Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
LINGFIELD (AW)
4 December 2024
Wednesday 4th December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
BetMGM Winter Oaks Trial Fillies' Handicap (Class 2) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 2f
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 11
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Polytrack
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
Selection
Selected At
Therapist
Selected at:
10/1
Therapist managed to win a couple of low grade handicaps over hurdles but could be suited by the return to the Flat here. Third in a decent race at Goodwood on her last start in this sphere, she’s entitled to be in the mix now on a 1lb lower mark.
Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
Bet Here
10/1
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 4 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (36%)
Latest win took her Tapeta form figures to 311; big player assuming she takes to Polytrack
323411
Age: 3
Weight: 9-12
OR: 88
Days: 33
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 4Hc | 9-11 | 1/7 | Johnny Ringo (2L) | 7/4F | 82 | 92 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 5Hc | 9-8 | 1/9 | Rosenzoo (2¼L) | 13/8F | 77 | 89 |
| 25 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Sft | 23yMdF | 9-2 | 4/9 | Estrange (9¾L) | 11/4J | 78 | 74 |
| 16 Aug 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 5NvF | 9-2 | 3/11 | Samra Star (3½L) | 100/30 | - | 86 |
| 2 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 8f Gd | 4NvF | 9-2 | 2/8 | Noisy Jazz (5L) | 6/4F | - | 76 |
| 10 Jul 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f GS | 5MdF | 9-2 | 3/11 | Kinako Mochi (2¼L) | 9/2 | - | 75 |
Impressive at Kempton on sole Polytrack start (debut); regressive since
12-50
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
OR: 83
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 24 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f St | 4Hc | 9-11 | 11/12 | Koy Koy (8¾L) | 11/2 | 85 | 75 |
| 24 Mar 24 | Don Doncaster | 10f Sft | 33yHc | 9-9 | 5/8 | Ace War (10L) | 5/1 | 86 | 78 |
| 17 Nov 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f St | 52yNvF | 9-9 | 2/12 | Bigtime Bridget (1¼L) | 4/11F | - | 79 |
| 1 Nov 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 52yNvF | 9-2 | 1/12 | Always Waving (6L) | 6/1 | - | 84 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Largely consistent but has little in hand off current mark
551266
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 80
Days: 30
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 2Hc | 9-2 | 6/14 | The Glen Rovers (4¼L) | 8/1 | 81 | 83 |
| 16 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-10 | 6/14 | Siempre Arturo (4¼L) | 10/1 | 81 | 83 |
| 20 Sep 24 | Nby Newbury | 12f Sft | 4HcF | 9-10 | 2/9 | Loughville (2½L) | 11/1 | 79 | 85 |
| 4 Sep 24 | Bat Bath | 11.5f Gd | 4HcF | 9-11 | 1/8 | Ciara Pearl (1½L) | 11/2 | 75 | 84 |
| 15 Aug 24 | Wdr Windsor | 11.5f GF | 3Hc | 8-7 | 5/8 | Night Breeze (5½L) | 20/1 | 75 | 75 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 4Hc | 9-7 | 5/12 | Good Too (2¾L) | 15/2 | 76 | 79 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 25 in the last 14 days (0%)
In-form mare who goes in reapplied cheekpieces; won her last two attempts in this headgear
511242
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 80
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 4HcF | 8-11 | 2/8 | Power Of Destiny (½L) | 11/1 | 75 | 85 |
| 1 Nov 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 4Hc | 9-0 | 4/7 | Charlotte's Web (3½L) | 9/2 | 75 | 77 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Nmk Newmarket | 12f GS | 2HcF | 7-12 | 2/11 | Chorus (3¼L) | 12/1 | 74 | 81 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 10f Gd | 5Hc | 9-4 p | 1/5 | Piecederesistance (nk) | 4/9F | 65 | 71 |
| 16 Aug 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f Gd | 5Hc | 9-6 p | 1/11 | Double Red (17L) | 12/1 | 65 | 83 |
| 24 Jul 24 | Lei Leicester | 12f GF | 5HcF | 10-1 p | 5/7 | Maritime Lady (4¼L) | 12/1 | 67 | 68 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Close third over C&D two weeks ago; looks set for a good winter; respected off same mark
511683
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 80
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 4Hc | 9-11 | 3/9 | Wide Margin (¾L) | 15/8F | 80 | 85 |
| 25 Oct 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f Hy | 4HcF | 9-10 h | 8/10 | Ciara Pearl (27L) | 15/2 | 81 | 40 |
| 5 Sep 24 | Hay Haydock | 10f GS | 3HcF | 9-7 | 6/10 | Warda Jamila (4L) | 15/8F | 81 | 80 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Sal Salisbury | 10f Gd | 4HcF | 9-9 h | 1/7 | Roarin' Success (1½L) | 7/2 | 78 | 87 |
| 21 May 24 | Not Nottingham | 10f Gd | 5HcF | 10-0 h1 | 1/8 | Xiomara (1½L) | 15/8F | 73 | 83 |
| 30 Apr 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f Gd | 4Hc | 9-5 | 5/13 | Great Blasket (4¾L) | 5/1F | 74 | 75 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Disappointing in latest hurdles start; showed promise here in sole AW attempt (debut)
