2.25pm Kempton Tips & Betting Preview 25/09/2017

2.25pm Kempton tips for Monday’s Class Four race. An eight-horse field are due to line-up to compete for the £7,000 in total prize money in what should be an interesting race on the polytrack. Read on for our free betting tips, predictions and analysis.

IN SUMMARY: This looks to be all about just how much GRAFFITI MASTER improves for his debut fourth and whether he justifies his entry in the Racing Post Trophy later in the season. Trainer John Gosden rarely overestimates his charges, and if he thinks he has Group class potential then he needs to win this and do so with ease.

1 BAILEYS EXCELERATE – One win from two races so far after following a solid third on debut at Musselburgh with a win here when running on strongly over seven and a half furlongs.  Open to further improvement but penalised for that win, and not sure to be able to make all stepped up to this trip.

2 DUGGARY – Still a maiden after four starts and yet to get within nine lengths of the winner. Beaten over thirteen lengths at Newcastle last time out he looks up against it here but does have the benefit of Silvestre De Sousa in the saddle which can only increase his slim looking chances of success.

3 GRAFFITI MASTER – John Gosden has his string in fine form as he has all season and this Racing Post Trophy entry may well be a class above all of these rivals. A once raced son of Dubawi he finished fourth at Sandown staying on late over the seven furlongs and could be a very different proposition on his second start.

4 HARBOUR NIGHTS – Nicely bred and related to numerous winners headed by Qelaan but he may well need to better his relatives performances if he wants to win here. Hugo Palmer has his horses ticking over with an 11% strike rate and the market may be the best guide to the gelding’s chances.

5 MASTERS APPRENTICE – Sylvester Kirk’s chestnut has raced twice so far and has shown very little with a last of ten on debut and a seventeen length fifth of eight last time out at Goodwood in a lesser event. Those efforts seem to leave him a very long way short on the form book and he seems sure to start at a huge price.

6 SEE THE TAR – Easy to back on his one run so far when sent off a 50/1 chance at Windsor before finishing a fifteen length last of nine after pulling too hard to have any chance. He ought to have learned from that and may settle better upped in trip but he still has an awful lot to find in this company.

7 SPICE WAR – Another with the one race to his name and another who was well beaten with an eleven length eleventh of fourteen at Sandown when never really put in the race, though to be fair he was squeezed for room and then eased. Sure to improve over time but may do a lot better as a three-year-old.

8 TROGON – He ran his best race in four starts over the Brighton mile when a half-length second after being caught close home and seems unlikely to stay this far on both the evidence of that run and his breeding. Upped in class here after a sixth at Salisbury over seven furlongs and needs to improve considerably.