5.50pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 05/09/2017

A field of nine go to post for the first race of the evening at Kempton on Tuesday. See our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: This isn’t the most inspiring of races, with the early favourite Watch Tan bringing the best form on the back of a second at Wolverhampton in a seller. She should be in with a shout, however preference is for CASEY BANTER who will relish a return to this trip on nursery debut. She produced her best effort at this trip on debut and has struggled the last twice at the seven furlongs, with an opening mark of 49 looking generous. Connections are in red hot form and she looks set for a huge run.

2 GRAND ACCLAIM – Showed minor promise in three runs for Harry Dunlop, last seen at Bath finishing fourth after fading tamely in the final furlong. He makes his nursery debut today and has a wide draw to contend with. A mark of 58 does demand some improvement from him and, with better ground a question mark, others are readily preferred on this occasion.

3 VEGAS BOY – Five race maiden for Jamie Osbourne who has been going backwards of late, last seen at Lingfield when a well beaten sixth over the seven furlong distance. He should be happier back down to six though and a return to the all weather does make him interesting, with his best effort coming on this surface. He has each way claims if at his best, but the recent poor performance of connections does have to be of some concern.

4 WATCH TAN – Slow improvement from this daughter of Habour Watch who put in her best effort yet on her latest start in a selling race, finishing second behind a horse who has followed up since. She makes her nursery debut today off a mark of 55 and she’s an interesting proposition, as if she can kick on off this mark she looks like an each way danger under Trevor Whelan. Needs to be considered.

6 SARIA – Struggled to beat a rival at very large odds on all three of her runs, last seen at Chester where she shaped with very little promise. She now makes her nursery/stable debut for Tony Carroll and making a case for her is almost impossible as others have shown much more in previous runs.

7 ROMAN SPINNER – Showed a modicum of promise in her maidens for Rae Guest and she wasn’t necessarily disgraced on her nursery debut at Wolverhampton two weeks ago. She wasn’t beaten far in sixth and this step up in trip looks certain to suit, so she shouldn’t be ruled out for a place in a race that lacks depth.

8 CRUEL CLEVER CAT – Another who has shown very little in the way of promise in her career to date, making her nursery debut at Sandown on her latest start where she was left floundering in fourth. She was beaten 11 lengths and, although she drops back in grade, she makes very little appeal due to the margin she was slammed on her latest run. John Gallagher is going through a rough patch and that just compounds the case against her.

9 UNCOVERED – Three runs thus far for this son of Helmet who has shown little to nothing on most of those runs, with his debut sixth at Wolverhampton his only noteworthy effort. He makes his nursery debut off a basement weight, but it’s hard to make a case for him dropped in trip, with his pedigree hinting that he needs much further than this. Impossible to recommend.

10 CASEY BANTER – Showed ability on her first two runs, finishing third amid inexperience at Leicester on debut at today’s trip before struggling at the seven furlong distance the last twice. She will be much happier back down to this trip on nursery debut, with a mark of 49 very low to work off. Julia Feilden has a 30% strike rate in the past two weeks (from ten runners) and very capable three pound claimer Shelley Birkett is in equally good form, so she looks set for a very big run.

11 BUCKS FRIZZ – Half-sister to several six furlong winners, but she hasn’t shown much to suggest that she will be winning any time soon, well beaten on all her maiden runs. She failed to beat a rival when tailed off at Chepstow on her latest start, weakening in alarming fashion and it’s hard to make a case for her despite this very lowly mark on nursery debut.

12 ROSES IN JUNE – Now a seven race maiden for the Moore yard and she was never a factor on her latest start at Kempton, always in the rear and merely plugging on towards the finish. She now drops back to six furlongs which should suit and the in form Hollie Doyle retains the ride so she couldn’t be ruled out entirely, but it’s best to look elsewhere today.

Non-Runners –

1 KHELEYF’S GIRL – Ran her best race on debut for David Evans at Southwell when second of four and she’s gone backwards since, last seen at Newmarket when only able to muster up fourth. She needs to find progress from somewhere and, although this drop back in trip should suit, others are far more convincing and she’s passed over today.

5 BULLSEYE BULLET