Charlie Appleby's strike-rate at Wolverhampton was 46% in 2024 and he sends one runner
3 hours ago
CHEPSTOW
5 January 2025
Dunraven Windows / EBF "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Class 4) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 11y
- Going: Heavy
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Can front-run; has won at Uttoxeter and Hereford but now gives at least 10lb all round
-22131
Age: 6
Weight: 11-12
OR: 122
Days: 39
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov 24 | Her Hereford | 16f GS | 4NvH | 11-7 | 1/6 | Not So Sobers (12L) | 2/9F | 119 | 114 |
| 31 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 16.5f GS | 3NvH | 11-6 | 3/14 | Mythical Moon (2¾L) | 7/2 | 113 | 116 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | 1/12 | Electric Mason (9L) | 4/1 | 104 | 111 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Wor Worcester | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 11-4 | 2/10 | Brave Knight (2¾L) | 7/4 | - | 108 |
| 30 May 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f Gd | 4MdH | 11-2 | 2/13 | Double Dragon (1¼L) | 7/1 | - | 101 |
| 25 Apr 24 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 11-3 | 4/11 | Jafimgoso (5L) | 7/1 | - | 91 |
Midfield in a bumper at Chepstow and maiden hurdle at Windsor, but beaten more than 30l
65
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 24 | Wdr Windsor | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 5/11 | Starcrossed Lover (37L) | 22/1 | - | 82 |
| 29 Oct 24 | Chp Chepstow | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 10-10 | 6/12 | Sober Glory (31L) | 17/2 | - | 84 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Second in a bumper at Huntingdon and novice at Leicester; the standout candidate on form
2-2
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 31
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 24 | Lei Leicester | 15.5f Hy | 3NvH | 11-0 | 2/6 | Authodidacte (3¼L) | 4/5F | - | 114 |
| 3 Mar 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 11-5 | 2/7 | Ma Shantou (6½L) | 4/1 | - | 114 |
Backed for bumper (heavy) last April but soundly beaten; left Mel Rowley for £8,000 in May
4-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 274
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 16f Hy | 54yNHF | 11-0 | 4/7 | Realco (24L) | 100/30 | - | 80 |
150-1 for maiden hurdle here (2m3f, good to soft) in November and was beaten 26l
9
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 44
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-3 | 9/13 | The Bluesman (26L) | 150/1 | - | 85 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
First run for new connections was modest form; may do better but hard to fancy just yet
050P-3
Age: 7
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 25
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 24 | Her Hereford | 19.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 3/10 | Secret Des Dieux (23L) | 100/1 | - | 77 |
| 17 Jan 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 4NvSlH | 10-13 | PU/9 | Iddergem () | 17/2 | - | - |
| 11 Dec 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 16f St/Slw | 5NHF | 10-13 | 12/14 | My Louise (98L) | 7/2 | - | 3 |
| 24 Oct 23 | Her Hereford | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 11-0 | 5/13 | Future Fortune (16½L) | 12/1 | - | 91 |
| 11 May 23 | Hun Huntingdon | 16f Gd | 5MdNHF | 11-1 | 10/16 | Whatawit (19L) | 8/1 | - | 91 |
Ran in two Perth bumpers last spring, easily better effort on debut
6-5
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 234
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 24 | Per Perth | 16f GS | 4NHF | 11-2 | 5/8 | Takt De Touques (30L) | 8/1 | - | 77 |
| 26 Apr 24 | Per Perth | 16f Sft | 4NHF | 11-3 | 6/13 | Takt De Touques (2¼L) | 18/1 | - | 102 |
Weakened in closing stages over 2m at Hereford (fell at the last) and Southwell (18l 6th)
F6
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 20
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 6/13 | Land Of Moon (18½L) | 66/1 | - | 85 |
| 27 Nov 24 | Her Hereford | 16f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | F/6 | Nowmelad () | 28/1 | - | 81 |
Second in a bumper in 2023 but two remote finishes in 2m maiden hurdles this winter
2-00
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 20
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 24 | Sth Southwell | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-1 | 13/13 | Land Of Moon (89L) | 40/1 | - | 13 |
| 21 Nov 24 | War Warwick | 16f GS | 4MdH | 10-13 | 14/16 | Castle Ivers (65L) | 25/1 | - | 56 |
| 5 Oct 23 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 5NHF | 11-1 | 2/9 | Minella Rescue (2L) | 4/1 | - | 98 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (36%)
150-1, disputed the lead long way when about 16l ninth of 11 in bumper at Ludlow
9
Age: 6
Weight: 10-9
OR: -
Days: 32
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 24 | Lud Ludlow | 16f GS | 4NHFM | 11-4 | 9/11 | Jackie Hobbs (16½L) | 150/1 | - | 74 |
2
Boston Boy
J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr
T: Jonjo & A J O'Neill
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (31%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (33%)
55-4OO
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 24 | Wdr Windsor | 16f GS | 4MdH | 11-7 t | RO/11 | Starcrossed Lover () | 12/1 | - | 103 |
| 18 Nov 24 | Lei Leicester | 20.5f GS | 3MdH | 11-4 t | RO/12 | Woodland Park () | 18/1 | - | 103 |
| 1 Nov 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Gd | 4NvH | 11-0 t1 | 4/11 | Western Knight (21L) | 28/1 | - | 95 |
| 10 Apr 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 16.5f GS | 5NHF | 11-2 | 5/10 | Woodland Park (21L) | 16/1 | - | 86 |
| 10 Mar 24 | War Warwick | 16f Sft | 5NHF | 11-2 | 5/12 | Good And Clever (41L) | 4/1 | - | 70 |
Verdict
Dual hurdle winner Nowmelad has a 10lb penalty. He also very few viable opponents but CARISMATIC SOLDIER is the clear pick.
Carismatic Soldier
Betting Forecast:
10/11 Carismatic Soldier,
7/4 Nowmelad,
5/1 Boston Boy,
20/1 Cornish Comedy,
25/1 C'Est Different,
On The Go,
Out Out,
33/1 Head Over Hinds,
Magna Victor,
66/1 Following Chapter,
100/1 Pooley's Promise
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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