3.10pm Newmarket tips for Thursday’s Class 2 race. Raced over the mile, this handicap contest promises to be hugely competitive with big yards represented. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.
IN SUMMARY: Only beaten half a length on her latest start by an improver, SUMMER CHORUS has been raised two pounds as a result and that looks very lenient. She didn’t have a clear run that day and off this comparable mark she looks very tough to beat with so many of her rivals having question marks to answer. The biggest danger is First Dance who won on her return after a layoff but needs more after being given an opening mark of 81.
1 SUMMER CHORUS – Hit the frame on her last three runs, finishing second on her last two runs, including over course and distance. She was only beaten half a length at Chelmsford when last seen and a two pound rise isn’t enough to stop her winning this as she’s still unexposed at this trip.
2 REBEL SURGE – Has been running well of late without threatening to trouble the judge, last seen finishing fifth at Doncaster in a similar event. She didn’t have the best trip that day, however previous efforts suggest that she is too high in the weights at present, needing a bit of help for the handicapper.
3 PEAK PRINCESS – Lightly raced three-year-old who won at Kempton two starts ago before finishing fifth at Chelmsford when last seen, around three lengths behind Summer Chorus. This looks like a tough mark and she’ll need a strong gallop to be winning here. Others look to have more pressing claims this time around.
4 STELLAR SURPRISE – Both her wins have come at the mile distance and her only attempt at seven furlongs resulted in a heavy defeat. She needed all of the distance to win three starts ago and she arrives here off the back of two poor runs in better races. She has plenty to prove now and couldn’t be backed with confidence.
5 SAYEM – Three wins from eight starts including one at this distance, running better than the results suggested when ninth at Glorious Goodwood. This is a less competitive contest and this mark is unlikely to be beyond her with further improvement. Jamie Spencer retains the ride and she has each way claims.
6 FIRST DANCE – Some promise in three runs last season for James Tate and she returned from a sizeable layoff when winning a Kempton maiden in August. She should improve for the run, but more is needed and a mark of 81 isn’t particularly generous. Would be no surprise in the placings but vulnerable for win purposes.
7 PARLANCE – Sir Michael Stoute inmate who didn’t have the best of runs when seventh at Kempton behind Peak Princess when last seen. She didn’t look like she would have beaten that rival though and she has looked held in previous starts. She seems vulnerable again for win purposes off this mark.
8 TOY THEATRE – Looks exposed in the context of this race and both of her wins have come on the all weather, well beaten on her latest start at Chelmsford last month. She’s only two pounds higher and pitched into a tougher race, facing a very difficult task here under Silvestre De Sousa.