The 26/1 Aintree Day 1 acca that could be the bookies' nightmare scenario
23 hours ago
MARKET RASEN
26 March 2025
Visit Irish Bloodstock Sales With ITM Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 4f 139y
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 8
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Won last week's handicap hurdle debut at Wetherby (2m) off this mark under Joshua Thompson
2P-61
Age: 5
Weight: 11-12
OR: 95
Days: 8
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 25 | Wet Wetherby | 16f Gd | 5HcH | 11-3 h | 1/7 | V Twelve (2L) | 25/1 | 95 | 99 |
| 5 Feb 25 | Sed Sedgefield | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-6 h | 6/11 | Ridin Solo (37L) | 33/1 | - | 66 |
| 13 May 24 | Cat Catterick | 16f Gd | 5Hc | 9-4 h | 7/8 | Animato (8L) | 10/1 | 64 | 61 |
| 28 Mar 24 | Wet Wetherby | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 10-10 h | PU/15 | Goldwyn () | 8/1 | - | - |
| 19 Feb 24 | Crl Carlisle | 17f Hy | 4MdH | 10-9 h | 2/7 | Professor Klump (nk) | 20/1 | - | 87 |
| 5 Oct 23 | Sal Salisbury | 14f Sft | 4Hc | 8-12 h | 5/9 | Military Tycoon (8½L) | 11/1 | 66 | 64 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 6 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (25%)
Won handicap debut at Huntingdon (2m5f) in clearcut style from I'm Your Buckaroo; up 5lb
58361
Age: 5
Weight: 11-12
OR: 95
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 20.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-4 | 1/7 | I'm Your Buckaroo (4L) | 15/8F | 90 | 95 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Kem Kempton | 16f Gd | 2MdH | 11-4 | 6/9 | Kientzheim (36L) | 33/1 | - | 81 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 3MdH | 11-4 | 3/11 | King Califet (16L) | 80/1 | - | 64 |
| 28 Nov 24 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 8/13 | Jackpot Des Bordes (30L) | 18/1 | - | 80 |
| 10 Nov 24 | San Sandown | 16f GS | 4NHF | 11-2 | 5/10 | Hurricane Pat (17½L) | 11/4F | - | 96 |
No solid form claims but it's his handicap debut and the move up from 2m should suit
666
Age: 5
Weight: 11-11
OR: 94
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 6/12 | Timetoshine (41L) | 28/1 | - | 80 |
| 7 Feb 25 | Kem Kempton | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-7 | 6/14 | Andashan (33L) | 150/1 | - | 87 |
| 23 Jan 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-5 | 6/10 | Palladium (34L) | 50/1 | - | 90 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
w1
Wind Op - First run after wind operation
Went from about 2m4f to 2m for both handicaps but pretty disappointing; tongue tied now
P4755
Age: 6
Weight: 11-9
OR: 92
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 25 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-11 p1 | 5/10 | Synchronist (12½L) | 5/2F | 94 | 86 |
| 4 Feb 25 | Mar Market Rasen | 16.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-10 | 5/10 | Lady Babs (11L) | 5/1 | 96 | 88 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Lei Leicester | 20.5f Hy | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/9 | Sixmilebridge (39L) | 6/1 | - | 86 |
| 18 Nov 24 | Lei Leicester | 20.5f GS | 3MdH | 11-4 | 4/12 | Woodland Park (17½L) | 16/1 | - | 95 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | PU/11 | Diamond Dealer () | 15/8F | - | - |
Handicapping last three runs and easily best of those was the first (2m4f); now 9lb lower
-35466
Age: 9
Weight: 11-8
OR: 91
Days: 50
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 25 | Mar Market Rasen | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-11 | 6/7 | Seahouses (22L) | 6/1 | 95 | 77 |
| 31 Dec 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 23.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-11 | 6/14 | Ithaka (34L) | 25/1 | 98 | 71 |
| 17 Jul 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Sft | 5HcH | 11-11 | 4/9 | Ten Ten Twenty (13L) | 20/1 | 100 | 95 |
