1.00pm Lingfield Tips & Betting Preview 13/01/2017

10 handicappers go to post for the first race of the day at Lingfield, see our betting tips and the full race preview below.

IN SUMMARY: Running on nicely on his handicap debut to finish fourth, ODE TO PARIS drops in class today and goes up in trip which is bound to suit. The Ed Dunlop yard have hit form at present and he should improve markedly on only his second handicap run. He demands the utmost respect with David Probert taking the ride. His main danger is likely to be Willy Rumpus who won a nursery at Leicester on his latest start and this new trip should bring out further improvement.

1 TISBUTADREAM – Finished 7th on her latest start at Lingfield (7f, Std), but his performance was better than what the bare form suggests. She was taken very wide around the turn before keeping on nicely, so this step up to one mile should suit much better. A E100,000 purchase, she should have much more to give if judged by her very smart pedigree and has to be respected, but the widest draw makes this a difficult task and may just have to settle for places today.

2 WILY RUMPUS – Step up to 7f certainly did the trick when winning well on nursery debut at Leicester in October (7f, Good), and now has further scope for improvement stepping up to a mile. Only 3lb higher today which is easily manageable, and should have no problem transferring his ability on to the all weather for Ed Walker and Thomas Brown, who is having a good season with a +5.00 to level stakes profit on the all weather this year.

 3 ODE TO PARIS – Showed some promise in maidens and ran nicely on handicap debut when staying on well at Wolverhampton last week over the 7f trip. He drops down in class today which should help and the step up to one mile should also suit. Ed Dunlop’s yard is going well at present with two winners from six runners in the past two weeks and has a very good chance of winning this on only his second handicap start, with the wide draw not a concern as he is likely to drop in anyway. Should run a big race and demands respect.

4 PRESENCE PROCESS – Easily held in three all weather handicaps the last thrice, but those were in higher grades and he drops back to Class 6 for the first time today. He does however still seem vulnerable as he hasn’t shown any real form of note in those higher grade races, unable to threaten on any occasion. Drops another 2lb in the weights but still makes limited appeal and is best watched today.

5 NO NOT AGAIN – Turned in a career best when a close 3rd in a nursery at Kempton in December (1m, Std), his first attempt at the mile trip. He was staying on well and if repeating that effort he’d have solid each way claims under Sean Levey, especially as he remains on the same mark from that Kempton run. Richard Hannon’s yard hasn’t been firing of late with no winners from his last 20 runners, but his three year old should run well enough with conditions to suit.

6 MAC’S KYLLACHY – Has gradually improved in maiden company and switches to handicaps on a mark of 62 which isn’t particularly harsh. He should improve for this switch in company but it is hard to know what he has achieved thus far and the step up in trip isn’t guaranteed to suit. Likely to improve in time but is best watched today against horses who can have a much better case built for them.

7 OURMULLION – Very modest on four starts to date but showed he stays the mile trip when 3rd at Newcastle in November in a Nursery (1m, Std). If progressing he does have the capability to be involved off a mark of 62 with conditions perfectly fine today, but the John Best haven’t been in great form lately with a record 0-7 in the past two weeks, with a similar record for Kieren Fox of 0-10 which does temper enthusiasm. Others have more pressing claims but if improving he does have a chance of placing.

8 ROMAN LEGION – Showed signs of ability over sprint trips in 2016 and has been gelded since he was last seen staying on at Lingfield in July (6f, Good). Will appreciate this step up in trip judging by his pedigree and is potentially a big improver for the inform Dean Ivory yard (2-13 in the past two weeks). His mark of 62 looks generous compared to some other horses on the same mark and has to be considered for each way money considering he has huge scope for improvement.

9 CHOUGH – Hasn’t shown a great deal thus far for Hughie Morrison and her latest 5th at Kempton (1m, Std to Slw) doesn’t amount to much. She’s now blinkered and races off the same mark today, but she is drawn poorly in Stall 7 and others in the race have much more scope for improvement. Morrison has had a few winners of late but it is doubtful this filly will add to that list and others are readily preferred.

10 DELEYLL – Would have claims on his penultimate 2nd at Kempton when with William Haggas (7f, Std to Slw) but didn’t make a good start life with the John Butler yard when tailed off at Southwell in December (1m, Std). Only drops marginally in the weights despite that poor display and is hard to fancy on the back of that effort, even with Timmy Murphy retaining the ride. Others have far more pressing claims.

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