Munster National: Big race preview, key recent trends and a free 16/1 tip

The big race of the day on Sunday is the €100,000 Munster National at Limerick and a competitive field of 16 has been declared. Gordon Elliott, Noel Meade and Gavin Cromwell will be represented and with no Willie Mullins runner, there’s an opportunity for someone else to land a decent prize. Here we preview the big race, highlight some recent trends and there’s also a free 16/1 tip on offer. Take a look at our free tips page for daily content across British and Irish racing.


Preview

Gavin Cromwell’s Stumptown is the top weight here and he managed to win the world-famous Velka Pardubicka this time last year. He brings a high level of form to the table and has a good cross-country record but it has been a while since he was last seen in a more conventional race.

French Dynamite came out on top this year but his last two runs have been a little bit disappointing. Harry Cobden rides Uhavemeinstitches for his boss JP McManus and there could be more to come from in handicap company. Last time out winner Anyway shouldn’t be dismissed either.

Gordon Elliott will be represented by intriguing outsider Will Do, who is well treated on his best form, and A Wave Of The Sea was an impressive winner over 3m2f at Kilbeggan last time out.


Recent trends

No winner in the last decade has carried more than 11st 7lb in the last decade, which doesn’t necessarily bode well for the top weights. Stumptown and French Dynamite might be worth taking on.

Emmet McNamara has landed the last renewals and he is represented by four runners this year. Gordon Elliott has won three of the last 10 and his sole representative is the well handicapped Will Do.

Only two veterans have won the race in the last decade, so it could be worth looking at some younger horses with less exposed profiles. Five of the last 10 winners were seven.


Verdict

Will Do (16/1, bet365) has the assistance of 5lb claimer Eoghan Finegan here and he was already down to a nice mark, now 2lb lower than when a narrow second in the Porterstown at Fairyhouse. Third on seasonal debut at Listowel last month, he should be much sharper this time around.