Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
CLONMEL
3 December 2024
Tuesday 3rd December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
ClonmelRaces.ie (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle (Div I) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 3f 97y
- Going: Yielding
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- Runners
- 18
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Light rain
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 13 wins from 53 in the last 14 days (25%)
Bumper winner seems the stable second-string but there might not be much in it; respected
1
Age: 5
Weight: 11-12
OR: -
Days: 204
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May 24 | Kln Killarney | 17f Y | NHF | 12-0 t1 | 1/8 | Major Barry (1¾L) | 11/10F | - | 113 |
Soundly beaten in two maiden hurdles and will be of more interest in handicaps
60-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 247
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 24 | Fai Fairyhouse | 16f Hy | MdH | 11-12 | 11/20 | Rath Gaul Boy (43L) | 33/1 | - | 79 |
| 9 Mar 24 | Gow Gowran Park | 16f Hy | MdH | 11-12 | 6/15 | Angostura (25L) | 33/1 | - | 91 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 13 wins from 53 in the last 14 days (25%)
Point winner showed decent bumper form without winning; maximum respect on hurdles debut
204-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 227
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 24 | Ayr Ayr | 16f Sft | 2NHF | 11-3 | 4/11 | Jazz De Cotte (6½L) | 11/10F | - | 103 |
| 13 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f Sft | NHFG1 | 11-7 | 13/19 | Jasmin De Vaux (27L) | 33/1 | 117 | 111 |
| 20 Jan 24 | Nav Navan | 16f Sft/Hy | NHF | 12-0 | 2/6 | William Munny (shd) | 8/13F | - | 116 |
A 38l third in a Naas maiden hurdle on rules debut recently; has to improve significantly
3
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 24 | Naa Naas | 19f Gd/Y | MdH | 11-12 | 3/8 | Lieutenant Mayne (38L) | 50/1 | - | 77 |
Pulled-up in a point and beaten a long way in a maiden hurdle here so can't be fancied
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 61
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 24 | Clo Clonmel | 17f Gd/Y | MdH | 11-12 | 10/10 | Mystical Goddess (76L) | 150/1 | - | 39 |
Was 2nd in a Gowran maiden hurdle last month; that experience a help; can run a solid race
2358-2
Age: 4
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 24 | Gow Gowran Park | 16f Y | 4yMdH | 11-0 | 2/17 | Casheldale Lad (13L) | 8/1 | - | 105 |
| 30 Apr 24 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Y | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 8/25 | Sermandzarak (21L) | 33/1 | - | 101 |
| 16 Mar 24 | Thu Thurles | 16f Hy | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 5/6 | Lady Of The Locke (16L) | 15/2 | - | 95 |
| 21 Feb 24 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Hy | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 3/6 | Sermandzarak (21L) | 14/1 | - | 92 |
| 25 Jan 24 | Gow Gowran Park | 16f Hy | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 2/6 | Samyr (8L) | 10/1 | - | 109 |
Ran respectably on recent hurdles debut after a long absence; should have improved since
6
Age: 7
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 24 | Pun Punchestown | 15.5f Gd | MdH | 11-12 | 6/18 | Irancy (27L) | 33/1 | - | 92 |
Promising bumper debut for Willie Mullins in 2022 but no sign of that for this yard
/7P-57
Age: 7
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 24 | Clo Clonmel | 16f Gd | NHF | 11-7 b1 | 7/10 | Mic Drop (44L) | 200/1 | - | 73 |
| 28 Oct 24 | Wex Wexford | 16.5f Sft | NHF | 11-8 t | 5/6 | Ira Hayes (112L) | 100/1 | - | 7 |
| 19 Apr 24 | Lim Limerick | 19f Sft/Hy | NHF | 11-7 t1 | PU/6 | Ballygunner Castle () | 66/1 | - | - |
| 31 Mar 24 | Cor Cork | 19f Sft/Hy | NHF | 11-7 | 7/10 | Nowwhatdoyouthink (51L) | 66/1 | - | 61 |
