Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
LINGFIELD (AW)
3 December 2024
Tuesday 3rd December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
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- Channel:
- Distance: 6f 1y
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Recent 5f win franked by the runner-up; return to 6f no issue; leading claims up 4lb
603381
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
OR: 74
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 5f St | 4Hc | 8-13 | 1/9 | Dashing Harry (shd) | 11/4 | 70 | 79 |
| 17 Aug 24 | Bat Bath | 5.5f GF | 5Hc | 9-9 b | 8/9 | Treacherous (5¾L) | 11/2 | 70 | 59 |
| 29 Jul 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-4 b1 | 3/14 | Daytona Lady (2½L) | 100/30F | 70 | 74 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-9 | 3/10 | Habooba (1L) | 2/1F | 70 | 77 |
| 13 Jun 24 | Nby Newbury | 6f GF | 4Hc | 9-2 | 10/12 | Sixties Chic (3¾L) | 7/1 | 72 | 72 |
| 29 May 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 4Hc | 8-11 | 6/11 | Change Sings (5½L) | 100/30 | 73 | 65 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Patchy record in recent starts; return to 6f a positive but there are risks attached
881090
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
OR: 74
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-7 | 10/11 | Vibrato (8L) | 9/1 | 75 | 59 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-9 | 9/11 | Stanley Spencer (5L) | 28/1 | 76 | 72 |
| 18 Sep 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f GF | 4Hc | 9-8 | 10/12 | War Bride (11L) | 18/1 | 77 | 53 |
| 1 Sep 24 | Bri Brighton | 6f GF | 5Hc | 9-10 | 1/6 | Nogo's Dream (½L) | 16/1 | 75 | 82 |
| 17 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 6f Gd | 4Hc | 9-0 | 8/9 | Archduke Ferdinand (14L) | 22/1 | 76 | 41 |
| 9 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 6f Gd | 4Hc | 9-7 | 8/9 | Spring Bloom (10½L) | 12/1 | 78 | 54 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Five wins this year but up in the weights as a result; minor money perhaps his best hope
113114
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
OR: 74
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-8 tb | 4/10 | Five Winds (2½L) | 9/1 | 74 | 77 |
| 26 Oct 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 10-4 tb | 1/10 | Melisende (2L) | 100/30 | 68 | 81 |
| 21 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f St | 6Hc | 9-7 tb | 1/9 | Phoenix Beach (½L) | 9/2 | 63 | 72 |
| 23 Sep 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 9-13 tb | 3/12 | Nights Over Egypt (¼L) | 15/8F | 62 | 71 |
| 17 Sep 24 | Bri Brighton | 5.5f Gd | 6Hc | 10-0 tb | 1/5 | Alfred Cove (½L) | 15/8F | 60 | 70 |
| 10 Sep 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 6Hc | 9-9 tb | 1/8 | Don't Fight It (¾L) | 15/8J | 55 | 64 |
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
On a winning mark and drops in trip/class today; not a solid option all the same
910900
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 73
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 4Hc | 9-4 | 10/10 | Revolutionise (7¼L) | 40/1 | 75 | 61 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-5 | 11/11 | Mezzo Soprano (11L) | 40/1 | 76 | 51 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Don Doncaster | 6f GF | 4Hc | 9-2 | 9/10 | Rock Opera (10½L) | 14/1 | 77 | 55 |
| 5 Jun 24 | Not Nottingham | 6f GF | 4Hc | 9-6 | 11/13 | Abbey Heights (8L) | 15/2 | 77 | 63 |
| 18 May 24 | Don Doncaster | 6f GF | 4Hc | 8-11 | 1/10 | Mythical Phoenix (1¼L) | 16/1 | 73 | 83 |
| 28 Mar 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 4Hc | 9-2 | 9/10 | Cliffcake (5¾L) | 11/4F | 74 | 64 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
