Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
LUDLOW
4 December 2024
Wednesday 4th December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
McCartneys Ltd Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 4) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 7f 212y
- Going: Good To Soft
- Runners
- 6
- Type
- Chase Turf
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 15 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cruised clear to win very comfortably at Southwell last month, his second chasing start
1-2441
Age: 5
Weight: 12-0
OR: 106
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f Gd | 5NvHcCh | 11-11 | 1/4 | Easter Junction (4L) | 7/4 | 97 | 103 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Fak Fakenham | 16.5f Gd | 4NvHcCh | 10-7 | 4/6 | River Gold (10L) | 100/30 | 99 | 96 |
| 16 May 24 | Fon Fontwell | 19f GS | 4HcH | 10-8 | 4/4 | Hecouldbetheone (20L) | 4/1 | 99 | 85 |
| 7 May 24 | Fak Fakenham | 20f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-7 | 2/7 | Soir De Gala (3¾L) | 7/2 | 99 | 100 |
| 24 Apr 24 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f Gd | 5HcH | 10-13 | 1/16 | Earth Cry (2¼L) | 18/1 | 92 | 99 |
| 28 Jan 24 | Fon Fontwell | 19f Sft | 4NvH | 11-3 | PU/12 | Risk De Pluie () | 66/1 | - | - |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (25%)
Course winner over hurdles last season and creditable second on chase debut in October
P431-2
Age: 5
Weight: 11-9
OR: 101
Days: 36
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 17.5f Sft | 5HcCh | 12-0 | 2/9 | Mutual Respect (1¾L) | 15/2 | 102 | 105 |
| 21 Mar 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 4HcHM | 11-2 | 1/5 | Brendas Asking (¾L) | 7/2 | 99 | 103 |
| 25 Feb 24 | Her Hereford | 16f Sft | 4MdHM | 11-6 | 3/9 | Mighty Moth (7¾L) | 11/1 | - | 100 |
| 5 Feb 24 | Crl Carlisle | 17f Sft | 4NvH | 10-12 | 4/12 | Coniston George (9L) | 66/1 | - | 91 |
| 4 Jan 24 | Her Hereford | 21.5f GS | 4MdHM | 11-4 | PU/12 | Kit's Coty () | 10/1 | - | - |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 37 in the last 14 days (3%)
Travelled well to a point on chase/handicap debut and remains unexposed
436-47
Age: 5
Weight: 11-6
OR: 98
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 16f GS | 4NvHcCh | 10-9 h | 7/8 | Ryan's Rocket (22L) | 28/1 | 101 | 87 |
| 14 May 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 11-4 h1 | 4/13 | Haarar (3¾L) | 7/1 | 101 | 95 |
| 13 Mar 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-6 | 6/10 | Mount Gallion (29L) | 11/4 | 103 | 81 |
| 7 Feb 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 4NvH | 11-0 | 3/8 | Rossbridge (5¼L) | 2/1F | - | 98 |
| 14 Dec 23 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 4/13 | Ballee (40L) | 66/1 | - | 89 |
| 15 Oct 23 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f GS | 4MdNHF | 11-1 | 5/7 | Doyen Quest (6¾L) | 20/1 | - | 93 |
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (33%)
Clear second to a next-time-out winner at Warwick last month; runs off same mark here
P555-2
Age: 6
Weight: 11-3
OR: 95
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 24 | War Warwick | 16.5f GS | 5HcCh | 11-9 h1 | 2/8 | Paddy In The Caddy (5½L) | 10/1 | 95 | 98 |
| 30 Jan 24 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f Hy | 5NvHcH | 11-6 | 5/7 | Borodale (21L) | 8/1 | 98 | 77 |
| 4 Jan 24 | Her Hereford | 21.5f GS | 4MdHM | 11-4 | 5/12 | Kit's Coty (7½L) | 22/1 | 96 | 93 |
| 6 Dec 23 | Lud Ludlow | 16f Sft | 2HcHM | 10-4 | 5/5 | Magical Maggie (27L) | 10/1 | 101 | 79 |
| 11 Nov 23 | Wcn Wincanton | 21.5f GS | 2HcHM | 10-2 | PU/8 | Good Look Charm () | 40/1 | 104 | - |
| 30 Oct 22 | Agt Argentan | 21.5f GS | 4yCh | 11-0 ht | 2/8 | Bat Drim (1½L) | - | - |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Not one to rely upon but was running well until penultimate-fence mishap on chasing debut
247356
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: 94
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f Gd | 4HcChM | 10-4 p1 | 6/6 | Lime Drop (24L) | 16/1 | 95 | 90 |
| 29 Oct 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 19.5f Sft | 4HcHM | 10-5 t | 5/7 | Mermaids Cave (25L) | 22/1 | 97 | 72 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 16.5f Hy | 4HcHM | 10-6 t | 3/6 | Lexie's Moon (4½L) | 18/1 | 98 | 94 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Lud Ludlow | 21.5f Gd | 4HcHM | 10-9 t | 7/7 | Of Course You Can (22L) | 18/1 | 101 | 86 |
| 7 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 18.5f Sft | 4NvHcH | 11-5 t | 4/11 | Hard As Nails (14½L) | 22/1 | 101 | 89 |
| 7 Sep 24 | Str Stratford | 18.5f Gd | 5SlHcH | 10-13 t | 2/15 | Razzo Italiano (1L) | 7/2J | 100 | 101 |
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
0-23 when trained in Ireland and did not get competitive on last month's stable debut
773P00
Age: 7
Weight: 10-13
OR: 91
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-0 | 13/18 | Hedera Park (67L) | 7/1 | 93 | 38 |
| 30 Aug 24 | Dro Down Royal | 24f Gd | HcH | 10-8 p | 15/19 | Dinoland (44L) | 16/1 | 87 | 51 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Klb Kilbeggan | 25.5f Gd/Y | HcCh | 11-7 p | PU/14 | Joe's Turn () | 8/1 | 88 | - |
| 6 Aug 24 | Ros Roscommon | 25f Sft | HcCh | 11-6 p | 3/16 | Le Grand Vert (4¼L) | 10/1 | 87 | 87 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Wex Wexford | 19.5f Gd | HcCh | 10-6 p | 7/16 | Our Bobby (9½L) | 12/1 | 87 | 84 |
| 2 Jun 24 | Klb Kilbeggan | 25f Gd | HcH | 11-8 | 7/15 | Reserve Judgement (14½L) | 16/1 | 88 | 75 |
Verdict
Ostrava Du Berlais is respected but JOLYJUMP (nap) was a very stylish winner at Southwell last time and is taken to defy a 9lb rise.
Jolyjump
Betting Forecast:
13/8 Jolyjump,
2/1 Ostrava Du Berlais,
9/2 Dromlac Jury,
9/1 Ballydangan,
11/1 Jackpot Cash,
16/1 River Robe
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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