Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
KEMPTON (AW)
4 December 2024
Wednesday 4th December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Unibet Zero% Mission EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Standard To Slow
- Runners
- 14
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Mostly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1,600,000gns yearling; first foal of a Group 1 winner; lots to like on paper
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Promising 4th in a useful 7f maiden at Goodwood in August; one of the likelier winners
4
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 125
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 7f GF | 22yMdF | 9-2 | 4/11 | Dreamy (2¾L) | 14/1 | - | 70 |
Half-sister to a 1m1f-1m3f winner in Italy; drawn widest on debut and likely best watched
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (29%)
Half-sister to 4 winners (including Group 3); one of two well-connected newcomers for yard
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (0%)
Half-sister to a fair winner out of a useful winning mare; perhaps a longer-term prospect
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (33%)
Found wanting for pace over C&D five weeks ago; can do better but such progress is a must
4
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 42yNvF | 9-2 | 4/10 | Bermuda Longtail (8L) | 5/1 | - | 63 |
68,000gns half-sister to three winners out of a 1m 2yo winner; other newcomers appeal more
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (30%)
Promising debut when fourth of ten at Southwell last month; this will demand much more
4
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 4/10 | Zanzoun (6L) | 28/1 | - | 68 |
Dam a Listed winner in Germany; yard's AW 2yos have an excellent strike-rate this year
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
425,000gns yearling; dam winning half-sister to Arc heroine Bluestocking; newcomer of note
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (0%)
Promising debut here four weeks ago (1m); open to improvement and holds strong claims
3
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 3/12 | Bowerchalke (½L) | 11/1 | - | 70 |
Has three winning siblings and her dam was an AW winner; betting should be a good guide
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
30,000gns half-sister to Group 2-placed Khunan; one of two newcomers for the yard
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Verdict
The betting can help with the newcomers but as things stand THAISA is preferred to Arabian Leopard.
Thaisa
Betting Forecast:
11/4 Thaisa,
7/2 Alfareqa,
9/2 Sand Gazelle,
13/2 Arabian Leopard,
Dancing Colours,
10/1 The New Bay Pearl,
14/1 Lady Mariko,
16/1 Mehmas Shy Angel,
20/1 Azaniya,
33/1 Jindri,
Trumptress,
Volcanic Dancer,
40/1 Bella Bianca,
50/1 A Swan Song
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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