Trends Analysis: Saturday 9th Nov 2019
The bad news is that we’ve lost the final turf flat card of the season with Doncaster being called-off – all the rain we had in midweek has resulted in the track being waterlogged!
It’s not all bad though as we’ve still got a decent jumping card from Wincanton with three LIVE races that include the Unibet Elite Hurdle and the Badger Beers Silver Trophy Handicap – a race that the Paul Nicholls-trained Present Man will be looking to win for a third year in a row.
We’ve also LIVE races from Aintree to take in on ITV, while the supporting cards are at Kelso and Southwell (AW).
We’ll be highlighting our TOP FOUR trends to look for from the ITV Racing and putting them in a big-priced ‘Cracker Acca’ – plus, giving you the ‘best of the rest’ trends from around the other tracks this Saturday.
Plus – don’t forget, you can also get more help finding the winner for all this Saturday’s races on our Free Horse Racing Tips page.
TV Stats ‘350/1 Cracker Acca’
(Pays £3,500 for a £10 stake)
1.15 Wincanton: It’s hard to get away from the good record that trainer Paul Nicholls has with his runners at Wincanton. He boasts a cracking 39% record with his hurdlers, so his SAINTEMILLION stands out here. This six-year-old returns after a six-month break but is sure to be wound up for a race the Nicholls yard have also won twice in the last three years. He’s a bit to find with Enola Gay, who finished 6 ¼ lengths ahead of him at the track last season, but an 8lb weight pull in favour of the Nicholls horse should help on that score.
2.25 Wincanton: With a staggering five wins in the last eight runnings, then trainer Paul Nicholls loves to win this race. This year he pins his hopes on IF YOU SAY RUN, who returned to the track with a solid win at Worcester last month. That success was also his chase debut so we can expect more to come from this seven-year-old over the bigger obstacles, while she also gets a handy 7lbs mares’ allowance.
3.15 Aintree: The Nicky Henderson yard have a decent 23% record with their hurdlers at the track, plus won this race in 2015 too. With that in mind, their TOP NOTCH looks interesting. This versatile sort plies his trade over both fences and hurdles, but with fourteen wins from his twenty-seven starts has a cracking 52% winning strike-rate. Yes, he lost his way a bit at the end of last season but will return freshened-up and looks set to go well with Nico de Boinville, who is one-from-one on the horse, getting the leg-up.
3.35 Wincanton: Another competitive renewal of the Badger Beers Silver Trophy but it’s going to be hard for punters to ignore the winner of the race for the last two years – PRESENT MAN. This Paul Nicholls runner has taken this prize off a break twice in the past, so the 196-day absence isn’t a concern. Yes, he’s rated four-pounds higher this year, but with four course wins (plus three seconds) from ten visits then Wincanton is clearly a venue this nine -year-old loves. He can make a bold bid for win number three. More Badger Beers Trophy Trends here
(Pays £3,500 for a £10 stake)
Saturday Trends – Best Of The Rest
12.40 Wincanton: Trainer Paul Nicholls has won four of the last five runnings.
1.50 Wincanton: The Paul Nicholls yard have a 39% record with their hurdlers at the track.
3.00 Wincanton: Trainer Paul Nicholls has won four of the last ten runnings.
4.10 Wincanton: The Harry Fry yard have a 42% record with their NH Flat runners at the track.
2.05 Aintree: War Sound won the race in 2018.
12.10 Kelso: Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 32% record with his hurdlers at the track.
12.45 Kelso: The Neil Mulholland yard have a 67% record (2-from-3) with their chasers at the track.
1.20 Kelso: Jack Devine won this race in 2018.
2.30 Kelso: Chain Of Beacons won this race in 2017.
3.05 Kelso: Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 32% record with his hurdlers at the track.
12.30 Naas: Jockey Mark Walsh has ridden the last two winners
1.05 Naas: Trainer Willie Mullins has a 35% record with this chasers at the track.
2.50 Naas: Trainer Willie Mullins has won three of the last six runnings.
3.25 Naas: Trainer Noel Meade has won four of the last seven runnings.
5.40 Southwell: The Tony Carroll yard have a 27% record with their three-year-olds at the course.
7.40 Southwell: The Alexandra Dunn yard have a 21% record with their four-year-olds at the course.
Every LIVE Saturday race covered on ITV can be found on our ITV Racing Tips section, with runner-by-runner previews for each contest.