Lucky 15: Four JP McManus horses with massive chances at Aintree this week
16 hours ago
TURFFONTEIN 29 March 2025
Saturday 29th March
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Tab Computaform Sprint (grade 1)(For all horses at Weight for Age) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 5f
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- Flat
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
On a hat-trick after last win and a eight-time course winner; won by just over 2l 28 days ago in a Grade 3; likely to be thereabouts.
21-211
Age: 6
Weight: 9-6
OR: 128
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-11 h,b | 1/15 | Golden Sickle (2¼L) | 10/1 | 125 | 86 | |
| 2 Feb 25 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | 9-12 h,b | 1/9 | Shipholia (1¼L) | 83/100 | 125 | 103 | |
| 12 Jan 25 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | 9-12 h,b | 2/9 | Captain Bombshell (nk) | 63/100 | 125 | 79 | |
| 1 Dec 24 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | 9-5 h,b | 1/15 | Quasiforsure (2L) | 9/4 | 125 | 92 | |
| 11 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-5 h,b | 2/6 | Dyce (1¼L) | 28/10 | 125 | 68 | |
| 26 Oct 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-5 h,b | 1/6 | Lucky Lad (hd) | 4/1 | 122 | 76 |
Finished last of eight over 1m here (Grade 1) 28 days ago; four-time course winner; he's worth a go.
25-638
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
OR: 125
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 8f | 9-6 b | 8/8 | Cosmic Speed (9L) | 8/1 | 125 | 26 | |
| 25 Jan 25 | Ken Kenilworth | 5f | 9-6 b | 3/14 | Gimme A Prince (6L) | 17/2 | 125 | 75 | |
| 4 Jan 25 | Ken Kenilworth | 8f | 9-6 b | 6/13 | One Stripe (5½L) | 40/1 | 125 | 67 | |
| 30 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 10-0 b | 5/13 | Mount Pilatus (3L) | 4/1 | 125 | 76 | |
| 26 Oct 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-11 b | 2/6 | William Robertson (hd) | 11/10 | 125 | 75 | |
| 28 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 9-5 b | 2/12 | Surjay (¾L) | 33/10 | 125 | 92 |
All his wins have been at a lower level but knows how to win here; narrow winner of a stakes race (Vaal) in January upped to 7½f; has a chance as he has defied a similar absence in the past.
6453-1
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 119
Days: 72
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 25 | Vaa Vaal | 8f | 9-2 | 1/6 | Main Defender (hd) | 33/10 | 117 | 81 | |
| 30 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-5 | 3/13 | Mount Pilatus (1L) | 33/1 | 117 | 76 | |
| 5 Oct 24 | Tur Turffontein | 7f | 9-3 | 5/14 | Back In Business (4¼L) | 40/1 | 118 | 82 | |
| 6 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 9-6 | 4/14 | Cafe Culture (2¼L) | 8/1 | 117 | 93 | |
| 1 Jun 24 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | Hc | 8-7 | 6/16 | Lucky Lad (2L) | 33/1 | 117 | 73 |
| 13 Apr 24 | Tur Turffontein | 8f | 9-6 | 4/8 | Bingwa (1¾L) | 18/10 | 117 | 75 |
Wins have come at a lower level but record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs record of 13-25); finished behind Lucky Lad when beaten 12l in the Cape Flying Championship at Kenilworth two months ago.
1142-0
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 118
Days: 63
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 25 | Ken Kenilworth | 5f | 9-6 h1 | 10/14 | Gimme A Prince (11½L) | 16/1 | 118 | 55 | |
| 30 Dec 24 | Fvw Fairview | 6f | 9-11 h1 | 2/10 | Fairy Knight (¾L) | 13/10 | 118 | 77 | |
| 25 Oct 24 | Fvw Fairview | 6f | 9-11 h1 | 4/8 | Fairy Knight (4L) | 2/5 | 118 | 69 | |
| 4 Oct 24 | Fai Fairview | 6f | 9-8 h1 | 1/5 | Evies First (5½L) | 2/5 | 117 | 90 | |
| 6 Sep 24 | Fai Fairview | 5f | 9-11 h1 | 1/6 | Blue Holly (3¾L) | 1/2 | 117 | 97 | |
| 28 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 9-6 h1 | 10/12 | Surjay (5L) | 16/1 | 118 | 77 |
No threat to winner, William Robertson, here four weeks ago (finished third) in a Grade 3; course specialist (three wins).
