3.45pm Epsom Tips & Betting Preview 29/08/2017

A field of ten go to post for the fourth race of the day at Epsom on Tuesday, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: Coral Sea arrives here as a last time out winner, but she faces far different conditions here and looks vulnerable off her revised mark. TIGERWOLF arrives here extremely well treated for Mick Channon and his hard to oppose when you realise he is now ten pounds below his mark when placing in Class 2 company at Goodwood in August 2016. His latest run at Goodwood is best ignored as he went off far to quick early on, doing well to only be beaten around five lengths. He has conditions to suit and can take full advantage of this career low mark.

1 MUNFALLET – Had a productive 2016 for David Brown but he’s found things tough going this season, with a fourth place at Chepstow three starts ago remaining his only standout effort. He looked very much one paced when headed at Chepstow on his latest start back in July and he’s only two pounds lower here, which does little to heighten his appeal. The Brown yard have been struggling in recent weeks and he’s one to avoid today.

2 THAQAFFA – Won at Nottingham three starts ago when making all despite being keen early on, but his two poor efforts since give him something to answer for. He led at a strong pace on his latest start and weakened tamely when headed, going out like a light and he’s only two pounds lower here. That means he’s still four pounds above his last winning mark and despite the booking of Silvestre De Sousa, others are readily preferred.

3 RED TYCOON – Five year old who was a good second at Ascot back in May off a pound higher mark and he was stuck in the mud on two subsequent efforts for Ken Cunningham-Brown. He had excuses when ninth at Newmarket on his latest start and he’s now down to a mark which sees him hugely interesting with a claim taking off a further five pounds. Definite each way claims under Finley Marsh.

4 FLYBOY – Has placed on three of his four starts for the Richard Fahey yard, unlucky not to win his latest start at Leicester as he was headed on the post by a progressive sort who completed four-timer on that occasion. He is two pounds higher here but a repeat of that performance will see him in good stead here with Adam McNamara taking three pounds off his back. Obvious each way claims with conditions fine, though his record of one win from eighteen starts tempers enthusiasm for win purposes.

5 CORAL SEA – Course and distance winner on her latest start, keeping on strongly to win comfortably by around two lengths. She does however have much different conditions today and a five pound rise is going to make this tougher. Harry Bentley takes over the ride and she’s an each way player if matching that previous form but she’s vulnerable for win purposes onto this mark.

6 CARPE DIEM LADY – Four year old who likes to lead, so it’s an immediate negative that she won’t be allowed one with others likely to go forward here. She won at Chepstow three starts ago when allowed to do her own thing out in front. Off a two pound higher mark the last twice she’s struggled, although that was over the six furlong trip. Going back up to seven furlongs is positive and she couldn’t be ruled out with any confidence here.

7 TIGERWOLF – Inconsistent sort for Mick Channon who has been out of form of late, but he is now down to a mark of 75 which sees him well treated on the best of his form last summer. He placed off a ten pound higher mark in a tougher race than this back in August 2016, so anything near his best today would see him very tough to beat. His effort four days ago at Glorious Goodwood is best ignored as he was lit up from an early stage and with conditions fine, he is taken to gain a second career success.

8 FAVOURITE ROYAL – Won on the all weather at Wolverhampton in May with a game effort and he’s had excuses the last twice for Eve Johnson Houghton. He was wide on his penultimate start at Carlisle and he was slow leaving the stalls at Chelmsford on his latest start. He is only three pounds above his last winning mark so is entitled to be in with a place shout, but he couldn’t be relied upon.

9 SWISS CROSS – Has won twice in Jersey this summer for Phil McEntee but his efforts on the mainland have been less productive. He was last on his latest start at Newmarket and he’s only two pounds lower here, so it’s hard to make any sort of case for him on that basis.

10 ANDALUSITE – Another front-runner who made most at Brighton three starts ago but he’s not found it easy going the last twice since being upped into Class 4 company, running well enough but never quite looking the winner. He was unable to keep up the gallop when weakening towards the line at Brighton on his latest start and off the same mark, he’s hard to recommend.

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