7.30pm Chelmsford Tips & Betting Preview 28/04/2016

IN SUMMARY: Good cases can be made for most of these and there is added interest from Shingwedzi and Ayahuasca, who both have form in Pattern company in the southern hemisphere on their records. The suggestion is MASTERPAVER (7/1 Each Way), who hasn’t won for a while and became unreliable when in the care of Alan Bailey, but is on a workable mark if refreshed by his recent switch to Richard Fahey’s stable. Second choice is Haines, who comes here after winning the Queen’s Prize at Kempton a few weeks ago and looks progressive. Captain Navarre took a long time to get off the mark but has only gone up 2lb for last month’s Kempton win a may be able to use that success as a springboard. Dannyday and Graceland make their seasonal debuts today and are both lightly raced 4yos with scope to progress this year.

1 Shingwedzi – Three wins from 17 starts when trained in South Africa; hasn’t tasted victory for over two years but has form on artificial surfaces and was placed in a 1m6f Grade 2 event in early 2015; makes British debut after ten-month absence but is with a good stable; interesting to see how she fares.

2 Haines – Boasts impressive 6-12 strike-rate on the AW and comes here after convincing success in Class 2 event at Kempton (2m) earlier in the month; 5lb higher higher and the drop back in trip may not be ideal but he might still be improving and commands plenty of respect.

3 Ayahuasca – Multiple Group-race winner when trained in Chile but been lightly raced and generally disappointing in Dubai/Ireland over the last couple of years; didn’t run badly when third of four in Dundalk Listed race (extended 1m2f, AW) on latest outing in September but his current ability is hard to gauge.

4 Masterpaver – Winless and rather inconsistent since November 2014 but his close third off today’s mark in a Class 2 event at Wolverhampton (1m4f) last month was a good effort and he has also run well here; makes debut for Richard Fahey today (formerly with Alan Bailey) and is a big player if the change of stable has done him good.

5 Dannyday – Created good impression when forging clear to gain breakthrough win at Haydock (1m6f, good to firm) in June; absent since midfield finish in valuable event at York in August but is in much calmer waters here and retains significant potential to progress if fully revved up.

6 Daisy Day – Front-runner who has taken well to Polytrack and is 2-3 at this track since fitted with a tongue-tie this year, the wins coming over today’s trip in January and when dropped back to 1m2f a fortnight ago; climbing up the weights but further improvement possible.

7 Graceland – Ended last season with a disappointing performance but had looked steadily progressive beforehand and was only beaten about 3l when upped to 1m6f for valuable event at the York Ebor festival in August; back from 222-day absence here but won his only previous AW start (on Tapeta) and enters calculations.

8 Captain Navarre – Belatedly got off the mark when scoring after winter break at Kempton (1m3f) last month, his 16th start; nagging doubts about his overall profile persist but a 2lb nudge up the weights for that success looks lenient, and today’s trip/track should also suit.

myracing Forecast Prices: 3/1 Haines, 4/1 Dannyday, 5/1 Daisy Boy, 6/1 Masterpaver, Captain Navarre, 8/1 Graceland, 12/1 Shingwedzi, Ayahuasca

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