SAF
Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
9 hours ago
SHA TIN 26 March 2025
Kestrel Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Dirt) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 6f
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Dirt
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (3%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (0%)
Ex-Australian 4yo who has not shown a great deal in three 6f turf races in Hong Kong
800-31
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
OR: 60
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f GF | Hc | 8-11 p | 8/11 | Beauty Infinity (3¼L) | 89/1 | 62 | 63 |
| 23 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-11 t | 13/14 | Triumphant More (9½L) | 260/1 | 64 | 44 |
| 9 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-10 | 12/12 | Righteous Arion (5½L) | 96/1 | 64 | 54 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (4%)
In very good form over C&D when last seen but has fitness to prove after 340-day layoff
-42123
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
OR: 60
Days: 340
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-9 tb | 4/11 | Valiant Elegance (2¾L) | 5/1 | 60 | 62 |
| 3 Apr 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-9 tb | 2/12 | Monta Frutta (shd) | 39/10 | 58 | 69 |
| 16 Mar 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-4 tb | 1/12 | Aca Power (nk) | 107/20 | 53 | 64 |
| 25 Feb 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-3 tb | 2/14 | Champion Instinct (1¼L) | 10/1 | 53 | 62 |
| 24 Jan 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-3 tb | 3/12 | Strive For Glory (2¾L) | 89/10 | 54 | 59 |
| 7 Jan 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-5 t | 7/14 | Aoraki Summit (7½L) | 26/5 | 56 | 53 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Emphatic C&D winner this month; 9lb higher and drawn wide today, though
143-50
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 59
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-3 b | 1/12 | Chill Kaka (3¼L) | 118/10 | 50 | 69 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 8-8 b | 4/12 | Daily Trophy (3½L) | 6/1 | 52 | 53 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-6 b | 3/12 | Dragon Air Force (1¾L) | 20/1 | 52 | 56 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-7 b1 | 5/12 | Mojave Desert (2¼L) | 34/1 | 54 | 55 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-6 | 10/12 | Team Happy (7¾L) | 103/1 | 57 | 43 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-9 | 10/12 | Gallant Valour (4½L) | 105/1 | 59 | 54 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (3%)
In career-best form on turf this month and has good draw for dirt debut
2469-8
Age: 5
Weight: 9-5
OR: 56
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | Hc | 9-4 | 2/11 | Mount Everest (nse) | 58/10 | 54 | 64 |
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | Hc | 9-4 | 4/12 | Magnifique (2½L) | 8/1 | 54 | 57 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-4 h | 6/14 | Mr Energia (3L) | 16/1 | 55 | 57 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-4 h | 9/14 | Solid Win (6¼L) | 15/1 | 55 | 49 |
| 8 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-5 h | 8/14 | Happy Park (2¾L) | 58/10 | 55 | 56 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-12 h | 1/14 | Master Phoenix (½L) | 39/20F | 48 | 60 |
Flopped badly on last month's debut but had impressed in a C&D trial beforehand
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 52
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | Hc | 9-2 b1 | 12/12 | Magnifique (13L) | 12/5 | 52 | 22 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 20 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (0%)
Makes official debut after some underwhelming trials and is probably best watched
Form:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 52
Days: -
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (0%)
C&D winner in early part of this season but needs to better his recent efforts
7999-8
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: 51
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | Hc | 8-6 tb | 7/12 | Akashvani (3½L) | 21/1 | 53 | 53 |
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-5 et | 9/14 | Lucky Fionn (6¾L) | 187/1 | 55 | 47 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 9-9 tb | 9/12 | Daily Trophy (7¼L) | 9/1 | 57 | 46 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tb | 9/14 | Sky Joy (3¼L) | 57/1 | 58 | 56 |
| 29 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-8 tb | 8/12 | Jolly Companion (10L) | 12/1 | 58 | 38 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-5 tb | 3/12 | Aca Power (½L) | 33/10F | 56 | 66 |
Made quite promising debut over C&D but his second run was a shade disappointing
75
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: 50
