Some interesting sorts over the unusual trip of nine furlongs in this Class Five event that is being run for just the second time tonight. Read on for our full horse by horse race preview ahead of the 5.40pm at Yarmouth this evening.
IN SUMMARY: More out of sorts runners than in form rivals, but the handicapper has been very kind to RUBENSIAN. With Silvestre de Sousa booked to ride, it appears as though David Simcock is looking to take full advantage. He has been put down 6lbs after his last run and, if he can be kept near enough the pace dropped back to this trip, he can win this for his Newmarket stable.
1 RUBENSIAN – The drop back in trip has to be a slight concern for David Simcock’s four-year-old son of Medicean, but based on breeding it should suit him better than 1 1/2 mile he failed over last time out at Kempton. The handicapper has been unusually generous in dropping him a big 6lbs for that. Champion jockey elect Silvestre de Sousa id booked to ride do he could well be the one to come home in front this afternoon, provided that they make more early use of him than in recent races.
2 STOSUR – The Gay Kelleway stable are only one from 14 in the last two weeks for a 7% strike rate which is hardly encouraging for supporters of the six-year-old mare. Five wins from 55 career starts isn’t a bad return for her connections, but her turf victories have been on rattling fast ground which she may well get again tonight. She was outpaced over an inadequate seven furlongs here last time, however she should be much better suited by this trip. She looks to have some serious place chances in this field.
3 BLAZE OF HEARTS – Still a maiden after nine starts with a second and a pair of thirds for a total of £2,450 in prize money so far. Last time out Dean Ivory’s gelding managed a 10 1/2 length sixth of ten at Windsor over a furlong further. That followed a 30 length sixth of seven over the same course and distance. Despite being dropped another 3lbs, he arrives here with an awful lot to prove for a stable with a 14% strike rate in the last fortnight.
4 ISSUE – Lightly raced for James Fanshawe with just the three starts and exactly the sort with which his trainer does so well. Last time out he finished second to Kicking The Can at Newcastle in 1 1/4 mile maiden in mid-November, and he may well back up that performance this season. Nevertheless, nine months off the track has to be a worry for a stable with just the one winner from their last 20 runners for a lowly 5% strike rate.
5 THECORNISHBARRON – A decent enough sort at his best with one course and distance win in July last year. However, he’s been woefully out of sorts lately, with defeats by ten lengths, 17 1/2 lengths, and 12 lengths in his last three starts. Dropped another 2lbs today and undoubtedly on a winning mark, but only if he can recapture his best form which currently seems unlikely. The John Ryan stable have had zero winners from 14 runners in the last 14 days and so he’s hard to suggest for that reason as well.
6 LIFE OF LUXURY – Seven races without a victory so far and has his first taste of racing on the grass this afternoon following a length third over 1m 1/2f at Wolverhampton last time out. Steps up in class off a pound higher, but could be more than a little interesting if improving on grass. However, trainer Mark Brisbourne is none from five recently which counts against him.
7 NAVAJO STORM – Runs from 2lbs out of the handicap today (carries 2lbs more than her allotted weight thanks to the race conditions) and hasn’t won or placed yet after eight starts. Her best effort yet was a 3 3/4 length fifth here over ten furlongs in July. The Michael Appleby stable are performing well enough with six winners in the last two weeks, but even that might not help her here.