C&D winner in February; on a fair mark but needs to bounce back from two poor runs
951208
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
OR: 73
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-13 tb1 | 8/9 | Fiscal Policy (10½L) | 20/1 | 74 | 52 |
| 19 Sep 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 5Hc | 9-5 tp | 13/13 | Dutch Kingdom (10½L) | 17/2 | 74 | 54 |
| 25 Aug 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f GS | 5Hc | 10-0 tp | 2/11 | B Associates (1L) | 7/2F | 73 | 81 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 53yHc | 9-7 tp | 1/8 | Scarboroughwarning (1½L) | 6/1 | 68 | 79 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Lin Lingfield | 6f GF | 5Hc | 9-4 t | 5/8 | Miss Stormy Night (3½L) | 7/1 | 70 | 69 |
| 29 Mar 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 53yHc | 9-9 tp | 9/12 | Brunel Nation (8L) | 9/2 | 70 | 58 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Promising return from a long absence in October (stable debut); disappointed last time
/22-37
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
OR: 72
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 5f St | 4Hc | 9-5 | 7/9 | Sugar Hill Babe (6¾L) | 9/4F | 73 | 59 |
| 22 Oct 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 5f Sft | 4Hc | 8-13 | 3/6 | Balmoral Lady (1¼L) | 18/1 | 73 | 79 |
| 16 Jun 23 | San Sandown | 5f GF | 4Hc | 9-3 h | 2/9 | Lil Guff (hd) | 100/30 | 74 | 81 |
| 22 May 23 | Wdr Windsor | 5f GF | 4Hc | 9-3 h | 2/7 | Glamorous Breeze (1L) | 17/2 | 74 | 83 |
| 25 Jun 22 | Wdr Windsor | 5f GF | 5Nv | 9-4 h1 | 1/7 | Six O' Hearts (5½L) | 11/10F | 75 | 75 |
| 11 Jun 22 | Bat Bath | 5f Gd | 5Nv | 9-4 | 4/8 | Royal Aclaim (6¼L) | 12/1 | - | 61 |
CD
3 x C&D Winner - Won 3 times before on this course at this distance
D
10 x Distance Winner - Won 10 times before at this distance
Kept on well for fifth over C&D latest and a 2lb drop looks generous; one to consider
980875
Age: 7
Weight: 9-7
OR: 72
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-8 tb | 5/10 | Five Winds (3L) | 7/1 | 74 | 75 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-7 tb | 7/11 | Stanley Spencer (4L) | 11/2 | 76 | 76 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Cat Catterick | 6f Sft | 4Hc | 9-4 tb | 8/11 | Count d'Orsay (3½L) | 11/2 | 78 | 76 |
| 3 Oct 24 | Sal Salisbury | 6f Hy | 4Hc | 9-7 tb | 12/13 | Nariko (10½L) | 33/1 | 80 | 59 |
| 7 Sep 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 2Hc | 8-10 tb | 8/12 | Drama (3¼L) | 66/1 | 82 | 84 |
| 22 Aug 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 3Hc | 9-5 tb | 9/14 | Heathcliff (3¾L) | 40/1 | 83 | 81 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
0-11 this year but retains ability and mark continues to fall; opposable for the win
322384
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
OR: 72
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 4Hc | 9-7 tb | 4/6 | Monsieur Kodi (3L) | 11/2 | 74 | 75 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Cl | 9-9 tb | 8/8 | Treacherous (14½L) | 10/11F | 75 | 39 |
| 21 Oct 24 | Bat Bath | 5.5f Sft | 5Hc | 9-9 tb | 3/9 | Mister Bluebird (3¾L) | 4/1 | 75 | 76 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-12 tb | 2/12 | Dashing Harry (2L) | 5/1C | 75 | 83 |
| 22 Sep 24 | Ham Hamilton | 6f GS | 5Hc | 9-11 tb | 2/9 | Inanna (1¼L) | 5/1 | 74 | 84 |
| 13 Sep 24 | Sal Salisbury | 6f GS | 4Hc | 9-3 tb | 3/10 | Bishop's Crown (1¾L) | 14/1 | 74 | 78 |
D
7 x Distance Winner - Won 7 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (0%)
Should be well treated but most recent efforts don't suggest he's ready to strike
107567
