SAF
Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
10 hours ago
SHA TIN 26 March 2025
Swan Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Dirt) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 1f
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 14
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Dirt
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (4%)
Hinted at his ability this term; interesting contender making his dirt debut in this grade
78-682
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
OR: 40
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 8-7 p | 7/14 | Billionaire Secret (3¼L) | 7/1 | 42 | 45 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-8 p | 8/14 | Gold Master (5L) | 9/1 | 44 | 44 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 p | 6/12 | Prince Alex (1½L) | 10/1 | 45 | 52 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 8-9 p | 8/14 | Californiatotality (5½L) | 4/1 | 45 | 43 |
| 13 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 8-6 p | 2/14 | Family Jewel (¾L) | 9/1 | 43 | 53 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-6 p | 4/10 | Devas Twelve (1¼L) | 67/10 | 43 | 49 |
Posted a respectable effort on this surface last time; should go well in this lower grade
478-70
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
OR: 40
Days: 24
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-4 et | 4/14 | Shanghai Style (1½L) | 13/1 | 41 | 45 |
| 9 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-8 tb | 7/14 | Gallant Epoch (3¼L) | 12/1 | 43 | 47 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-10 tb | 8/13 | Blazing Wind (5¼L) | 36/5 | 45 | 37 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-12 tb | 7/12 | Northern Fire Ball (4¾L) | 68/10 | 47 | 45 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-12 tb | 14/14 | Dragon Joy (9¾L) | 13/1 | 49 | 35 |
| 17 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-13 tb | 3/14 | Meowth (3L) | 18/5 | 49 | 58 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Well beaten in all five career starts; today's drop in grade is unlikely to be enough
0-0000
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 39
Days: 14
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f GF | Hc | 8-2 b1 | 10/12 | Highland Rahy (16½L) | 79/1 | 42 | 17 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-10 p | 12/12 | Good Luck Win (13L) | 166/1 | 45 | 26 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-11 p | 12/12 | Lucky Touch (12½L) | 192/1 | 48 | 32 |
| 16 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f GF | Hc | 8-11 p | 11/12 | Colonel (9½L) | 233/1 | 50 | 32 |
| 1 Jul 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Gd | Hc | 9-0 p | 14/14 | Amazing Fun (13½L) | 145/1 | 52 | 18 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Has hit the crossbar several times this season; starting to become frustrating
2-8729
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 39
Days: 59
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-8 tp | 2/14 | Precision Goal (2½L) | 11/5F | 39 | 46 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-6 tp | 8/13 | Sight Supreme (3¾L) | 7/2 | 40 | 44 |
| 15 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-9 tp | 7/14 | Harry's Hero (2½L) | 6/5F | 40 | 45 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-9 tp | 2/10 | Precision Goal (hd) | 41/10 | 39 | 52 |
| 20 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd/Y | Hc | 8-4 tp | 9/12 | Take Action (7¼L) | 12/1 | 41 | 35 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-3 tp | 9/14 | Master Of All (5L) | 19/1 | 41 | 40 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (0%)
Improved steadily last year but hasn't progressed this term; 3lb below last winning mark
900-07
Age: 6
Weight: 9-6
OR: 37
Days: 11
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-6 htb | 9/14 | Soaring Bronco (5L) | 42/1 | 39 | 38 |
| 2 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-2 htb | 14/14 | Ballistic Win (13½L) | 237/1 | 41 | 8 |
| 19 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-4 htb | 12/14 | Gold Master (9¼L) | 99/1 | 43 | 34 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-10 htb | 12/14 | Matsu Victor (8½L) | 41/1 | 45 | 38 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-7 htb | 7/11 | Never Peter Out (8L) | 34/1 | 46 | 40 |
| 1 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 8-8 htb | 12/14 | Happy Hero (6½L) | 40/1 | 46 | 44 |
Failed to feature in novice company last season and much of the same story in handicaps
-00000
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 37
Days: 137
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-9 tb | 10/13 | Spangle Fortune (10L) | 72/1 | 40 | 31 |
