Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
13 hours ago
KEMPTON (AW)
26 March 2025
Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Standard To Slow
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Could be up to defying a 7lb penalty with this extra furlong likely to suit
1-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
OR: -
Days: 187
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 6f Gd | 42yMd | 9-7 | 1/12 | Belgrave (1¼L) | 3/1 | - | 81 |
Trainer less than 5% in maiden/novice contests last five years
Form:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: -
Big backward step when tailed off at Lingfield three weeks ago
58
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 5Md | 8-8 | 8/9 | Big Sip (38L) | 125/1 | - | - |
| 19 Feb 25 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 5Md | 8-11 | 5/8 | Emerald Downs (6½L) | 80/1 | - | 47 |
Trainer knows the family well; this one showed next to nothing at two
00-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 133
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 52yNv | 9-2 h | 11/12 | Present Times (34L) | 300/1 | - | 4 |
| 25 Oct 24 | Nby Newbury | 6.5f Hy | 42yMd | 9-2 h1 | 13/13 | Spirit Of Farhh (22L) | 200/1 | - | 32 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (36%)
Similar form in his two novice runs; probably needs more to win
5-6
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 43yNv | 9-4 | 6/8 | Michael Scofield (4¼L) | 2/1J | - | 71 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 52yNv | 9-4 | 5/13 | Bowmark (6¾L) | 18/1 | - | 72 |
Ran to RPR of 83 on heavy ground the last twice; worth sticking with
522-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: 81
Days: 152
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 24 | Nby Newbury | 6.5f Hy | 42yMd | 9-7 | 2/13 | Spirit Of Farhh (2½L) | 7/2 | - | 83 |
| 3 Oct 24 | Sal Salisbury | 6f Hy | 22y | 9-4 | 2/6 | Bob Mali (1¼L) | 9/1 | - | 83 |
| 22 Jun 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 7f GF | 42yNv | 9-4 | 5/8 | Ancient Truth (10L) | 12/1 | - | 59 |
Tailed off in maiden contests here and at Lingfield this year; can only watch
78
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 5Md | 8-12 | 8/8 | Lightening Mann (24L) | 250/1 | - | 13 |
| 19 Feb 25 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 5Md | 9-1 | 7/7 | Massimo Blue (25L) | 50/1 | - | - |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (0%)
Probably wants to go up again in trip rather than returning to 7f
9-5
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 8f St | 5Md | 8-12 | 5/9 | Big Sip (14½L) | 16/1 | - | 51 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 | 9/9 | Yankee Dude (15L) | 40/1 | - | 41 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (4%)
Handicaps after this should present him with an opportunity to win
75
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 9
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 4Nv | 9-1 | 5/7 | Prince Of India (13½L) | 28/1 | - | 39 |
| 11 Mar 25 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 5Md | 9-0 | 7/8 | McIntosh (9¾L) | 16/1 | - | 44 |
Trainer 16% in maidens/novices last five years; monitor betting
Form:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: -
Trainer 0-10 in maidens/novices last five years; others more obvious
Form:
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: -
Days: -
Verdict
2,000 Guineas and Irish 2,000 Guineas entry Shameful might struggle to give 7lb away to MARVELMAN.
Marvelman
Betting Forecast:
6/4 Marvelman,
5/2 Shameful,
5/1 Man Of La Mancha,
11/2 Westington House,
10/1 Zero Zero,
25/1 Shabu Shabu,
33/1 An Fear Beag,
Zappata,
50/1 Brightlikeadiamond,
66/1 Benny The Bouncer,
100/1 Blackbrook,
150/1 Rupert The Prince
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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