1393-3
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
OR: 79
Days: 103
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Gd | 4HcH | 10-10 | 7/9 | Getalead (15L) | 100/30F | 105 | 96 |
| 20 Sep 24 | Nab Newton Abbot | 17f Gd | 5HcH | 11-10 | 2/9 | Daany (nk) | 100/30 | 102 | 105 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 12f Gd | 4HcF | 9-13 | 3/5 | Crystal Flyer (2¼L) | 17/2 | 80 | 84 |
| 28 Jun 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 16.5f Gd | 4NvHcH | 11-1 | 2/10 | Dog Fox (3¼L) | 9/4F | 101 | 102 |
| 21 May 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Gd | 5HcHM | 11-2 | 1/6 | Billams Legacy (1L) | 5/2F | 97 | 93 |
| 7 May 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f Gd | 5NvHcH | 10-12 | 1/10 | Jumping Jupiter (3¾L) | 16/5F | 90 | 94 |
Took well to first-time hood at Chelmsford (1m) five weeks ago on AW debut; possibilities
776321
Age: 3
Weight: 8-11
OR: 73
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 8f St | 5HcF | 9-13 h1 | 1/8 | Saved Lizzie (hd) | 4/1 | 70 | 79 |
| 16 Sep 24 | Thi Thirsk | 8f GS | 5HcF | 9-12 | 2/8 | Style Of Life (2L) | 9/4 | 70 | 73 |
| 27 Aug 24 | Rip Ripon | 8f GF | 5Hc | 9-11 | 3/8 | Jesmond Dawn (4¼L) | 3/1F | 71 | 73 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Hay Haydock | 8f GF | 53yHc | 9-7 | 6/10 | Remoji (4¼L) | 25/1 | 73 | 71 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Crl Carlisle | 7f GF | 4HcF | 9-4 | 7/8 | Red Pixie (6L) | 18/1 | 75 | 64 |
| 15 Jun 24 | San Sandown | 8f GS | 43yHcF | 9-8 | 7/7 | Asteverdi (17L) | 15/2 | 77 | 49 |
All wins at further, none above Class 5; not the percentage call
141550
Age: 3
Weight: 8-8
OR: 70
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 24 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 13f St | LF | 9-0 | 10/12 | Sea Theme (18L) | 125/1 | 75 | 71 |
| 4 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 5Hc | 9-6 | 5/7 | Melek Alreeh (2¼L) | 6/1 | 75 | 77 |
| 4 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 12.5f St | 5Hc | 9-11 | 5/8 | Sectarius (5¼L) | 5/2F | 74 | 72 |
| 26 Sep 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 12f St | 5HcF | 9-9 | 1/9 | Dance Time (3¼L) | 4/1 | 68 | 77 |
| 19 Sep 24 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 14f St | 5Hc | 9-1 | 4/7 | Saint Riquier (4¼L) | 6/1 | 68 | 71 |
| 27 Aug 24 | Mus Musselburgh | 12.5f Gd | 6Hc | 9-6 | 1/10 | Freddy Robinson (nse) | 13/8F | 64 | 73 |
Two attempts on AW include a Kempton success; interesting back in this sphere
5-1343
Age: 3
Weight: 8-8
OR: 70
Days: 180
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 24 | Bat Bath | 11.5f GF | 53yHc | 9-11 | 3/4 | Cracker Star (7½L) | 6/1 | 72 | 66 |
| 14 May 24 | Bev Beverley | 10f GF | 53yHc | 9-7 | 4/7 | Flickering Halo (3¾L) | 13/2 | 73 | 72 |
| 27 Apr 24 | Don Doncaster | 12f Sft | 53yHc | 9-7 | 3/7 | Contacto (11L) | 11/4 | 73 | 72 |
| 15 Apr 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 11f St/Slw | 5MdF | 8-6 | 1/7 | Reyaadah Star (nk) | 100/30 | - | 71 |
| 16 Nov 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 5/10 | Rochelle (9L) | 11/1 | - | 50 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Gained her win in a weak race and goes into deeper waters at this level
3133
Age: 3
Weight: 8-8
OR: 70
Days: 23
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St | 53yHc | 9-11 | 3/7 | Sambucus (2¼L) | 100/30 | 70 | 74 |
| 4 Oct 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 8f St | 5Nv | 9-6 | 3/5 | Jacks My Boy (4½L) | 9/2 | 71 | 66 |
| 12 Sep 24 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 10f St/Slw | 5NvF | 9-2 | 1/4 | Breckenridge (7½L) | 3/1 | - | 70 |
| 19 Aug 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 10f GF | 5Md | 9-2 | 3/6 | Star Time (3¾L) | 25/1 | - | 61 |
Faces a stiffer task in this grade and has stamina to prove over the new trip
153426
Age: 4
Weight: 8-4
OR: 64
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 24 | Not Nottingham | 8.5f Sft | 5Hc | 9-7 | 6/12 | Equion (4¾L) | 13/2 | 63 | 60 |
| 28 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 8f St | 6Hc | 9-10 | 2/12 | Savanna King (¾L) | 5/1J | 63 | 69 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 5Hc | 9-7 | 4/13 | New Kings Road (5¼L) | 5/1 | 64 | 62 |
| 19 Sep 24 | Yar Yarmouth | 8f GF | 5Hc | 9-9 | 3/10 | Cavalry Call (5L) | 9/4F | 65 | 65 |
| 30 Aug 24 | San Sandown | 8f Gd | 5HcF | 9-10 | 5/6 | Windcrack (4½L) | 7/4F | 65 | 65 |
| 17 Aug 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 8f Gd | 5HcF | 9-9 | 1/8 | Ardbraccan (½L) | 15/8 | 63 | 71 |
Verdict
Solid-looking ELLADONNA is taken to build on her C&D effort and score off the same mark. Charlotte's Web is feared most.
Elladonna
Betting Forecast:
6/4 Charlotte's Web,
9/2 Elladonna,
7/1 Lokana,
8/1 Typical Woman,
10/1 Therapist,
12/1 Timeless Charm,
14/1 Miss Dolly Rocker,
16/1 Kingmont,
20/1 Kinetic,
Countess Candy,
25/1 Adelabella
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