A high class race generally speaking and won by the likes of Raven’s Pass and Kingman in the last ten years so better than your average Group Three, though whether anything of that calibre lines up this afternoon only time will tell. Richard Hannon’s Repton (14/1) heads the official ratings and has to have a decent enough chance after a maiden win at Salisbury over five furlongs and then finishing less than four lengths behind War Decree in the Group Two Vintage Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. The son of Zebedee tried making the running over this seven furlongs that day but didn’t get home and lost a few places inside the last 100yards which makes us wonder why they would send him here with its stiff uphill finish even more likely to test his already suspect stamina. Admittedly Mr Hannon will have forgotten more than we will ever know but he is not bred for this either and for now we do feel his price fails to reflect his actual chances.
As most will know the Andrew Balding horses are rarely fully wound up for their racecourse debuts which made the first time out win of South Seas (11/4) all the more impressive and one we instantly added to our notebooks. An eight length debut win at Windsor saw favourite backers walk away with smiles on their faces as he landed odds of 7/4, and he followed up next time out at Haydock when pulling clear at odds on to win by close to three lengths. We do note that both his wins were on soft going though which has to be seen as a concern, though as a son of Lope De Vega he may even improve for the better going and if that is the case we feel he will prove pretty difficult to beat.
With the Luca Cumani yard in such good form in recent weeks we need to add Total Star (14/1) in to our race preview as the son of Pivotal looks to follow up his easy maiden win at Beverley just over a week ago. After a debut second to the well regarded Samharry at Doncaster he was sent to Beverley as part of his education and was sent off odds on before beating Sue’s Angel by a very easy five lengths and although he will need to improve a lot on that to take a hand at this level, his trainer likes to wind his two year olds up nice and slowly and we are quietly confident there is plenty more improvement to come with more racing.
As you may have read Godolphin opened their cheque book to buy Van Der Decken (11/1) but his form has sloped off since moving to Charlie Appleby. He was an acceptable fifth in the Coventry for his old trainer Pat Twomey but was only third of four at Newmarket in a Conditions Stakes last time out which must be seen as a disappointing effort, and he will need to get back to his best form if he wants to get involved at this sort of level again.
Lastly, Seniority (10/1) arrives with a one race one win record for trainer William Haggas who is another not exactly known for having them fully tuned up first time out. No one told the horse though and he beat Zefferino by half a length at Newmarket despite a slow start and can only go on form that and could well be something half decent by the end of the season.