2.45pm Nottingham Tips & Preview – myracing Meeting 15/06/2017

A big field for this mile and six furlong test, another race at Nottingham sponsored by myracing.com. Read on for our expert tip and preview for this staying handicap at Nottingham.

IN SUMMARY: Siguard would be hard to beat if able to reproduce his hurdling form back on the flat, but his previous runs in this discipline have left plenty to be desired. Miss Tree bounced right back to form last time and still looks well treated on her form in the past. Lineman could nick a place at a huge price but the vote goes to STANARLEY PIC. Sent off at 7/2 in a Class 4 0-80 over this course and distance earlier in the year, he looks massively overpriced at 14’s in a 0-60 Class 6 now!

1 STYNES – NON RUNNER

2 STANARLEY PIC – Looking to break a losing run, stretching back to September 2014 when scoring twice in eight days at Hamilton. Those are the only two wins so far in his career, proving inconsistent since. He was too keen early on in a small field over this course and distance in May but that was a Class 4 contest and although he came home last, he was only beaten six lengths in total and was sent off at just 7/2. He looks well treated back in a Class 6 on that run and looks a big player at an overinflated price.

3 DESKTOP – Sprung a shock when winning first time back last season at Wolverhampton from this mark at 25/1. He went on to score over this trip at Wetherby from two pounds higher before flopping on quick ground over course and distance when sent off favourite. Well enough handicapped to be competitive, the lack of a run isn’t a concern but the ground might just be a little on the lively side for him.

4 MISS TREE – Made every yard of the running when scoring over this trip at Redcar last time, able to dictate proceedings, she never looked like getting picked up. It is unlikely to be so easy to dominate here and is unproven if the ground were to turn fast, but she is still well enough treated despite a four pounds rise on her form in late 2014 before moving to France.

5 MY MO – Ran a fine race in a similar contest to this at Chepstow last time when runner up over two miles. The petrol gauge looked to be flickering on empty there so the step back a quarter mile in trip looks a smart move. He is 0/12 on turf on the flat and has a poor record when the ground is on the quick side however, so they are big enough concerns to pass him over.

6 PANTOMIME – Makes her debut for our friends at EPDS Racing and trainer Lucy Egerton off the back of a near 750 day absence. She last ran over a mile and a quarter at Navan, steadily plugging away but never getting competitive from a mark of 68. The front pair that day are now a combined 53 pounds higher in the weights, giving some idea of the task she faced in hindsight. She is now only rated 55, a mark that looks fair on her form but trip and fitness are genuine concerns.

7 WHITECLIFF PARK – Hadn’t run beyond a mile and a half before bolting up when tried over two miles at Newcastle last time. That was his second win on a Tapeta surface, a record of 0/9 on turf telling it’s own tale. Well enough treated on his old form but the lack of anything better than a fourth on grass raises doubts about the suitability of this test.

8 LINEMAN – Has a moderate 0/15 record on turf but the four times he has placed on grass have all been over this course and distance. His current mark of 53 is lower than any of those he was placed from so although he is an unlikely winner, with four places to play for each way, he has a squeak at a working man’s price despite showing very little so far in 2017

9 LE TISSIER – 0/20 record overall is uninspiring, but he did run his best race when fitted with cheek pieces for the first time. He sports first time blinkers now and if the headgear works, a mark a full stone below the mark from which he was only beaten five lengths by St Leger winner Harbour Law in a Sandown handicap, he would hold a huge chance. That said his form has been predominantly regressive since so the headgear is going to have to make a significant difference.

10 ANGEL IN THE SNOW – Same connections as Whitecliff Park, she showed her first bits of form in a pair of Tapeta handicaps at Newcastle over a mile and a half last Autumn. She showed nothing over hurdles over the winter and as a result looks hard to support without a significant market move, trying turf on the flat for the first time.

11 SIGURD – Showed next to nothing on the flat when trained by Kevin Ryan but a move to Jonjo O’Neill and a spell over hurdles, saw him land a Market Rasen handicap off a mark of 116. The general rule of thumb when comparing the codes is 45 pounds so that would suggest a mark of 71 is winnable on the flat. Naturally it isn’t an exact science but if in similar form to his hurdles win, his current mark of 48 looks one that is exploitable, giving him a huge chance.

12 TOPALOVA – Twice placed at Chelmsford already this year, she doesn’t do anything quickly, so a strong pace over this trip will help on her return to turf. She has just the three runs on the grass so far, the best of them coming at Beverley on good to firm, so the drying ground should be no concern for her. On balance she is opposable for win purposes given her 0/14 record but she has an each way squeak.

13 LITTLE ORCHID – Finished a respectable fourth on her first try over this trip at Yarmouth last time but that takes her overall career to 0/12. She has been dropped a pound and will have no problems with conditions but chances are she will get going too late again to be more than a place factor.

14 WASSAIL – Showed next to nothing in her first season of racing in 2016 but looked a potential improver on her 2017 return when third over slightly shorter than this at Bath. She hit the front about 300 yards from the line but just failed to see it our up the hill. She is entitled to come on for that first run of the season and if the ground is similarly quick here, she can make her presence felt.

15 MR STANDFAST – Got a soft time of it out in front when showing form for the first time when third in a Leicester seller last time out. That bare level wouldn’t be good enough to make the frame in this and although he is only lightly raced, he is very difficult to support with any confidence.

16 CRAKEHALL LAD – Bounced back to some semblance of form when runner up at Catterick over two miles last time. That wasn’t much of a contest and he did little more than pick of the stragglers up the straight. The hood he wore on that occasion has been replaced by blinkers that didn’t really work in four previous outings which tempers already lukewarm confidence still further.

17 HONOURABLE KNIGHT – Without a win since July 2014 but was missing in action from January 2016 until May of this year. His two runs back from that huge break has seen him finish last of thirteen and then last of ten. He is well enough treated on his old form but cannot be considered on what he has shown so far in 2017.

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