Course and distance form is always something crucial to look out for when you’re studying the cards for any given race day. For some horses, the track they’re being sent to can make the difference between winning and losing.
Certain horses will only perform at venues with a unique characteristics, like Cartmel and Epsom. If a horse has multiple wins at a specific course, it gives an extra boost to their chance when they return.
While looking through Monday’s racing, I spotted a fascinating horse at Windsor. Trained by an in-form stable, he’s unbeaten at the venue in 2020, for a big level stakes profit. All the details are below, and I wish you best of luck if you choose to follow him in!
A model of consistency throughout 2020, WATER’S EDGE has thrived since joining George Baker. Since going on the turf in 2020, his form figures read 233121, despite edging up the weights throughout the campaign.
Perhaps more crucially, both those victories have come over today’s course and distance at Windsor. He broke his duck for George Baker three starts ago, winning at 4/1 despite being hampered at a crucial stage.
He returned to this course and distance two starts later as a 10/1 chance, six pounds higher in the ratings. The extra weight was unable to stop him, however, as he surged home in the heavy ground to score a victory that looked unlikely two furlongs from home.
He certainly has a very good chance on paper. That victory came just seven days ago and as a result, he only has to carry a five-pound penalty. Nicola Currie has ridden him for both those successes and she retains the partnership.
George Baker has his horses in fine form, with four winners from his last nineteen runners. That 21% strike-rate is another boost to his chance and with conditions ideal, you’d have to be extremely positive on his chances.