Age: 6
Weight: 9-6
OR: 71
Days: 40
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 5Hc | 9-13 tb | 7/10 | Musical Touch (5L) | 28/1 | 73 | 69 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-12 tp | 6/12 | Dashing Harry (8½L) | 40/1 | 75 | 62 |
| 28 Jun 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 6f GF | 5Hc | 10-0 tp | 5/11 | Hover On The Wind (3¼L) | 10/1 | 76 | 80 |
| 9 Jun 24 | Goo Goodwood | 6f Gd | 4Hc | 9-1 tp | 7/8 | Haymaker (7¾L) | 9/1 | 77 | 62 |
| 11 May 24 | Asc Ascot | 6f Gd | 4Hc | 9-6 tb | 24/26 | Northcliff (18½L) | 14/1 | 77 | 30 |
| 2 May 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 6f St | 4Hc | 9-2 tp | 1/8 | Dubai Station (nk) | 15/2 | 75 | 84 |
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (27%)
Prolific winner down the years and well drawn but likely to face competition for the lead
263107
Age: 8
Weight: 9-5
OR: 70
Days: 73
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 24 | Chs Chester | 5.5f GS | 4Hc | 9-7 | 7/12 | Count d'Orsay (4L) | 12/1 | 71 | 67 |
| 29 Aug 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 6f St | 4Hc | 9-3 | 12/12 | Northern Spirit (11½L) | 66/1 | 71 | 48 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Lei Leicester | 6f GF | 5Hc | 9-13 | 1/11 | Silent Flame (hd) | 11/2 | 69 | 79 |
| 4 Aug 24 | Hay Haydock | 6f Gd | 4Hc | 8-12 | 3/15 | Trilby (1¾L) | 33/1 | 69 | 76 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 5f GF | 5Hc | 9-13 | 6/8 | Hurt You Never (5½L) | 7/1 | 70 | 59 |
| 11 Jun 24 | Sal Salisbury | 6f GF | 5Hc | 9-2 | 2/9 | Regal Envoy (¾L) | 13/2 | 68 | 77 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Two wins as a 2yo but well held in 2024, including on last month's stable debut
49-089
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
OR: 70
Days: 31
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 7f Sft | 4Hc | 9-3 b | 9/9 | Pressure's On (29L) | 125/1 | 72 | 6 |
| 13 Jun 24 | Nby Newbury | 8f GF | 53yHc | 9-5 b1 | 8/10 | Great Acclaim (10½L) | 33/1 | 74 | 57 |
| 11 May 24 | Asc Ascot | 10f Gd | 4HcF | 8-4 | 10/10 | Warda Jamila (13L) | 20/1 | 75 | 59 |
| 8 Nov 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 42yHc | 9-0 | 9/9 | Magico (17L) | 50/1 | 76 | 43 |
| 25 Oct 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 52yHc | 9-4 | 4/11 | City House (8½L) | 12/1 | 77 | 65 |
| 30 Sep 23 | Nmk Newmarket | 7f GF | 22yHcF | 9-1 | 9/10 | Wild Goddess (13½L) | 9/1 | 78 | 52 |
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
3-8 on AW including two course wins; fair run at Wolverhampton latest; more needed to win
421375
Age: 6
Weight: 9-3
OR: 68
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f St | 5Hc | 9-6 | 5/10 | Lipsink (2½L) | 9/1 | 69 | 71 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Not Nottingham | 5f Sft | 5Hc | 9-4 | 7/8 | Last Outlaw (6¼L) | 7/1 | 70 | 59 |
| 14 Oct 24 | Wdr Windsor | 5f Hy | 4Hc | 9-0 | 3/8 | Balmoral Lady (4½L) | 16/1 | 71 | 69 |
| 13 Sep 24 | San Sandown | 5f Sft | 5Hc | 9-2 | 1/7 | Danger Alert (¾L) | 100/30 | 65 | 76 |
| 30 Aug 24 | San Sandown | 5f Gd | 5Hc | 9-7 | 2/11 | Harb (shd) | 3/1J | 63 | 73 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 5f Gd | 5Hc | 9-5 | 4/7 | Kiss And Run (2¼L) | 7/2 | 63 | 66 |
Verdict
One More Wave is the solid option but the well-handicapped TYGER BAY shaped nicely last time and could take a step forward.
Tyger Bay
Betting Forecast:
9/4 One More Wave,
6/1 Bluebells Boy,
8/1 Whats In The Bag,
Tyger Bay,
10/1 Hierarchy,
Lihou,
Four Adaay,
12/1 Mart,
Sovereign Knight,
16/1 Tyke,
20/1 Temple Bruer,
25/1 Liv My Life
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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