| 30 Jun 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Gd | 3NvH | 10-13 | 5/8 | Gale Mahler (36L) | 22/1 | - | 84 |
| 18 May 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 3/9 | Miss Maverick (9L) | 22/1 | - | 95 |
| 10 Apr 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 20.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-3 | 5/15 | Carrigmoorna Rowan (14½L) | 300/1 | - | 95 |
Made much harder work of it than Youdecide when 2nd at Huntingdon (2m5f); cheekpieces now
P562
Age: 5
Weight: 11-3
OR: 86
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 25 | Hun Huntingdon | 20.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-5 t | 2/7 | Youdecide (4L) | 3/1 | 86 | 85 |
| 11 Feb 25 | Lin Lingfield | 16f Hy | 4NvH | 11-5 t1 | 6/8 | Pleasington (51L) | 18/1 | - | 69 |
| 24 Jan 25 | San Sandown | 16f Sft | 3NvH | 11-4 | 5/10 | Castle Carrock (40L) | 100/1 | - | 85 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Chl Cheltenham | 20.5f Sft | 2MdH | 11-7 | PU/9 | Diva Luna () | 33/1 | - | - |
Heavy defeats on all three starts for new yard, admittedly at huge odds in maidens
U800P6
Age: 6
Weight: 10-11
OR: 80
Days: 13
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 25 | Hex Hexham | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 t | 6/8 | Baratablet (110L) | 200/1 | 85 | 9 |
| 13 Feb 25 | Ncs Newcastle | 20.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-6 t | PU/13 | King Of Answers () | 400/1 | 90 | - |
| 2 Jan 25 | Ayr Ayr | 20.5f Sft | 4MdH | 11-6 t1 | 11/11 | Al Kalila (45L) | 200/1 | 92 | 63 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Lim Limerick | 21f Gd | MdH | 11-5 | 16/18 | Iamagetaway (51L) | 40/1 | 89 | 55 |
| 12 Jul 24 | Klb Kilbeggan | 19.5f Gd/Y | HcH | 11-4 | 8/12 | Kilashee (96L) | 20/1 | 92 | 3 |
| 5 Jul 24 | Cor Cork | 17f Gd | HcH | 11-4 | UR/15 | Contrapposto () | 28/1 | 92 | - |
Third at Catterick (2m) and Southwell (2m1f) in the last two of her three handicaps
7-6833
Age: 7
Weight: 10-6
OR: 75
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 25 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-0 | 3/10 | Synchronist (3¾L) | 6/1 | 74 | 74 |
| 22 Jan 25 | Cat Catterick | 15.5f GS | 5HcH | 9-11 | 3/12 | Bathgate (7¼L) | 9/1 | 74 | 74 |
| 17 Dec 24 | Cat Catterick | 19.5f Gd | 5HcHM | 10-4 | 8/13 | Wrappedinrubies (10½L) | 12/1 | 74 | 69 |
| 14 Nov 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 20.5f Gd | 4MdHM | 11-4 | 6/8 | Rula Bula (50L) | 18/1 | - | 55 |
| 27 Feb 24 | Cat Catterick | 15.5f Sft | 4MdH | 11-0 | 7/12 | Wolfburg (38L) | 100/1 | - | 60 |
| 12 Feb 24 | Cat Catterick | 15.5f Hy | 4MdH | 10-13 | 4/8 | Pickanumber (50L) | 80/1 | - | 57 |
7
Mac's Xpress p
J: Freddie Mitchell 5
T: Clare Ellam
759860
Age: 7
Weight: 11-3
OR: 86
Days: 61
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 25 | Don Doncaster | 19.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-7 tp | 11/16 | Brockarno (47L) | 80/1 | 90 | 52 |
| 17 Nov 24 | Fon Fontwell | 22f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-12 tp | 6/10 | Getoverthathill (44L) | 40/1 | 93 | 60 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Lud Ludlow | 24f GS | 5HcH | 11-10 p | 8/10 | Prince De Juilley (44L) | 66/1 | 96 | 60 |
| 24 Sep 24 | Fon Fontwell | 26f GS | 5HcH | 12-0 tp1 | 9/11 | No Way Pedro (52L) | 14/1 | 98 | 57 |
| 21 Aug 24 | Wor Worcester | 20f Gd | 5HcH | 11-9 tb | 5/12 | Barrons Land (6¾L) | 12/1 | 99 | 93 |
| 31 Jul 24 | Gal Galway | 21f Gd | MdH | 11-9 | 7/18 | Lightkeeper (13L) | 40/1 | 92 | 98 |
Verdict
The principal candidates appear to be last-time-out winners BODYGROOVE (unpenalised for his win) and Youdecide.
Bodygroove
Betting Forecast:
15/8 Youdecide,
9/4 Bodygroove,
7/2 I'm Your Buckaroo,
8/1 Rhiannon Ring,
12/1 Je Viens Du Large,
16/1 Scottish King,
20/1 George Darling,
33/1 Dreamings Free,
50/1 Mac's Xpress
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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