Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
7 hours ago
HAYDOCK
4 December 2024
Wednesday 4th December
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Watch On Racing TV Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 4) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 3m 58y
- Going: Soft
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 6 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (27%)
Well held in both hurdle runs this autumn and he's probably more of a handicap prospect
4V-05
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Crl Carlisle | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 5/11 | Ira Hayes (24L) | 66/1 | - | 101 |
| 24 Oct 24 | Crl Carlisle | 20f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 11/14 | Barlovento (52L) | 33/1 | - | 60 |
| 16 Feb 24 | Kel Kelso | 16f Sft | 4MdNHF | 11-7 | 4/12 | Dedicated Hero (12L) | 17/2 | - | 97 |
Nearly caused a 200-1 shock at Carlisle and he's not ruled out on this step up to 3m
70-P02
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: 111
Days: 41
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 24 | Crl Carlisle | 20f GS | 4NvH | 10-11 | 2/14 | Barlovento (½L) | 200/1 | - | 108 |
| 16 Oct 24 | Wet Wetherby | 19.5f GS | 4NvH | 10-11 | 11/13 | Bowling Buddy (28L) | 250/1 | - | 82 |
| 4 May 24 | Hex Hexham | 16f GS | 4NvH | 11-1 | PU/12 | Wilful () | 125/1 | - | - |
| 28 Jan 24 | Don Doncaster | 16.5f Gd | 5NHF | 11-4 | 12/12 | Les's Destiny Star (60L) | 200/1 | - | 51 |
| 5 Oct 23 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 11-1 | 7/9 | Minella Rescue (18½L) | 66/1 | - | 82 |
Won Irish point in February before being sold for £105,000; interesting on rules debut
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: -
Eyecatcher in sole bumper but was pulled up at 125-1 on hurdling debut last month
5-P
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 p1 | PU/15 | Crest Of Fortune () | 125/1 | - | - |
| 25 Apr 24 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 11-3 | 5/11 | Jafimgoso (5¼L) | 33/1 | - | 91 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (0%)
Not beaten far on hurdling debut at Wetherby (2m3f); in the mix if he can build on that
346-5
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 49
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 24 | Wet Wetherby | 19.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 5/13 | Bowling Buddy (8L) | 13/2 | - | 102 |
| 28 Mar 24 | Wet Wetherby | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 11-2 | 6/13 | Jupiter Des Mottes (19L) | 4/1 | - | 95 |
| 12 Nov 23 | San Sandown | 16f Sft | 4NHF | 11-2 | 4/7 | Touquet (10½L) | 11/4 | - | 95 |
| 28 Oct 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f GS | 2NHF | 11-1 | 3/15 | The Kemble Brewery (8¾L) | 9/1 | - | 103 |
Well held in three hurdle runs for new yard this season and remains best watched for now
3-357
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 24 | Crl Carlisle | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/11 | Ira Hayes (43L) | 16/1 | - | 82 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Crl Carlisle | 20f GS | 3NvH | 11-0 | 5/8 | Bill Joyce (21L) | 16/1 | - | 90 |
| 4 Oct 24 | Hex Hexham | 16f Gd | 4NvH | 11-0 | 3/7 | Kingston James (33L) | 15/2 | - | 69 |
| 1 Apr 24 | Cor Cork | 19f Sft | NHF | 11-9 | 3/12 | Backmersackme (5L) | 20/1 | - | 111 |
May have needed the run on hurdling debut and he's open to progress upped in trip
21-7
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/15 | Crest Of Fortune (16½L) | 4/1 | - | 96 |
| 30 Jan 24 | Chp Chepstow | 16f Hy | 4NHF | 11-2 | 1/10 | Bobby's Nelson (½L) | 4/1 | - | 112 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Chp Chepstow | 16f Hy | 5NHF | 11-2 | 2/7 | Jurancon (8L) | 9/2 | - | 107 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 20 in the last 14 days (25%)
Sold for £60,000 after Irish point win in March; needs watching in market on rules debut
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 11-4
OR: -
Days: -
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (29%)
2-5 in points but was long way behind Carrig Kate on recent hurdling debut (2m7f)
7/6
Age: 6
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 23f GS | 4NvH | 10-7 | 6/8 | Beaufort Scale (32L) | 25/1 | - | 76 |
| 24 Feb 23 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 5NHFM | 10-11 | 7/12 | Baby Sage (28L) | 9/1 | - | 82 |
0-13 in Irish points and is best watched on this switch to hurdling; hood added
Form:
Age: 5
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: -
9
Carrig Kate
J: Henry Brooke
T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 6 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (27%)
4-22
Age: 6
Weight: 10-11
OR: 113
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 23f GS | 4NvH | 10-7 | 2/8 | Beaufort Scale (nk) | 3/1 | - | 107 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 22f Hy | 4MdH | 10-8 | 2/7 | Silver Thorn (3¾L) | 10/1 | - | 105 |
| 4 Apr 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f Hy | 5NHFM | 10-7 | 4/7 | Blue Las (4¾L) | 9/2 | - | 91 |
10
Intertwine
J: Sean Quinlan
T: Jennie Candlish
200-P4
Age: 6
Weight: 10-11
OR: -
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 24 | Wex Wexford | 16f Y/Sft | NHFM | 11-11 | 4/7 | Glens Lullaby (27L) | 10/1 | - | 80 |
| 4 Sep 24 | Klb Kilbeggan | 19f Y | MdHM | 10-13 | PU/16 | Zefania () | 10/1 | - | - |
| 2 Nov 23 | Thu Thurles | 16f Sft | MdHM | 10-13 | 13/15 | Mollys Mango (83L) | 12/1 | - | 25 |
| 10 Oct 23 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Y | NHFM | 11-6 | 12/17 | Tarnova (44L) | 6/1 | - | 60 |
| 30 Aug 23 | Bel Bellewstown | 17f Gd | NHF | 11-0 | 2/8 | Gone For Tea (14L) | 5/2 | - | 90 |
| 11 Oct 22 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Gd | NHFM | 11-10 | 4/14 | Williamstowndancer (6L) | 25/1 | - | 88 |
Verdict
Preference is for heavy-ground point winner CARRIG KATE, who was only just caught in a 2m7f novice at Bangor three weeks ago.
Carrig Kate
Betting Forecast:
11/4 Carrig Kate,
7/2 Star Of Diamonds,
100/30 Jo Coko,
11/2 Grand Geste,
13/2 Ski Lodge,
9/1 Martin Plage,
25/1 Shadow Chaser,
Intertwine,
33/1 Subtle Fortune,
Vroomoz Eile,
40/1 Balking,
66/1 Ligety
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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