2.40pm Brighton Tips & Betting Preview 18/09/2017

Seven furlongs in front of a big field in this Class 6 handicap. Read on for our expert tip and runner by runner preview.

IN SUMMARY: LADY GWHINNYVERE is a massive price here and based on the majority of her form that isn’t a surprise. She shaped well at Ffos Las when third, however, then didn’t get home over a mile on soft ground last time out. Dropped back to seven furlongs will be in her favour and after just six races she is open to improvement and worth a chance at the price. Lady Morel and Tigerfish both have winning form at the track so need plenty of respect, while Corporal Maddox and Baltic Prince may also be close to the frame.

1 CORPORAL MADDOX – Infrequent winner got his head back in front last time out at Chepstow. The undulations there suit him and he also boasts a win over this course and distance from way back in 2014. Even with a lift in the weights for that victory he is still dangerously well treated on his best, eight pounds below the mark that he was placed from at this track in May. If he can string a few good efforts together, he could be in for a successful autumn.

2 BALTIC PRINCE – Not won on turf for two years but has only come down the weights five pounds in that time. He has shown some of the strongest form of his career in defeat in the last year which accounts for the handicapper being slow to drop him. He ran well both on his only visit here and at Goodwood so a switchback track doesn’t phase him; has an each way chance.

3 GOLDEN CANNON – Shown little in three bumpers nor in three maidens on the flat. She has been given a very harsh looking mark to start her handicap campaign and, as such, is impossible to support here.

4 TIFL – Broke the maiden tag at the eighth time of asking in a Chepstow seller in August. He was fitted with a tongue strap for the first time on that occasion, helping him to get home better over that six furlong trip. His mark is unchanged from there so, if the strap works as well again, he has a squeak should his stamina hold.

5 TIGERFISH – Has come of age this year, winning four times including twice here. She ran well from this new mark at Yarmouth so it looks at least a workable level as she comes back to this track once more. She won’t want any rain to fall, with the best of her picks coming on decent ground, but in a weak race she has an each way chance.

6 PULSATING – 0/8 so far on turf, the best of her form has all come at sprint trips. She has run no better than respectably in a couple of starts here so is going to need a significant step forward if she is to play anymore than a midfield role now.

7 LADY MOREL – Took until the eleventh time of asking to break her duck, doing so in a selling handicap over six furlongs at this track. She was placed from two pounds lower in a handicap over this trip here so she clearly enjoys her racing at this venue. This requires a little more, but if that win has boosted her confidence then she may well be capable of at least making the frame in another low grade contest.

8 MR ANDROS – Yet to make the frame in eight starts, he has tumbled down the handicap in 2017. Neither the recent additions of cheekpieces or a tongue strap have had a positive effect on him so he is easy to pass over on this occasion.

9 JUSTICE ROCK – Just a single win from 42 career races, he took until the 38th of them to get his head in front. That came when fitted with a first-time tongue strap, notching up four placed efforts since all with that to aid him. The trip is the big concern; trying seven furlongs just the once, he was turned over at odds-on in a weaker race than this in Jersey. That leaves him with a considerable question mark against his name.

10 LATEST QUEST – A pair of sizeable punts have gone astray on him in his last four starts, but connections clearly believe that he has the ability to add to his sole win. He has slipped close to two stone in the weights since receiving a handicap rating without looking like cashing in. Hard to support once more until he proves that he can produce better.

11 ARQUUS – Shaped well to a point on his handicap debut last time when patently failing to see out the mile at this track. The experience of the course should stand him in good stead, with his burden lightened by a few pounds courtesy of the handicapper. The drop in trip will suit him but he may need another furlong removed before he is ready to get his head in front.

12 LIMERICK LORD – Hasn’t been able to get his head in front in 15 starts on the turf, with an uninspiring overall record of 2/43. There is the odd flash of ability as he showed when only beaten half a length into third over this course and distance in August. He was subsequently beaten a long way here over a mile and, although the step down in trip will suit him, he has no more than an each way squeak in such an open contest.

13 ALMOQATEL – James Fanshawe managed to coax a win out of him in a claimer three years ago, but that is the only worthwhile form that he has shown in his career. Has regressed sharply since then, looking a very unlikely winner in this race despite the lowly level.

14 BED OF DIAMONDS – Yet to finish closer than nine lengths behind a winner in eight career starts, she has been primarily campaigned over much further since handicapping. She only beat one horse home in three maidens at about this trip so it would be one of the shocks of the season if she were able to land this.

15 LADY GWHINNYVERE – A mile on soft ground stretched her last time out, but she was previously placed in a small handicap over seven furlongs at Ffos Las behind a solid enough yardstick for this level in The Special One. A repeat of that would be good enough to get her into the frame in this contest and with just six starts in the book, she may yet be capable of stepping up on that.

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