966-03
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
OR: 112
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-2 | 3/15 | William Robertson (3½L) | 66/1 | 112 | 69 | |
| 1 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-10 | 10/12 | Dreamland (5¼L) | 40/1 | 114 | 63 | |
| 28 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-6 | 6/9 | Pistol Pete (2¾L) | 33/1 | 116 | 82 | |
| 16 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-6 | 6/7 | Golden Sickle (8L) | 40/1 | 118 | 55 | |
| 14 Sep 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-6 | 9/10 | Dyce (10½L) | 20/1 | 118 | 34 | |
| 23 Jul 24 | Vaa Vaal | 5f | 9-6 | 3/6 | Captain Hindsight (1L) | 9/4 | 118 | 72 |
Has done all her winning at a lower level but has gained six wins over C&D; favourite when second behind William Robertson four weeks ago in a Grade 3; should prove competitive.
001-32
Age: 4
Weight: 9-1
OR: 121
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-1 | 2/15 | William Robertson (2¼L) | 33/10 | 121 | 73 | |
| 1 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-6 | 3/12 | Dreamland (½L) | 18/10 | 121 | 81 | |
| 16 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-3 | 1/7 | Dyce (shd) | 8/1 | 121 | 82 | |
| 28 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 9-0 | 12/12 | Surjay (9¾L) | 33/1 | 122 | 56 | |
| 6 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 9-1 | 13/14 | Cafe Culture (9L) | 16/1 | 122 | 64 | |
| 6 Apr 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-10 | 2/10 | Thunderstruck (nk) | 7/2 | 122 | 81 |
All four wins around this trip but a long time since his last win; behind William Robertson when fifth four weeks ago in a Grade 3; meeting some horses in good form and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
31-425
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 115
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-11 h1 | 5/15 | William Robertson (5½L) | 8/1 | 115 | 61 | |
| 24 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-6 h1 | 2/8 | Truth (1¼L) | 5/1 | 115 | - | |
| 1 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-10 h1 | 4/12 | Dreamland (¾L) | 9/2 | 115 | 75 | |
| 28 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-5 h1 | 1/9 | Almond Sea (3L) | 20/1 | 104 | 92 | |
| 20 Dec 24 | Gre Greyville | 5f | Hc | 8-7 h1 | 3/8 | Cats Pajamas (1½L) | 4/1 | 104 | 66 |
| 5 Dec 24 | Vaa Vaal | 5f | Hc | 9-3 h1 | 3/7 | Raven Black (2½L) | 3/1 | 104 | 63 |
Has achieved five wins from ten career runs and boasts a creditable three from seven record at this track; behind Chocolate Soldier in a Grade 3 when beaten just over 4l in fifth 33 days ago.
0221-5
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 115
Days: 33
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-6 | 5/8 | Truth (4¼L) | 9/4 | 115 | - | |
| 28 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-8 | 1/9 | Nettleton (shd) | 13/10 | 113 | 86 | |
| 30 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 8-3 | 2/13 | Mount Pilatus (¾L) | 18/10 | 112 | 68 | |
| 26 Oct 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | Hc | 9-8 | 2/7 | Greaterix (2L) | 6/4 | 109 | - |
| 28 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 5f | Hc | 8-3 | 10/14 | King Of The Gauls (6½L) | Evs | 109 | 43 |
| 30 Jun 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-11 | 1/5 | Bjorn Ironside (¾L) | 18/10 | - | 70 |
Got home in front by a short head 16 days ago in a handicap; has managed four wins from ten career runs but wins have come at a lower level; makes limited appeal despite that win last time.