| 16 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 tb | 10/12 | Sure Joyful (10½L) | 145/1 | 43 | 34 |
| 22 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | 3yHc | 8-9 tb | 12/13 | Patch Of Cosmo (6½L) | 126/1 | 45 | 34 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f GF | 9-0 tb | 12/12 | Santorini (6½L) | 165/1 | - | 56 | |
| 15 Jun 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 5f Y | 9-0 tb | 12/14 | Karate Express (11L) | 133/1 | - | 41 | |
| 26 May 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | 9-0 tb1 | 13/14 | Thunder Blink (8½L) | 165/1 | - | 48 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (3%)
Yet to build on a C&D success in October; needs to find more off his current mark
5-4143
Age: 6
Weight: 9-5
OR: 36
Days: 59
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-5 tb | 5/14 | Precision Goal (8¾L) | 13/1 | 36 | 29 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 9-5 tb | 4/13 | Spangle Fortune (3¼L) | 23/10F | 36 | 40 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-13 tb | 1/11 | Keen Unity (1½L) | 123/20 | 30 | 55 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f GF | Hc | 9-0 tb | 4/11 | Joyful Prosperity (3¾L) | 66/10 | 31 | 37 |
| 22 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f Sl | Hc | 9-0 tb | 3/10 | Reliable Profit (5½L) | 18/1 | 32 | 35 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-4 tb | 8/12 | Little Fairy (9¾L) | 10/1 | 35 | 26 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (0%)
Posted several creditable efforts this season; switch to dirt could provide a breakthrough
405-47
Age: 5
Weight: 9-5
OR: 36
Days: 7
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-7 b | 4/10 | Windicator Family (2½L) | 61/10 | 38 | 40 |
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f Gd | Hc | 8-5 b | 10/14 | Good Good (9L) | 29/1 | 41 | 33 |
| 8 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-5 b | 5/12 | Firefoot (2½L) | 26/1 | 41 | 44 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-3 b | 4/12 | To Infinity (2L) | 24/1 | 42 | 48 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 b | 7/12 | Good Luck Win (2¾L) | 20/1 | 44 | 47 |
| 13 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-8 | 7/12 | Lucky Touch (5¼L) | 27/1 | 46 | 46 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 20 in the last 14 days (0%)
5-53; has winning form from higher marks, but age may be catching up
9-4129
Age: 8
Weight: 9-3
OR: 34
Days: 38
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-3 p | 9/14 | Gallant Crown (6L) | 77/10 | 34 | 32 |
| 29 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-0 p | 4/14 | Regency Happy Star (1½L) | 41/5 | 34 | 42 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 8-10 p | 1/14 | Cervin (hd) | 138/10 | 29 | 38 |
| 24 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-12 p | 2/14 | Super Wise Dragon (1¾L) | 74/10 | 29 | 42 |
| 13 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-9 p | 9/14 | Charmander (2½L) | 35/1 | 31 | 34 |
| 1 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-9 p | 4/11 | The Khan (1¾L) | 13/1 | 31 | 40 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 22 in the last 14 days (0%)
Posted a career-best on New Year's Day but has regressed since; needs to bounce back
8802-0
Age: 4
Weight: 9-2
OR: 33
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-4 e/s | 8/10 | Nice Birdie (16L) | 15/1 | 35 | 22 |
| 16 Feb 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-6 e/s | 8/14 | Gallant Crown (4¾L) | 19/1 | 37 | 38 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-6 et | 10/12 | Kasa Papa (7½L) | 81/10 | 37 | 36 |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-5 et | 2/13 | Chilli Baba (¾L) | 9/1 | 36 | 46 |
| 22 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tv1 | 10/14 | Fire Ball (5¼L) | 24/1 | 38 | 36 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tb | 6/8 | Fury And Gold (3¼L) | 9/1 | 40 | 48 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (4%)
Broke his local duck in December but hasn't backed that effort up; step forward needed
80-164
Age: 5
Weight: 9-1
OR: 32
Days: 7
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-1 | 8/10 | Windicator Family (5¼L) | 14/1 | 32 | 28 |
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 9-1 h | 14/14 | Gluck Racer (12L) | 9/1 | 32 | 8 |
| 15 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f Gd | Hc | 8-10 h | 1/14 | Flying Phantom (½L) | 133/10 | 27 | 38 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-10 h | 6/11 | Me Time (5L) | 51/10 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-1 h | 4/12 | Kingly Demeanor (4L) | 23/1 | 31 | 37 |
