SAF
The 42/1 Cheltenham Day 1 Willie Mullins acca that will have the bookies running for cover
4 hours ago
HAPPY VALLEY 5 March 2025
Kwoon Chung Motors Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 3f
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Far more competitive since dropping to Class 5; a breakthrough win looks on the horizon
525-30
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
OR: 40
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-9 | 5/12 | Confringo (2½L) | 67/10 | 40 | 43 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-8 | 2/12 | Kasa Papa (½L) | 49/10 | 39 | 52 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-9 | 5/13 | Chilli Baba (2L) | 57/10 | 40 | 47 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 9-9 | 3/14 | Fire Ball (1¼L) | 19/1 | 40 | 47 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-7 | 10/14 | Matsu Victor (6¼L) | 75/1 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 8-8 | 9/14 | Californiatotality (5½L) | 64/1 | 44 | 42 |
Yet to progress in eight handicap starts this term; today's ease in grade aids his chance
6-5384
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 39
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 8-6 tb | 6/14 | Billionaire Secret (3¼L) | 9/1 | 41 | 44 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | 3yHc | 8-5 tb | 5/14 | Ka Ying Attack (2L) | 19/5 | 43 | 48 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-5 tb | 3/12 | Youth Power (2L) | 18/1 | 44 | 52 |
| 17 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 8/14 | Super Love Dragon (4¾L) | 36/5 | 46 | 46 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-12 tb | 4/14 | Master Of All (2¼L) | 26/1 | 48 | 54 |
| 20 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-13 tb1 | 6/14 | Win Speed (4L) | 30/1 | 50 | 54 |
Took a step forward on New Year's Day but has produced two lesser efforts since
802-06
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 35
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-6 e/s | 8/14 | Gallant Crown (4¾L) | 19/1 | 37 | 38 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-6 et | 10/12 | Kasa Papa (7½L) | 81/10 | 37 | 36 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-5 et | 2/13 | Chilli Baba (¾L) | 9/1 | 36 | 46 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tv1 | 10/14 | Fire Ball (5¼L) | 24/1 | 38 | 36 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tb | 6/8 | Fury And Gold (3¼L) | 9/1 | 40 | 48 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-7 tb | 9/14 | Reliable Profit (6½L) | 24/1 | 42 | 41 |
Looked on the verge of a breakthrough but has disappointed in his last two outings
0-0224
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
OR: 34
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 8-12 t | 12/14 | Gallant Crown (8L) | 11/1 | 36 | 29 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 9-5 t | 11/11 | Colourful Baron (22L) | 33/10F | 36 | 15 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 9-5 t | 2/11 | Joyful Prosperity (3L) | 51/10 | 36 | 44 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-0 t | 2/10 | Arthur's Kingdom (1¾L) | 17/5 | 35 | 46 |
| 10 Jul 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f GF | Hc | 9-8 t | 4/12 | Ninja Derby (4¼L) | 49/10 | 39 | 45 |
| 15 May 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-7 t | 8/10 | Big Red (8½L) | 31/5 | 41 | 30 |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 21 in the last 14 days (0%)
Returned to form in January and again ran well when fourth last month; not dismissed
430-09
Age: 6
Weight: 9-1
OR: 32
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-2 p | 4/14 | Gallant Crown (2L) | 24/1 | 33 | 40 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-3 p | 3/12 | Kasa Papa (2¼L) | 15/1 | 34 | 44 |
| 8 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-6 b | 11/11 | Pegasus General (7½L) | 35/1 | 37 | 28 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 9-8 b | 14/14 | Fire Ball (7¼L) | 15/1 | 39 | 32 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 b | 9/12 | Turin Warrior (4¼L) | 11/1 | 41 | 41 |
| 14 Jul 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-9 b | 12/14 | Volcanic Spark (13½L) | 10/1 | 45 | 29 |
Showed ability last season but has underwhelmed in four outings since returning
8-0778
Age: 5
Weight: 9-1
OR: 32
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-3 tb | 8/12 | Confringo (3¼L) | 21/1 | 34 | 36 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 9-6 tv | 11/11 | Yeaboi (10½L) | 17/1 | 37 | 27 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-6 tb | 7/8 | Fury And Gold (5¾L) | 63/10 | 39 | 42 |
| 8 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd/Y | Hc | 9-8 tb | 7/13 | Go Go Go (3¼L) | 87/10 | 39 | 41 |
