Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
15 hours ago
HEREFORD
26 March 2025
Two Farmers 0.0 Cider Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 53y
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 7
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 3 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (30%)
Improved on his handicap debut at Taunton (2m, good) recently; should be thereabouts.
/8-224
Age: 6
Weight: 12-0
OR: 105
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 25 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f Gd | 4HcH | 11-9 | 4/7 | Sunninghill (1¾L) | 11/1 | 105 | 104 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Her Hereford | 16f Sft | 4NvH | 11-3 | 2/12 | Starcrossed Lover (17L) | 14/1 | - | 101 |
| 17 Dec 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 2/10 | Don't Mind If I Do (15L) | 22/1 | - | 98 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f St | 6Hc | 9-6 | 7/7 | Seraphic (6¼L) | 9/4F | 62 | 58 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f St | 6Hc | 9-9 | 1/9 | Opticality (1¾L) | 7/1 | 58 | 65 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f St | 6Hc | 10-0 | 5/9 | Pysanka (5¼L) | 18/1 | 60 | 59 |
Well beaten at Chepstow last month and looks in need of a favour from the handicapper.
0-49F7
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 101
Days: 45
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 25 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f Sft | 4MdH | 11-1 | 7/14 | Royal Rambler (16½L) | 250/1 | - | 95 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 3MdH | 10-13 | F/11 | King Califet () | 250/1 | - | - |
| 29 Nov 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 3MdH | 10-13 | 9/10 | Regent's Stroll (52L) | 250/1 | - | 71 |
| 2 Jul 24 | Str Stratford | 16.5f GF | 5NHF | 10-11 | 4/8 | Ronnies Rules (18L) | 50/1 | - | 83 |
| 8 Feb 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 10-13 | 11/12 | Dunskay (112L) | 66/1 | - | - |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Fourth back over C&D (good) on his handicap debut latest; drops 2lb and not ruled out.
49-14
Age: 7
Weight: 11-7
OR: 98
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 25 | Her Hereford | 16f Gd | 5HcH | 12-0 t | 4/9 | Greatness Awaits (8¼L) | 4/1 | 100 | 97 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 4Hc | 10-0 | 9/9 | Wiltshire Wonder (23L) | 150/1 | 83 | 51 |
| 24 May 24 | Her Hereford | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 11-4 t | 1/14 | Global Esteem (¾L) | 15/2 | - | 97 |
| 14 Dec 23 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 ht | 9/13 | Ballee (69L) | 11/1 | - | 61 |
| 27 Nov 23 | Lud Ludlow | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 ht1 | 4/16 | Imperial Saint (19L) | 15/2 | - | 98 |
| 19 May 23 | Nby Newbury | 10f Gd | 3Hc | 9-6 | 12/19 | Mustazeed (9¾L) | 10/1 | 85 | 77 |
Pulled up in all three starts for Sheila Lewis; changed hands since; watching brief.
59P-PP
Age: 7
Weight: 11-7
OR: 98
Days: 244
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 24 | Wor Worcester | 16f Gd | 4HcH | 11-6 | PU/12 | Byzantine Empire () | 100/1 | 105 | - |
| 28 Jun 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 16.5f Gd | 4NvHcH | 11-11 | PU/10 | Dog Fox () | 66/1 | 109 | - |
| 31 Mar 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f Hy | 4NvH | 10-12 | PU/6 | Patriotik () | 16/1 | 112 | - |
| 12 Dec 23 | Pun Punchestown | 19.5f Hy | HcH | 11-7 | 9/17 | Petit King (13½L) | 40/1 | 109 | 103 |
| 21 Jun 23 | Wex Wexford | 16.5f Gd | MdH | 11-8 b1 | 5/11 | Bowmore (42L) | 7/1 | 113 | 83 |
| 15 May 23 | Kln Killarney | 20f Gd | NvH | 11-4 | 4/7 | Absurde (23L) | 28/1 | 116 | 102 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 6 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (25%)
Each-way player based on best form but needs to be much better than her last two starts.
2-P24P
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
OR: 95
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 25 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 19.5f Hy | 5HcH | 11-8 t | PU/7 | Richardson () | 5/1 | 97 | - |
| 25 Jan 25 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f GS | 5HcH | 11-13 t | 4/11 | Owl Of Athens (33L) | 16/1 | 99 | 79 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Lei Leicester | 15.5f Hy | 5HcHM | 12-0 t1 | 2/6 | Passing Kate (10L) | 15/2 | 99 | 94 |
| 7 May 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f GS | 5HcH | 12-0 | PU/9 | Jasmin De Grugy () | 14/1 | 100 | - |
| 2 Apr 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 4NvHM | 11-0 | 2/6 | Easy Peasy (3½L) | 13/8 | 102 | 98 |
| 7 Mar 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Hy | 4NvHM | 11-0 | 5/10 | Emily's Choice (11L) | 4/5F | 102 | 83 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (0%)
Pulled up on handicap debut (2m4f, good to soft) latest; drops 4lb; more needed.
9-875P
Age: 6
Weight: 11-0
OR: 91
Days: 37
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 25 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-12 | PU/11 | Almuhit () | 28/1 | 95 | - |
| 8 Feb 25 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 3NvH | 11-2 | 5/5 | Rubber Ball (35L) | 125/1 | - | 84 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Her Hereford | 21.5f Sft | 4NvH | 11-3 | 7/9 | Sole Solution (37L) | 12/1 | - | 70 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-4 | 8/14 | Give Me A Boom (17L) | 40/1 | - | 91 |
| 25 Apr 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Gd | 5MdNHF | 11-6 | 9/13 | Jubilant (56L) | 8/1 | - | 50 |
| 27 Mar 24 | Her Hereford | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 11-2 | 3/6 | Jurancon (4¾L) | 25/1 | - | 107 |
Third (C&D, good) on debut; this looks a stiff task on handicap debut from this mark.
344
Age: 4
Weight: 10-11
OR: 98
Days: 70
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan 25 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f Sft | 34yH | 10-11 | 4/7 | Sherminator (15L) | 9/1 | 100 | 84 |
| 21 Nov 24 | War Warwick | 16f GS | 43yH | 10-11 | 4/7 | Tashan (9¾L) | 6/1 | - | 87 |
| 14 Oct 24 | Her Hereford | 16f Gd | 43yH | 10-11 | 3/5 | Aotano (4½L) | 9/4 | - | 91 |
Verdict
A moderate contest where the topweight RENOIR (nap) can provide the answer, after a respectable handicap debut last time.
Renoir
Betting Forecast:
13/8 Renoir,
9/4 Time Interval,
5/1 Lenjoleur De Palma,
7/1 Twyford's Diamond,
9/1 A Good Yomp,
25/1 Strong As Steel,
33/1 Privilege
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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