35-871
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 110
Days: 16
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | Hc | 9-9 | 1/8 | Yamadori (shd) | 5/1 | 104 | 58 |
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-3 | 7/15 | William Robertson (6½L) | 66/1 | 105 | 53 | |
| 11 Jan 25 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 7-13 | 8/9 | Barbaresco (9L) | 28/10 | 106 | 18 | |
| 28 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-3 | 5/9 | Pistol Pete (1¾L) | 5/1 | 107 | 77 | |
| 16 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 7f | Md | 9-6 | 3/5 | Storm Brasco (4½L) | 4/1 | 107 | 63 |
| 2 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | Hc | 8-5 | 2/10 | Chyavana (¾L) | 5/2 | 106 | 65 |
Wins achieved at a lower level but loves it here (three wins); not disgraced when fourth of 15 four weeks ago in a Grade 3.
944-94
Age: 5
Weight: 9-1
OR: 107
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-6 | 4/15 | William Robertson (3¾L) | 33/1 | 107 | 64 | |
| 1 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-4 | 9/12 | Dreamland (4¾L) | 17/2 | 108 | 59 | |
| 28 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-11 | 4/9 | Pistol Pete (½L) | 14/1 | 108 | 85 | |
| 16 Dec 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-5 | 4/7 | Golden Sickle (6L) | 15/2 | 110 | 56 | |
| 11 Nov 24 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 9-6 | 9/10 | Ice Star (7½L) | 4/1 | 110 | 47 | |
| 27 Jul 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-6 | 3/7 | Exchange Student (2L) | 72/100 | 110 | - |
Has chalked up two wins from his last three; a poor result at a short price when ninth 28 days ago in a Grade 3.
35-119
Age: 3
Weight: 9-1
OR: 107
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 25 | Tur Turffontein | 5f | 8-7 | 9/15 | William Robertson (7¼L) | 9/2 | 107 | 52 | |
| 8 Feb 25 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | Md | 9-0 | 1/7 | Grand Crescendo (hd) | 36/100 | 107 | 73 |
| 18 Jan 25 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | Md | 9-6 | 1/10 | Paul Revere (6¼L) | 17/100 | 107 | 50 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Gre Greyville | 7f | 9-6 | 5/14 | Cosmic Speed (3¾L) | 20/1 | - | 73 | |
| 1 Jun 24 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | 9-6 | 3/13 | Proceed (2L) | 14/1 | - | 59 | |
| 27 Apr 24 | Tur Turffontein | 6f | 9-0 | 2/6 | Proceed (1¼L) | 18/10 | - | - |
Finished fifth in January albeit only beaten 2l when close behind William Robertson at Scottsville in a conditions race; has done all her winning at a lower level; easy to oppose given many of her rivals are in good form.
1114-5
Age: 4
Weight: 9-1
OR: 103
Days: 76
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 25 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | 8-10 | 5/9 | Captain Bombshell (1¾L) | 14/1 | 103 | 64 | |
| 20 Dec 24 | Gre Greyville | 5f | Hc | 9-1 | 4/8 | Cats Pajamas (1¾L) | 9/2 | 103 | 68 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Gre Greyville | 6f | 8-11 | 1/14 | Donquerari (¾L) | 13/2 | 103 | 71 | |
| 15 Sep 24 | Sco Scottsville | 5f | Hc | 9-5 | 1/8 | Bevies Delight (½L) | 7/1 | 99 | 86 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Gre Greyville | 5f | Hc | 9-1 | 1/7 | Maquette (2½L) | 6/1 | 93 | 77 |
| 19 May 24 | Sco Scottsville | 6f | Hc | 9-2 | 8/13 | Pritti Victory (3¾L) | 25/2 | 93 | 60 |
Verdict
William Robertson has a good course record and is a contender while Golden Sickle is one that needs plenty of respect. But LUCKY LAD gets a firm vote. He is suited by the course.
Lucky Lad
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