| 1 Jul 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-7 tb | 8/14 | Smiling Collector (4½L) | 12/1 | 43 | 49 |
| 29 May 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-10 v1 | 13/14 | G Liner (7¼L) | 23/1 | 45 | 43 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 28 in the last 14 days (0%)
Struggled early this season but has been more competitive in recent outings; back on turf
44-496
Age: 7
Weight: 9-1
OR: 32
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-3 tv | 4/14 | Precision Goal (6L) | 31/1 | 34 | 33 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-4 tb | 4/13 | Chilli Baba (1¾L) | 13/1 | 35 | 42 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-3 tb | 4/8 | Fury And Gold (2L) | 15/2 | 36 | 46 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-2 b | 9/11 | Me Time (7¼L) | 31/1 | 38 | 37 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-8 b | 6/9 | Kingly Demeanor (3½L) | 66/10 | 40 | 51 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-5 b | 10/11 | D Star (5L) | 69/1 | 42 | 41 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Narrowly beaten in December; latest run was a step backward, so he needs to rebound
0-2455
Age: 6
Weight: 8-13
OR: 30
Days: 63
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-13 | 11/13 | Chilli Baba (10½L) | 74/10 | 30 | 19 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 8-9 | 2/8 | Fury And Gold (shd) | 37/10 | 28 | 41 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 8-11 | 4/9 | Kingly Demeanor (2¼L) | 56/10 | 29 | 42 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 9-0 | 5/11 | Colourful Baron (6¾L) | 25/1 | 31 | 42 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 9-1 | 5/11 | Joyful Prosperity (4L) | 25/1 | 32 | 37 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-11 | 9/10 | Arthur's Kingdom (7½L) | 22/1 | 32 | 31 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
Has been poor in seven runs this term; should be performing better off his current mark
80-370
Age: 6
Weight: 8-12
OR: 29
Days: 49
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-12 t | 8/12 | Kasa Papa (5½L) | 33/1 | 31 | 34 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-2 t | 12/13 | Chilli Baba (15½L) | 33/1 | 33 | 11 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 8-13 t | 3/8 | Fury And Gold (1¾L) | 20/1 | 34 | 44 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-2 t | 7/9 | Kingly Demeanor (5L) | 69/10 | 36 | 44 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 9-7 t | 10/11 | Colourful Baron (21L) | 9/1 | 38 | 18 |
| 28 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-13 t | 6/8 | Casa Legend (7¼L) | 14/1 | 40 | 37 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (0%)
In decent form early this campaign, but two poor efforts this year suggest he needs more
00-443
Age: 6
Weight: 8-4
OR: 20
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-3 tb | 14/14 | Precision Goal (14½L) | 17/1 | 20 | - |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-3 tb | 10/13 | Chilli Baba (10L) | 20/1 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-3 tb | 4/11 | Yeaboi (2½L) | 11/2 | 20 | 27 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-4 tb | 4/10 | Precision Goal (3½L) | 54/10 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-5 tb | 3/13 | Spangle Fortune (2½L) | 47/10 | 22 | 28 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-6 tb | 3/11 | Colourful Baron (4¼L) | 31/5 | 23 | 39 |
3
(11)
CD
Fury And Gold t
T: C H Yip
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
5-1256
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
OR: 38
Days: 49
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-7 t | 5/12 | Kasa Papa (3½L) | 63/10 | 38 | 45 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-0 t | 1/8 | Golden Fairy (shd) | 19/10F | 33 | 46 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-0 t | 2/9 | Kingly Demeanor (hd) | 9/1 | 32 | 49 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-4 t | 5/12 | Kingly Demeanor (4¾L) | 14/1 | 34 | 39 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 9-3 et | 6/11 | Colourful Baron (8¾L) | 14/1 | 36 | 43 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 9-7 tb1 | 9/11 | Joyful Prosperity (6¼L) | 8/1 | 38 | 39 |
Verdict
This may go to SMASHING EXPRESS, who has improved notably since dropping to Class 5 and is taken to secure his breakthrough.
Smashing Express
Betting Forecast:
7/2 Smashing Express,
4/1 Super Hong Kong,
5/1 Gold Tack,
11/2 California Moxie,
7/1 Golden Fairy,
8/1 Nice Birdie,
10/1 Joyful Champion,
14/1 Fruity Warrior,
16/1 Mr Aladdin,
20/1 On The Lash
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