4.35pm Newcastle Tips & Betting Preview 23/06/2016

IN SUMMARY: Can’t Change It quickened clear to win his final start in 2015 and resumed with another convincing success last month; He is evidently on the upgrade but his latest 8lb rise won’t be easy to swallow and, at the prices, it could be worth chancing MR BOSSY BOOTS (14/1 Each Way). Ralph Beckett’s 5yo hasn’t been seen to best effect on turf on his last two outings and remains on a career-high mark but has a good strike-rate on the AW and might still have some improvement in him now back on an artificial surface. We haven’t seen Certificate since he went close on Polytrack in February but he is with a top stable, remains lightly raced and is another to consider. Godolphin’s 4yo Hold Tight flopped in the Victoria Cup at Ascot last month but something was presumable amiss that day and he remains unexposed.

1 Toocoolforschool – Ended 2yo season with 7l success  in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes at Newbury (6f, soft) but was unable to land a significant blow in Pattern company during light campaign in 2015 and was also disappointing in a conditions race on reappearance in April; now dropped into a handicap with a tongue-tie fitted for AW debut; needs to get career back on track.

2 Lord Of The Land – Five time winner (once on Polytrack) when trained in France; improved upon disappointing seasonal/stable debut when very respectable fifth at Haydock (7f, good) in April but took a backward step when last of 19 (albeit hampered) at York last month; may yet come good for David O’Meara but others have much less to prove.

3 Georgian Boy – Untested on Tapeta but landed a good prize on Polytrack at Kempton (1m) in September and will be fine over today’s shorter trip; current mark demands a new career-best performance but he’s likely to be happier back on an artificial surface after three turf runs and probably won’t be far away.

4 Certificate – Evidently suited by drop back to 7f and fitting of first-time blinkers when scoring at Lingfield (AW) in December and has run well on both starts this year, the more recent in first-time visor in a valuable event back at Lingfield in February; returns from 138-day break today but there’s every chance he’ll be on the premises again.

5 Can’t Change it – Returned from eight-month break with comfortable win at Goodwood (7f, good) in May and now bids to complete a hat-trick; latest 8lb rise could make things tough but he is proven on Tapeta and might still be improving; commands respect.

6 Hold Tight – Lightly raced 4yo who won two of his first three starts; ran as though something was amiss in the Victoria Cup at Ascot last month and comes here with a point to prove but it’s quite possible we are yet to see the best of him; fitted with first-time hood; dangerous to ignore.

7 Lord Of The Rock – Two wins from seven starts, the more recent gained when making all in the Spring Mile at Doncaster (soft) after an absence in April; subsequent 5lb rise doesn’t look excessive but he ran poorly at York last month and isn’t sure to be suited by the drop back in trip for today’s AW debut.

8 Enlace – Now 2lb lower than when winning at Glorious Goodwood (7f, good to firm) last summer but seemed to lose his way afterwards and has been very disappointing on both starts this season; will probably be fine on this surface but big leap of faith required to support him at present.

9 Mr Bossy Boots – Soundly beaten on last two turf starts but 5-13 AW strike-rate suggests he’ll be seen to much better effect on this surface; current mark demands a new career-best performance but he quickened well to win at Lingfield three starts ago and is not yet fully exposed.

10 Candelisa – The only 3yo in the line-up; well very close on seasonal debut at Pontefract (6f, heavy) but hasn’t been in the same form on softish turf on his last couple of outings; still has low mileage but needs to up his game and is untested on an artificial surface.

11 Wilde Inspiration – Sole previous AW run was his midfield finish in a 2yo maiden back in 2013; generally consistent at around 1m on turf since bagging a good prize at Haydock (1m, good) in April 2015 and current mark probably not beyond him but it remains to be seen whether today’s trip/surface shows him in his best light.

12 Northgate Lad – Much better known as a sprinter and failed to convince stamina-wise when upped to 7f at Doncaster earlier in the month; subsequent 2lb drop in the weights not enough to tempt; makes AW debut today.

13 Free Code – Won off a slightly higher mark on turf last season and made quite pleasing return to action when fourth over 6f at Newmarket in April but hasn’t been firing on all cylinders since then (three starts) and finished fifth of six on sole previous AW run, on Tapeta at Wolverhampton in 2014.

14 Love Island – Campaigned mainly as a sprinter and hasn’t win since May 2014; has been shaping as though worth another crack at 7f but never really threatened at York (6f) on latest outing and others have more appealing profiles.

myracing Forecast Prices: 7/2 Hold Tight, 4/1 Can’t Change It, 9/2 Certificate, 10/1 Lord Of The Land, Free Code, 12/1 Wilde Inspiration, 14/1 Georgian Boy, Lord Of The Rock, Mr Bossy Boots, 16/1 Candelisa, Northgate Lad 20/1 Toocoolforschool, Enlace, Love Island

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