2.00pm Musselburgh Tips & Betting Preview 11/08/2017

This is a Class 6 nursery handicap raced over 7f, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: This race features plenty of runners stepping up to 7 furlongs for the first time and KIKINI BAMALAAM can come out on top. She’s raced over the minimum trip and looked to be crying out for this 7 furlong test on her last start so there’s every chance she can take advantage of a favourable mark. Sorority could give her the most to think about having placed in a couple of decent novice races.

1 SORORITY – Begins her handicap career of a modest mark of 67 following a couple of decent placed efforts. She wasn’t beaten all that far in an Epsom Novice Stakes race last month and if she can progress again from that she would hold a strong chance of breaking her maiden tag at the fourth attempt. The yard are going well of late with a 21% strike rate in the past fortnight. Respected.

2 SITUATION – Has had a few chances in handicap company now and he doesn’t look to be progressing. He improved for a drop down in grade last time out at Leicester and he may well do better again now dropped into Class 6 company for the first time. However, he needs to do more and the switch to Good ground will need to spark improvement.

3 PANOPHOBIA – Makes his handicap debut today stepped right up in trip. He’s run twice over 5 furlongs since being gelded and he hasn’t been able to feature on either start, comfortably held by 5 1/2 lengths last time out. He’s by Bated Breath so he should have some potential in him somewhere and this is a modest mark to kick-start his handicapping career.

4 ARCHIE PERKINS – Wasn’t beaten all that far in a much better race than this at Thirsk last month, finishing 5 1/2 lengths behind some useful sorts. He’s been dropped 3lbs for that effort which is more than welcome and he could put in his best run yet if he can build on that run now stepped up in trip to 7 furlongs for the first time. Interesting.

5 BAD DOG – Mick Easterby’s yard is struggling for form at present with just one winner from their last 23 runners. This son of Pastoral Pursuits makes his handicap debut off a mark of 60 which looks very fair given there were clear signs of promise in a Class 3 Novice Stakes race at York back in June. He’s been given a small break since then and he’s worth close attention in the betting.

6 STOPWATCH – Stepped right up in trip on handicap debut having struggled in some weak Novice Stakes races over 5 furlongs. The step up in trip should certainly suit based on breeding but he hasn’t shown enough in his races to date to suggest he should quickly progress in handicaps and he may be one to watch for further down the line.

7 PLANSINA – The yard’s runners generally improve for handicaps and this Planteur filly could follow the trend having shown signs of ability in a couple of her races to date. She steps up in trip today which is positive and the booking of David Allan also catches the eye for this yard. She’s worth a second look in the betting as market support would be significant.

8 KIKINI BAMALAAM – Has produced some mixed performances for Keith Dalgleish having been unable to build on a placed effort at Musselburgh last time out. She’s stepped right up in trip today having only raced over the minimum trip to date and that could suit given her dam’s sire is Holy Roman Emperor. She’s an attractive proposition in this with the step up in trip and she could be well-handicapped.

9 LIL GEM – Second runner in this for the Dalgleish yard and she’s another to step right up in trip today. She was well-beaten on her last start at Catterick in a weak Novice Stakes race and she needs to do much more before convincing that she can win a handicap. The extra distance is a massive positive though and she should relish the trip. Worth a second look in the betting.

10 LADYCAMMYOFCLARE – Mark Johnston’s Camacho filly steps up again in trip today following a 10-length defeat at Catterick last time out over 6 furlongs. She may appreciate this better ground today and she wasn’t beaten all that far in a relatively decent Bath Novice Stakes race in June. Joe Fanning rides and she shouldn’t be far away.

11 RAY PURCHASE – SP’s of 50/1, 50/1 and 50/1 illustrate the progression this Lethal Force gelding has shown in his last few starts. He’s stepped up in trip today having failed to impress over 5 or 6 furlongs to date and he starts his handicapping career off a lowly-mark of 49. He hasn’t suggested he’s able to win a race of this nature yet and may require more time. Best watched in this.

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