1.50pm Thirsk Tips & Betting Preview 01/09/2017

A field of ten go to post for the first race of the day at Thirsk on Friday. See our betting tips and full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: BREATHABLE showed marked improvement from his debut to his second run and can show another jolt of improvement to take victory here for Tim Easterby. He kept on well despite being outpaced at a crucial stage on his latest run and if he can maintain his pitch with more experience under his belt, he should take all the catching under David Allan. There are lots of unknown quantities in the field including Trumps Up, who won a weak maiden on his debut but as with all Channon runners, he should improve for the run and will be dangerous.

1 FRENCH FLYER – Won on debut for Michael Dods and he’s run two similar races the last twice, finishing fourth at Ayr on his latest start when looking very once paced towards the finish. This extra furlong should suit on that evidence and conditions are fine, so he has to be considered a leading player on that basis. That said, he does have to shoulder a seven pound penalty for his win which may just hold him back for win purposes.

2 TRUMPS UP – Mick Channon inmate who won on debut in a very modest looking contest, keeping on well to beat a horse who is now only 70 rated. He is entitled to improve for the experience though and Channon’s juveniles tend to progress for their racing. He has it to prove on better ground but if he does handle it, he’d be a strong each way contender despite a penalty.

3 AIRPLANE – Showed very little on debut for Tim Easterby but he did improve on his latest start despite finishing fifth and last at Ripon on his latest start. He wasn’t beaten far but was behind Breathable that day, with jockey bookings suggesting that horse is the yard’s number one hope in this race. He is a possible each way contender with further improvement but he should fall short for win purposes.

4 BREATHABLE – Showed some promise on debut for Tim Easterby before stepping up on that effort to finish third at Ripon two weeks ago. That run showed marked improvement from his first so another jolt of progress would be no surprise, with David Allan retaining the ride which makes him the first string of the Easterby runners. Conditions will be fine and he should be able to take this modest looking race with further progress.

5 GABRIEL’S OBOE – Son of Rip Van Winkle for the Mark Walford yard who don’t send out many two year olds, with only one winner at this course back in 2014. Judging by his pedigree he should come into his own at the middle distances and unless there is significant market support, others are readily preferred on this occasion.

6 MOXY MARES – Sent off 50/1 on debut for Daniel Loughnane but he outran his odds to finish a good third, keeping on strongly towards the finish. He is sure to benefit from this step up in trip and is a fascinating contender with Luke Morris taking over the ride. He is engaged at August 31st, so he isn’t sure to run here so bare that in mind.

7 SINCERELY RESDEV – £4,500 purchase as a yearling for David O’Meara who is a son of Rock Of Gibraltar, with lots of stamina in his pedigree. He is drawn on the outside for his debut with is concerning and he should come into his own into the middle distances, so he’s best watched on this occasion unless the market suggests otherwise.

8 THE KNOT IS TIED – Son of Casamento who is half brother to seven winners, with this being the third runner for Tim Easterby in this race. He has a good mix of speed and stamina in his pedigree so this trip looks ideal on debut, with the jockey booking of James Sullivan no bad thing. He should know his job on debut and is an interesting each way contender on debut, especially if market support does come.

9 WEINBERG – Donald McCain has his string in fine form at present, but the fact he’s only had one two year old winner which came way back in 2014 has to be of concern for this son of City Scape. Only costing 8000gns as a two year old, he’s related to some modest winners and judging by his pedigree, he could struggle to see out of this trip. Other newcomers seem far more interesting and he’s best watched on debut.

10 GOLDEN GUIDE – Daughter of Havana Gold for the Karl Burke yard, who has been enjoying a fine season with his two year olds. Costing £12,000 as a two year old, her dam was an unplaced and very modest maiden. She is realted to some winners including at Listed level though so her pedigree does give some hope for her on debut. This trip seems a good starting point and she warrants respect.

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