Saturday TV Stats – 145/1 Cracker Acca!

Willoughby Court jumping a fence at Newbury

Trends Analysis: Saturday 28th Dec 2019

The busy festive racing spell continues this Saturday with LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Leicester and Lingfield, plus we’ve a supporting card at Catterick.

The Grade One Betway Challow Hurdle, at Newbury, is the day’s feature race at 3:00 – did you know? ALL of the last thirteen winners returned 8/1 or shorter, had raced in the last eight weeks and were also placed in the top three in their most recent race.

As always, we’ll be highlighting our TOP THREE trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.

Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.

TV Stats ‘145/1 Cracker Acca’
(Pays £725 for a £5 stake)

3.00 Newbury: This has been a good race for the Nicky Henderson camp in recent years – they’ve won two of the last six, including twelve months ago. This year they run THE CASHEL MAN, who bolted-up over this course and distance last time out. Yes, the Philip Hobbs-trained Tyme Hill looks the one to beat and The Cashel Man will need to step up again now upped in grade, but he did it well from the front last time out and might just be hard to peg back in this softer ground.

3.15 Leicester: The Nigel Twiston-Davies runner – BALLYELLIS – will be popular here after a string of solid efforts already this season – he’s finished in the top two in all of his last seven runs. The yard also boasts a 25% record with their hurdlers at the track and it’s also interesting that four of the last seven winners of this race were ridden by claiming jockeys – Jordan Nailor, who takes a handy 5lbs off, gets the leg-up.

3.35 Newbury: The champion jockey, Richard Johnson has a decent 23% strike-rate when riding over fences at the track so his mount – TIDAL FLOW – gets the nod here. This six-year-old was an easy winner at Uttoxeter last time out in heavy ground and a 7lb rise for that success looks fair. The slightly longer trip will pose no issues either and he’s also a course winner (hurdles) at Newbury.

(Pays £725 for a £5 stake)

Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest

Newbury Trends

12.05 Newbury: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track.

12.40 Newbury: Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track.

1.15 Newbury: The Tom Lacey yard have a 38% record with their chasers at the track.

1.50 Newbury: Trainer Nicky Henderson has won two of the last six runnings.

2.25 Newbury: Trainer David Dennis has a 43% record with his chasers at the track.

Catterick Trends

12.45 Catterick: Trainer Jedd O’Keeffe has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track.

1.55 Catterick: Trainer Tom Gretton has a 67% record with his hurdlers at the track.

3.05 Catterick: The Tom Gretton yard have a 67% record with their hurdlers at the track.

Leicester Trends

1.30 Leicester: Venetia Williams has a 29% record with her hurdlers at the track.

2.40 Leicester: Trainer John Groucott has a 50% record with his chasers at the track.

Lingfield Trends

1.00 Lingfield: The Simon Crisford yard have a 33% record with their two-year-olds at the track.

2.45 Lingfield: Trainer William Haggas has a 31% record with his two-year-olds at the track.

Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.

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