1.50pm Goodwood Tips & Betting Preview 03/08/2017

A field of eight go to post for the first race of the day at Glorious Goodwood on Thursday, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: After winning a maiden comfortably at Newmarket, HOLD SWAY ran brilliantly on handicap debut to finish third to Frontispiece and he’s taken to reverse that useful bit of form under Silvestre De Sousa. He remains open to progress after just five runs and he stays this trip well, with softer ground no concern. He’s been gelded since his latest start and with Charlie Appleby in such hot form, he should take the world of beating.

1 EUGINIO – Returned better than ever this season, finishing a good second at Newmarket in April before a game victory at Sandown in July. He has only been raised two pounds as a result and likely has much more to offer at this trip for Richard Hannon. The in form Andrea Atzeni takes the ride and has to be respected with conditions to suit, despite this being his toughest task yet.

2 KINGS GIFT – Three year old for Michael Dods who ran a great race to finish third at York on his latest start, keeping on strongly over the mile distance. He remains on the same mark and is interesting upped to the 1m 2f trip as despite him being never dangerous on his only previous attempt, his dam stayed well and there is hope for better, Paul Mulrennan takes the ride for an in form yard and he’s one to note.

3 GREY BRITAIN – Made all to win a Newmarket Listed race back in May, and he wasn’t necessarily disgraced on his latest start when fifth in Listed company at the same venue last month. He stays 1m 2f and the John Ryan team are going well, but more is needed off a mark of 99 in a race where many look well treated. Gerald Mosse will get the best out of him but he looks set to fall short in this.

4 TWIN STAR – One win from six starts, with that sole victory coming when he was still with Sheila Lavery out in Ireland. He was well beaten in the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot before making his stable debut for Andrew Balding, where he was slammed in Listed company at Hamilton. First time tongue-tie goes on and he returns to the 1m 2f trip, but it’s hard to get excited about his chances and he’s best watched.

5 GOOD OMEN – Both his wins at the 1m 2f trip have come in smaller fields, going up three pounds in the handicap for his latest win at Yarmouth. That form works out reasonably well and there could more to come from him in time, but a  return to a bigger field does have to be of concern, especially here as he’ll need a huge amount of luck from the back under Jamie Spencer. Others make far more appeal.

6 MUTARABBY – Progressive son of Tamayuz who gained his first career victory at Chelmsford over the mile on his latest start, coming home strongly and giving an indication that a return to this trip would suit. He has been raised seven pounds since his latest start though and goes into a tougher race, with his tendency to fluff the start a big concern as getting behind here could lose him the race. Hard to rule out but others seem far more likely.

7 LEADER’S LEGACY – Won on handicap debut at Haydock in May by a comfortable margin, finishing seventh in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot on his latest start. He was weakening towards the finish and this step up in trip isn’t guaranteed to suit, with connections relying on the cheekpieces to draw out further improvement. Each way claims if they do so, but jockey bookings would indicate he is the second string.

8 MUKALAL – Improving on the all weather for Marcus Tregoning, last seen at Chelmsford when beaten by Mutarabby in his bid for a double. He has been raised a further five pounds as a result, but his sire was best at 1m 2f/1m 4f so there is hope for better now he is upped in trip. That said, his only turf run resulted in him being well beaten and he has a lot to prove in that aspect. Jim Crowley is on a Godolphin horse with Dane O’Neill taking the ride, which could be telling.

9 ADDEYBB – Three starts thus far for William Haggas, winning his last two runs in fine style. He won on handicap debut in a tough looking race at Ascot, battling gamely to deny a persistent challenger late on. He has been raised five pounds as a result, but a step up to 1m 2f trip could eek out further improvement and he’s clearly on the upgrade at present. Ryan Moore takes the ride and he looks a big danger.

10 ARCHETYPE – Has been improving with every run for Simon Crisford, last seen at Sandown where he gained his second victory from starts in a Class 4 handicap. He was allowed to dictate his own fractions throughout and punished his rivals as a result, but he isn’t likely to get luxury this time around and this is a much tougher race. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and there is likely more to come. Possible each way claims but vulnerable for win purposes.

11 EMENEM – Won three starts ago at Epsom when comfortably dispatching his rivals and he was unlucky not to win again at the same venue a week later, going down by a neck after being blocked in the run. Raised a further five pounds, he was far from disgraced to finish third at York when last seen, though he was behind Society Red. John Egan takes the ride and it’s hard to give him more than each way claims and others look better treated.

12 MONTICELLO – Finished second in two small field handicaps at Newmarket in June, but he failed to back that up when last seen at the same venue. He was a well beaten tenth without any real excuse and it’s hard to trust he’ll bounce straight back to form. Mark Johnston does well in the handicaps here, but others make far more appeal on what form they bring into the contest.

13 MORNING SUIT – Last win came over the mile at Brighton in May, going close on numerous occasions since for Mark Johnston. He was poor at Pontefract when last seen, but he’s very interesting upped to this distance with stamina on the dam’s side. One of the most intriguing runners in the race with PJ McDonald taking the ride and he’s one to keep a close eye on in the market, as support would make him all the more interesting.

14 HOLD SWAY – Won on his penultimate start at Newmarket in May, making his handicap debut at Sandown on his latest start when one and a half lengths behind Frontispiece. He has been gelded since and a turn around with that rival looks very likely as that rival was well beaten when last seen at the same venue. Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride and should take some stopping with the ground now coming into his favour.

15 FRONTISPIECE – Bids to give the Queen another win at this year’s Festival, winning on his penultimate start at Sandown when ahead of Hold Sway. Raised four pounds he was perhaps disappointing over the same course and distance, never able to challenge. David Egan takes the ride and five pounds off his back, so he cannot be fully discredited but others to make more appeal on paper.

16 RAY’S THE MONEY – Not the most straight forward of horses but he won on his penultimate start at Haydock in June, with his latest run at Newmarket impossible to really gauge. It was a three runner contest in softer ground, with him being beaten around eleven lengths by an unbeaten rival, eased when his chance had gone. It’s hard to know whether he’ll stay, with his pedigree suggesting he should only stay the mile, so others are more persuasive.

17 RUMPOLE – Has been showing steady improvement for Hughie Morrison, last seen at Windsor where he was a head second behind an in form rival. The 1m 2f trip seems likely to suit and should bring about further improvement, but it’s going to need to as he goes into much tougher waters. Kieran O’Neill takes the ride and he’s one of the more unlikely winners.

18 SOCIETY RED – Finished a close second at York on his penultimate run but thsi inconsistent son of Arcano failed to back that up when well beaten at Ascot on his latest start. He did have an excuse in the fact he raced too free, but others look more convincing as he doesn’t tend to back up his good efforts.

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