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-1 t | 7/12 | Natural High (5¼L) | 23/5 | 52 | 51 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 9-2 t | 5/12 | Fortune Warrior (4¾L) | 13/1 | 52 | 53 |
Soundly beaten on all three turf starts; makes dirt debut today
008
Age: 4
Weight: 8-11
OR: 48
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-13 | 11/11 | Tactical Command (12½L) | 131/1 | 50 | 22 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-1 | 14/14 | Sky Joy (11½L) | 114/1 | 52 | 23 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-2 | 8/11 | Fun Elite (5½L) | 19/1 | 52 | 42 |
0-6 on turf but went close here in January; a possible if this surface switch suits
682-80
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: 47
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tp | 6/12 | Super Sixty (1¾L) | 9/1 | 48 | 53 |
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tp | 8/12 | Hayday (6L) | 16/1 | 48 | 39 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-8 tp | 2/12 | Dragon Four Seas (¾L) | 16/1 | 46 | 56 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tv1 | 8/12 | Beauty Light (4¾L) | 80/1 | 48 | 44 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Gd | Hc | 8-12 tb1 | 11/14 | Alluring Laos (7½L) | 53/1 | 50 | 36 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Y | 8-9 t | 9/14 | Karate Express (8½L) | 24/1 | - | 46 |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (0%)
Well beaten over 1m here this month and has now been unplaced all five starts
09-506
Age: 4
Weight: 8-5
OR: 42
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-7 tb | 14/14 | Shanghai Style (21L) | 18/1 | 44 | 3 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-7 tb | 9/14 | Juneau Pride (5¾L) | 61/1 | 46 | 40 |
| 29 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-12 tb | 5/12 | Jolly Companion (3¾L) | 110/1 | 48 | 48 |
| 15 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tb1 | 14/14 | New Future Folks (17L) | 44/1 | 50 | 19 |
| 14 Apr 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Gd | 8-9 t | 6/9 | Thunder Blink (4L) | 76/10 | - | 66 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Gave good account on turf this month but wide draw a big negative today
4683-5
Age: 4
Weight: 8-3
OR: 40
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-7 tp | 4/12 | Golden Rise (2L) | 3/1J | 41 | 45 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 8-7 tp | 6/12 | Fortune Warrior (5¼L) | 23/1 | 43 | 42 |
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 tp | 8/14 | Magnifique (4¾L) | 71/1 | 45 | 41 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tp | 3/12 | Sky Jewellery (1½L) | 10/1 | 45 | 51 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 5f Gd | Hc | 8-11 tp | 5/12 | Sergeant Pepper (1¾L) | 31/1 | 46 | 50 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 5f Gd | Hc | 8-12 t | 10/12 | Champion Method (3½L) | 79/10 | 48 | 44 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Dual C&D winner during very mixed campaign this season; hard to predict
950-10
Age: 5
Weight: 9-3
OR: 54
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-4 tp | 9/12 | Natural High (8¼L) | 35/1 | 55 | 44 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 9-7 tp | 5/12 | Daily Trophy (5L) | 12/1 | 55 | 51 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-12 tp | 11/12 | Dragon Air Force (10L) | 11/1 | 55 | 33 |
| 29 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-2 tp | 1/12 | Mr Energia (1½L) | 174/10 | 48 | 60 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-11 tp | 12/12 | Offroad Master (9L) | 66/10 | 48 | 34 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-1 tp | 6/12 | Robot Knight (4¾L) | 5/1 | 48 | 48 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (0%)
Dual Class 5 C&D winner this season but twice safely held since returned to this grade
071-12
Age: 8
Weight: 8-4
OR: 41
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-4 tp | 10/12 | Natural High (8¾L) | 43/1 | 41 | 29 |
| 12 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Sl | Hc | 8-5 tp | 7/12 | Fortune Warrior (7¼L) | 11/1 | 41 | 34 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-4 tp | 1/12 | Patch Of Watch (nk) | 74/10 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-13 tp | 1/12 | Cheer For South (shd) | 123/10 | 30 | 41 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 9-0 tp | 2/12 | Vulcanus (3½L) | 18/1 | 30 | 37 |
| 6 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 9-1 tp | 12/12 | Island Golden (4½L) | 41/1 | 32 | 30 |
Verdict
This might go to PATCH OF TIME, who has made good progress on turf this season and could plausibly have more to offer on dirt.
Patch Of Time
Betting Forecast:
3/1 Patch Of Time,
4/1 Natural High,
5/1 Everyone's Gallop,
7/1 Solid Shalaa,
10/1 Looks Outstanding,
Solar River,
Silver Spurs,
12/1 Sunny Darling,
20/1 Everstar,
Regency Win Win,
25/1 California Star,
66/1 Noble Go
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