| 20 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8f GF | Hc | 9-2 h | 12/13 | Youth Power (9½L) | 18/1 | 33 | 27 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 30 in the last 14 days (3%)
Aside from one blip has been in good form this season; remains a threat off current mark
3-1304
Age: 6
Weight: 8-12
OR: 29
Days: 59
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-12 t | 3/14 | Precision Goal (4¾L) | 36/5 | 29 | 31 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-5 t | 1/11 | Precision Goal (shd) | 21/4 | 24 | 36 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-8 t | 3/10 | Precision Goal (¾L) | 14/1 | 24 | 36 |
| 30 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-9 tb | 12/12 | Right Honourable (23L) | 14/1 | 26 | - |
| 9 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-6 tb | 4/8 | Dragon Delight (2L) | 9/1 | 26 | 36 |
| 11 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-6 tb | 2/10 | Ninja Derby (½L) | 17/1 | 25 | 33 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (0%)
Returned to form in November but hasn't built on that effort; more needed
9-5303
Age: 5
Weight: 8-11
OR: 28
Days: 84
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-13 tb | 9/13 | Chilli Baba (8½L) | 7/2F | 30 | 24 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-13 tb | 5/11 | Me Time (3¾L) | 77/10 | 32 | 38 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-3 tb | 3/12 | Kingly Demeanor (3¾L) | 74/10 | 33 | 40 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-12 tb | 10/10 | Arthur's Kingdom (10L) | 15/1 | 35 | 28 |
| 10 Jul 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f GF | Hc | 9-3 tb | 3/12 | Ninja Derby (3L) | 74/10 | 36 | 45 |
| 2 Jun 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 10f Gd | Hc | 9-7 tb | 11/12 | Happy Hero (10½L) | 14/1 | 38 | 34 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (0%)
Decent form at the end of last year but recent efforts have been disappointing
500-44
Age: 6
Weight: 8-3
OR: 20
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 11f Gd | Hc | 8-3 t | 5/10 | Nice Birdie (5L) | 40/1 | 20 | 27 |
| 26 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-3 tb | 14/14 | Precision Goal (14½L) | 17/1 | 20 | - |
| 1 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f Gd | Hc | 8-3 tb | 10/13 | Chilli Baba (10L) | 20/1 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 9f St | Hc | 8-3 tb | 4/11 | Yeaboi (2½L) | 11/2 | 20 | 27 |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-4 tb | 4/10 | Precision Goal (3½L) | 54/10 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-5 tb | 3/13 | Spangle Fortune (2½L) | 47/10 | 22 | 28 |
Has performed fairly in six starts this season without suggesting a win is imminent
07-964
Age: 8
Weight: 9-3
OR: 34
Days: 49
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 9-1 | 10/12 | Confringo (6¼L) | 10/1 | 37 | 32 |
| 15 Jan 25 | Hap Happy Valley | 9f Gd | Hc | 9-3 | 7/12 | Kasa Papa (5½L) | 22/1 | 39 | 42 |
| 26 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 8.5f Gd | Hc | 8-6 b | 9/12 | The Azure (3½L) | 30/1 | 41 | 41 |
| 11 Dec 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-6 b | 6/12 | California Deeply (3L) | 12/1 | 43 | 44 |
| 9 Nov 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-9 | 4/14 | Strathpeffer (2¼L) | 24/1 | 45 | 50 |
| 9 Oct 24 | Hap Happy Valley | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-9 | 5/12 | Swift Ascend (3½L) | 24/1 | 47 | 48 |
Went close off a higher mark in September, but his form has tailed off; revival needed
97-700
Age: 6
Weight: 9-6
OR: 37
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 9-8 tb | 9/14 | Regency Happy Star (5¼L) | 12/1 | 39 | 42 |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f Gd | Hc | 8-5 tb | 7/12 | Dragon Four Seas (3L) | 39/1 | 41 | 44 |
| 18 Dec 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 6f St | Hc | 8-5 et | 7/12 | Mojave Desert (4½L) | 64/1 | 42 | 36 |
| 23 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 8.5f St | Hc | 8-6 et | 10/11 | Never Peter Out (17½L) | 11/1 | 42 | 14 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 8-6 tb | 10/12 | Aeroinvincible (5½L) | 10/1 | 42 | 35 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Sha Sha Tin | 7f GF | Hc | 9-7 tb | 2/13 | Charmander (hd) | 42/10 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict
This can go to YEABOI, who has maintained his good form this term and is taken to continue his progress off his revised rating.
Yeaboi
Betting Forecast:
9/2 Yeaboi,
5/1 Meepmeep,
11/2 Yoda's Choice,
6/1 Tradition,
8/1 Chater Gold,
10/1 Colourful Baron,
12/1 Joyful Champion,
14/1 Turtle Again,
16/1 Fire Ball,
Harry's Hero,
20/1 Smart Beauty,
On The Lash,
25/1 Super Treasure,
33/1 Smart Zipang
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