IN SUMMARY:We can’t help but worry a little about how fit FOUNDATION (8/11) will be for today with loftier targets just around the corner, but his form is second to none and we cannot find a sensible angle to oppose him regardless. Shogun could surprise a few and be the one to chase him home, but using the form book as our guide there is only one possible winner here.
1 FOUNDATION (8/11)– The clear form choice based on three wins in a row at Haydock (twice) and Newmarket, closely followed by an unlucky in running third in the Group One Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster when he was denied a clear run not once but twice. That form is the best on offer by some way and he ought to win here but be warned, we doubt he is 100% straight for today with the 2000 Guineas at the end of the month his main target.
2 SHOGUN (15/2)– Clearly not one of the Ballydoyle big guns based on his juvenile form with a Curragh maiden win his only victory from five starts. He was highly tried and includes a less than two length sixth to Ultra in the Group One Grand Criterium in France as well as a tenth of fourteen to classy stable mate Hit It A Bomb at Keeneland in the Breeders Cup. Ought to be outclassed by Foundation but is a lot better than the bare form implies.
3 STEEL OF MADRID (20/1) – A big price for a horse with so much untapped potential after just the two race career so far – a narrow margin victory at Salisbury followed by a narrow margin loss at Kempton in September over this mile. He does need to show considerable improvement to take a hand here, but he is a bit of an unknown quantity and could pull off a shock.
4 STORMY ANTARCTIC (9/2) – Consistent sort with a first three finish in all five of his races to date. One of those more likely to handle the softer ground should Newmarket suffer any overnight rain, and only went down by a head to Johannes Vermeer in the Group One Grand Criterium when last seen, staying on strongly over the seven furlongs. Decent form and perhaps the most likely to make the most of any mishaps by the jolly today
5 TONY CURTIS (25/1)– a decent enough Listed class two-year-old who won contests at Epsom and Salisbury, but was found out when thrown in to Group class at Doncaster when well behind Foundation. Fourth on his return he will have fitness on his side but looks outclassed again today.
6 VERY TALENTED (7/1) – One of the lower rated contenders but if Godolphin like him we ought to sit up and take notice. Needed three races to peak last year and only has a maiden win to his name where he beat Linguistic very easily, but still entered in plenty of the big races (including the 2000 Guineas). Should make up in to a better
myracing Forecast Prices: 4/6 Foundation, 5/1 Stormy Antarctic Very Talented, 7/1 Shogun, 25/1 Steel of Madrid Tony Curtis