| 5 Nov 22 | Dro Down Royal | 17f Sft | NHF | 12-0 | 3/6 | King Of Kingsfield (8¼L) | 9/4 | - | 114 |
The best of two bumper runs when beaten 23l at Ballinrobe; looks a work in progress
0-8
Age: 4
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 190
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May 24 | Bal Ballinrobe | 16.5f Gd | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 8/10 | Kalix Delabarriere (23L) | 40/1 | - | 81 |
| 30 Apr 24 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Y | 4yNHF | 11-3 | 11/17 | Sixandahalf (47L) | 66/1 | - | 75 |
Beaten a long way in a sales bumper on debut in March and best watched on return
6-
Age: 4
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 247
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 24 | Fai Fairyhouse | 16f Hy | NHF | 11-4 | 6/14 | Kopek Des Bordes (54L) | 33/1 | - | 67 |
Won a maiden point at Tralee on debut back in May and should be capable of a decent run
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: -
Has taken time to get to the track; best watched unless the market suggests otherwise
Form:
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: -
Pulled-up in a point and well beaten in a maiden hurdle recently so best watched for now
8
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 24 | Gow Gowran Park | 16f Y | MdH | 11-7 | 8/14 | But What (49L) | 16/1 | - | 69 |
Tailed-off in a Galway maiden hurdle on debut and can't be fancied
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 24 | Gal Galway | 16.5f Y/Sft | MdH | 11-12 | 13/14 | Sporting Glory (86L) | 100/1 | - | 41 |
Beaten 40l in a Naas maiden hurdle on debut in April; top rider booked on return
5-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 231
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 24 | Naa Naas | 16.5f Sft | MdH | 11-12 | 5/19 | Icare Desbois (41L) | 14/1 | - | 83 |
Soundly beaten in a point, maiden hurdle and bumper when racing keenly; best watched
94
Age: 4
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Lim Limerick | 16f Y | NHFM | 11-11 | 4/11 | Twentyfourcarrot (41L) | 20/1 | - | 62 |
| 30 Sep 24 | Ros Roscommon | 20.5f Y | MdHM | 10-5 | 9/16 | Mexican Moonshine (33L) | 100/1 | - | 72 |
Won a mares' maiden point but well beaten in a winners' race; plenty of improvement needed
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: -
Best of three point runs when beaten 17l and will have to improve hugely
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: -
19
Midnight Eugene
T: Timothy Doyle
Form:
Age: 7
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: -
20
BF
Fishery Lane
T: W P Mullins
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 13 wins from 53 in the last 14 days (25%)
250-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 214
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 24 | Pun Punchestown | 19f Sft | NHF | 12-0 | 10/19 | Don'tstopthemusic (51L) | 15/8F | - | 65 |
| 13 Mar 24 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f Sft | NHFG1 | 11-7 | 5/19 | Jasmin De Vaux (6L) | 66/1 | 112 | 131 |
| 13 Feb 24 | Thu Thurles | 15.5f Sft/Hy | NHF | 11-12 | 2/11 | Coco Masterpiece (½L) | 11/2 | - | 120 |
21
James The Brave
T: Padraig Butler
6
Age: 4
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 24 | Gal Galway | 16.5f Y/Sft | 4yNHF | 11-7 | 6/9 | Colcannon (45L) | 33/1 | - | 69 |
Verdict
It looks significant that Patrick Mullins rides C'EST TA CHANCE in preference to his penalised stablemate Jump Allen.
C'Est Ta Chance
Betting Forecast:
Evs C'Est Ta Chance,
2/1 Jump Allen,
7/1 Harry's Dream,
12/1 Onlymammycanloveme,
14/1 Hills Of Glory,
18/1 Whatsanotheryear,
Je Suis,
25/1 Dunany Point,
Bernie's Legacy,
33/1 Quietrunsthedon,
50/1 Lauro's Legend,
66/1 Honky Tonk,
Diamond Approach,
100/1 Moonshine Ranger,
Theballflanagan,
Sheriffhill,
Park Rules,
200/1 Golden Chariot
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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