fontwell | 17.5f Gd | 4NvH | 11-0 | 4/8 | Gooloogong (14½L) | 100/1 | - | 87 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/11 | Kally Des Bruyeres (11½L) | 80/1 | - | 86 |
| 18 Oct 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 7/8 | Windsurfer (20L) | 200/1 | - | 87 |
Fitting of tongue-tie and cheekpieces looks a possible source of improvement
87747
Age: 5
Weight: 11-7
OR: 89
Days: 42
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 25 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-8 | 7/11 | Almuhit (44L) | 13/2 | 91 | 56 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sth Southwell | 16f Sft | 5NvHcH | 11-12 | 4/5 | Motazzen (13L) | 11/1 | 93 | 91 |
| 10 Dec 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-6 | 7/11 | Oh My Johnny (23L) | 100/1 | - | 91 |
| 14 Nov 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 16.5f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/12 | Typhoon Flyer (44L) | 66/1 | - | 74 |
| 18 Oct 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f GS | 4NvH | 10-13 | 8/10 | Wade Out (43L) | 66/1 | - | 71 |
Seems a spring type and could go well off a workable mark on return from 66-day break
1357P6
Age: 6
Weight: 11-6
OR: 88
Days: 66
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 25 | Don Doncaster | 19.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-7 | 6/16 | Brockarno (24L) | 12/1 | 90 | 73 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f Gd | 5HcH | 11-5 | PU/11 | Orchestra () | 16/1 | 91 | - |
| 18 Jul 24 | Wor Worcester | 23f Gd | 5HcH | 11-5 | 7/13 | Iron Heart (4L) | 13/2 | 91 | 92 |
| 19 Jun 24 | Wor Worcester | 20f Gd | 5HcH | 11-8 | 5/11 | Hillsin (17½L) | 4/1F | 94 | 85 |
| 22 May 24 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f Sft | 5NvHcH | 11-7 | 3/6 | Eric Carmen (6½L) | 2/1 | 88 | 89 |
| 12 May 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-9 | 1/10 | Awesome Foursome (12L) | 9/4F | 81 | 95 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 6 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (33%)
Signs of improvement since handicapping and this return to 2m4f is well worth exploring
47554
Age: 6
Weight: 11-5
OR: 87
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 25 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-6 | 4/10 | Synchronist (11½L) | 16/1 | 89 | 83 |
| 31 Jan 25 | Lin Lingfield | 16f Hy | 5NvHcH | 11-9 | 5/11 | Just Aidan (15½L) | 28/1 | 92 | 83 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Nby Newbury | 20.5f Sft | 3NvH | 10-11 | 5/8 | De Kingpin (90L) | 200/1 | - | 24 |
| 2 Dec 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/8 | Julius Des Pictons (34L) | 200/1 | - | 85 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Gd | 3NvH | 10-11 | 4/6 | Sorceleur (34L) | 50/1 | - | 66 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Improved form last month, making all at Market Rasen then second at Hereford; respected
8-PP12
Age: 5
Weight: 11-5
OR: 87
Days: 36
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 25 | Her Hereford | 21.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-8 | 2/6 | Nollyador (3½L) | 3/1 | 85 | 87 |
| 4 Feb 25 | Mar Market Rasen | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-4 | 1/7 | Jingle Jangle Jet (2½L) | 33/1 | 81 | 85 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Lei Leicester | 15.5f Hy | 5NvHcH | 11-4 | PU/9 | Trust House () | 33/1 | 86 | - |
| 30 Oct 24 | Fak Fakenham | 20f Gd | 5HcH | 11-7 | PU/10 | Hiero Sport () | 66/1 | 91 | - |
| 27 Mar 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 16f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-11 p | 7/8 | Zivaniya (8½L) | 50/1 | 75 | 72 |
| 7 Feb 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 44yH | 10-11 | 8/11 | Royal Way (18½L) | 125/1 | - | 87 |
Couple of non-completions since switched to handicap level; opposed
-700FP
Age: 6
Weight: 10-7
OR: 75
Days: 11
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 25 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 10-3 h1 | PU/9 | Copper Jack () | 66/1 | 80 | - |
| 12 Mar 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 19.5f Gd | 5HcHM | 10-0 | F/7 | Imperial Jade () | 25/1 | 80 | - |
| 20 Nov 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 10-11 | 11/14 | Admiral Stewart (72L) | 250/1 | - | 36 |
| 27 Oct 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Gd | 4MdH | 10-11 | 13/16 | Vaguely Royal (43L) | 150/1 | - | 62 |
| 7 May 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 10-11 | 7/11 | Aquitaine Boy (26L) | 80/1 | - | 68 |
| 16 Apr 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f Sft | 5MdNHF | 10-11 | 5/6 | As Legends Have It (27L) | 50/1 | - | 72 |
Poor claims on form; tongue-tie needs to make a big difference
99P7P
Age: 5
Weight: 10-5
OR: 70
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 25 | Her Hereford | 19.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 10-5 | PU/11 | The Dream Goes On () | 40/1 | 74 | - |
| 17 Dec 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/10 | Don't Mind If I Do (50L) | 250/1 | - | 67 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Lei Leicester | 15.5f Hy | 3NvH | 11-0 | PU/7 | Indeevar Bleu () | 250/1 | - | - |
| 22 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 16f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 9/11 | The Winslow Boy (74L) | 150/1 | - | 40 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Wor Worcester | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 10-8 | 9/10 | Getaway Vic (77L) | 100/1 | - | 25 |
Verdict
A chance is taken on ELLERTON. The shortlist is completed by Roxhill, Seahouses and Jaxonne.
Ellerton
Betting Forecast:
9/4 Seahouses,
7/2 Ellerton,
Jaxonne,
5/1 Roxhill,
7/1 Jack Hoola,
10/1 Jimmyjeroo,
33/1 Lake's Aventurine,
40/1 As Good As Can Be
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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