7.15pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 12/04/2017

Nine runners will load into the stalls for the fourth race of the day at Kempton on Tuesday, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: There are a lot of handicap debutantes who need market checks in this, but the most interesting is without question ARAB MOON. He showed promise in three maidens and give the distinct impression he needed further on his latest start when taken wide by George Baker who didn’t go hard on the three year old by Elnadim. Related to multiple winners at 1m 6f+, he should relish this extra stamina test and it is well worth noting that Adam Kirby has a record of 7-38 when riding for William Knight on the all weather. He can improve sufficiently on handicap debut to take this at the expense of Bonnie Arlene, who had excuses last time out but does look exposed.

1 ARAB MOON – Three maiden runs under his belt for William Knight and he wasn’t hard pushed on the latest of those in November, taken very wide and then nursed home by George Baker . Those runs were all the mile mark and he’s now upped three furlongs on handicap debut with Adam Kirby up for the first time, which does make him very interesting. His pedigree suggests he will improve markedly for the step up in trip, being related to a 1m 6f winner and a half sister to a 2m Group 2 winner, so he should take all the beating off a lenient mark of 61.

2 BONNIE ARLENE – Eleven race maiden and although she had excuses on her latest start at Chelmsford, she does need to pull out a bit more off this mark if she’s to take victory for Mark Johnston. She has placed four times so far, with three of those coming in her last three runs so she certainly isn’t a forlorn hope, a clear best of the rest at Southwell on her penultimate start. Richard Kingscote takes the ride and she should go close, but she looks vulnerable and is in danger of becoming exposed.

3 NETLEY ABBEY – Three race maiden who showed very little in those race, well beaten on all three starts and her latest one at Kempton when upped in trip showed little to suggest she was  improving. He now switches to handicap and connections reach for the visor which does give some hope for an improved effort, but he’ll certainly need much more and perhaps others have more going for them on this occasion. Possible each way claims under Jospehine Gordon but others make more appeal.

4 PERLA BLANCA – Three poor runs at big odds in maidens for Marcus Tregoning and certainly looks on the back foot on handicap debut. Her pedigree suggests she’ll enjoy the step up in trip but she was brushed aside so easily on her latest run that it is hard to envisage that she’ll find enough improve to take a leading role in this under Steve Drowne. Others look to have more clear cut claims, though she needs a market check on handicap debut.

5 BLACK PRINCE – On the face of it he makes little appeal, with three very poor maiden runs under his belt earlier this season for Anthony Honeyball, showing little to no aptitude to the game. He has however been gelded since and the Honeyball yard is in fantastic form at present, with four winners from their last nine runners sent out, so it would be no surprise to see him run a cracking race, with his pedigree suggesting a step up in trip should suit. Watch the market very closely.

6 NEWTON HEATH – Four very modest runs so far for Daniel Logunane, finishing a running on seventh at Wolverhampton on his latest start but never able to threaten and well beaten in the end. He remains on the same mark and goes up markedly in trip which could suit on that evidence, but you’d have liked him to have finished a lot closer on that latest start to give him a proper chance in this. Others far less risky and perhaps he’s best watched this time around.

7 CEIL ROUGE – Six starts so far for Charlie Wallis and she starting to look like a very poor and exposed maiden, well beaten on her latest start at Lingfield on her comeback this season. She showed next to nothing in that race when folding tamely and it’s hard to see the step up in trip and headgear having anywhere near enough of a difference to make her competitive. Best left alone.

8 FLAWED DIAMOND – Has shown small hints at ability on a few of her seven runs thus far and she had excuses on her comeback run at Southwell three weeks ago, so she is hard to rule out completely if taking to the new surface. She has to prove she stays the distance but her pedigree does suggest she can stay, so she isn’t one to disregard for the placings for a yard who have had two winners of late. Needs to be considered at a bigger price.

9 HI THERE SILVER – Looked to be an exposed maiden until showing some signs of life when an 80/1 forth here when upped in trip in February, staying on well to battle for second all the way to the line. On his past performances he isn’t one to really trust in terms of following up but if building on that effort he could certainly be dangerous off a 2lb lower mark in a weak looking race. More is needed but he’s not one to discount entirely.

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