Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
23 hours ago
TAUNTON
28 November 2024
Trucksmith Loloader Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 7f 198y
- Going: Good To Soft
- Runners
- 10
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Pulled up on h'cap debut but glimpses of promise previously; not written off; yard debut
6743-P
Age: 6
Weight: 12-0
OR: 99
Days: 186
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 23.5f Sft | 5NvHcH | 11-13 | PU/4 | My Monty () | 100/30 | 99 | - |
| 14 Apr 24 | Her Hereford | 19.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-6 | 3/10 | Montecam (19L) | 9/1 | - | 94 |
| 30 Dec 23 | Tau Taunton | 19f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 4/14 | Centara (2¾L) | 40/1 | - | 94 |
| 24 Nov 23 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f Sft | 4MdH | 11-4 | 7/8 | Isaac Des Obeaux (34L) | 40/1 | - | 78 |
| 15 Oct 23 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f GS | 4MdNHF | 11-2 e/s1 | 6/7 | Doyen Quest (11½L) | 11/2 | - | 90 |
Pulled up on handicap debut here in March (2m) but dam won at up to 3m2f; no forlorn hope
493P-
Age: 5
Weight: 12-0
OR: 99
Days: 262
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 24 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f Sft | 4HcH | 10-12 | PU/12 | Tintintin () | 18/1 | 102 | - |
| 11 Feb 24 | Exe Exeter | 18.5f Hy | 2NvH | 11-2 | 3/8 | Absolute Steel (14½L) | 25/1 | - | 99 |
| 23 Jan 24 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f GS | 3MdH | 11-5 | 9/16 | Into The Park (22L) | 150/1 | - | 90 |
| 1 Jan 24 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f Hy | 4NvH | 10-12 | 4/10 | Storming Nelson (29L) | 20/1 | - | 82 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Pulled off/tailed off in his two handicaps but short odds each time; things may click soon
303P-9
Age: 5
Weight: 11-12
OR: 97
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f GS | 5NvHcH | 12-0 p1 | 9/15 | Lady Harriett (44L) | 3/1F | 100 | 65 |
| 3 Mar 24 | Hun Huntingdon | 25f Sft | 5HcH | 12-0 | PU/8 | Pipers Cross () | 11/4 | 100 | - |
| 1 Jan 24 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f Hy | 4NvH | 11-1 | 3/10 | Storming Nelson (16½L) | 17/2 | - | 92 |
| 14 Dec 23 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 11/14 | Fiercely Proud (39L) | 33/1 | - | 78 |
| 22 Nov 23 | Ffo Ffos Las | 16f Sft | 4MdH | 11-4 | 3/6 | Lump Sum (14½L) | 12/1 | - | 95 |
| 4 Nov 23 | Asc Ascot | 15.5f Sft | 3NHF | 11-2 | 8/11 | Celtic Dino (15L) | 8/1 | - | 95 |
His mark continues to fall but he's struggled; new headgear needs to have dramatic effect
PP-906
Age: 6
Weight: 11-5
OR: 90
Days: 43
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 24 | Wor Worcester | 20f Sft | 5HcH | 11-2 | 6/9 | Double Powerful (63L) | 14/1 | 93 | 51 |
| 11 Sep 24 | Wor Worcester | 23f Gd | 5HcH | 11-10 | 12/13 | The Bold Thady (84L) | 66/1 | 98 | 28 |
| 7 May 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 24f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-12 | 9/10 | Can't Say (104L) | 16/1 | 103 | 12 |
| 31 Mar 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Gd | 4NvHcH | 11-5 | PU/10 | Sea Invasion () | 20/1 | 106 | - |
| 11 Mar 24 | Tau Taunton | 16.5f Sft | 4HcH | 11-7 h1 | PU/12 | Tintintin () | 10/1 | 108 | - |
| 26 Dec 23 | Leo Leopardstown | 16f Y | NvHcH | 10-9 | 7/23 | Ataboycharlie (15½L) | 28/1 | 104 | 96 |
He may have needed his stable debut four weeks ago and a case can be made on March form
5946-9
Age: 6
Weight: 11-5
OR: 90
Days: 27
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Gd | 5HcCh | 11-1 | 9/13 | Pep Talking (30L) | 25/1 | 94 | 74 |
| 14 Apr 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Gd | 5HcH | 11-10 | 6/10 | Paddy De Pole (24L) | 15/2 | 96 | 83 |
| 24 Mar 24 | Asc Ascot | 23.5f Gd | 4NvHcH | 11-1 | 4/13 | Redbridge Rambler (10L) | 40/1 | 97 | 91 |
| 11 Mar 24 | Tau Taunton | 24f Sft | 5HcH | 11-6 | 9/14 | Lady Balko (28L) | 16/1 | 99 | 82 |
| 30 Dec 23 | Tau Taunton | 19f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 5/14 | Centara (3¼L) | 50/1 | - | 93 |
| 16 Nov 23 | Tau Taunton | 19f GS | 4MdH | 11-4 | 6/11 | Canty Bay (25L) | 40/1 | - | 90 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (30%)
Fair fourth on this month's handicap debut at Kempton and he could have more to offer
0P5-64
Age: 5
Weight: 11-3
OR: 88
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton | 24.5f Gd | 5NvHcH | 11-7 | 4/8 | Magical Arthur (13L) | 17/2 | 89 | 84 |
| 6 May 24 | Kem Kempton | 21f Gd | 4MdH | 11-4 | 6/8 | Ideal Des Bordes (29L) | 66/1 | - | 83 |
| 1 Apr 24 | Plu Plumpton | 20.5f Gd | 4MdH | 11-6 | 5/8 | Kaituna River (25L) | 25/1 | - | 83 |
| 9 Dec 23 | Ain Aintree | 17f Hy | 3NvH | 11-0 | PU/11 | Norman Fletcher () | 100/1 | - | - |
| 9 Nov 23 | Nby Newbury | 16.5f GS | 4NHF | 11-2 | 11/13 | Gentleman's Relish (26L) | 17/2 | - | 78 |
Dropping down the weights but pulled up on reappearance, so it's hard to be confident
P336-P
Age: 8
Weight: 11-0
OR: 85
Days: 28
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 22.5f GS | 5HcCh | 10-11 tp | PU/16 | Harrys Hope () | 33/1 | 87 | - |
| 16 Apr 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 19.5f Hy | 5NvHcCh | 11-5 tp | 6/7 | Pilgrims King (10L) | 25/1 | 91 | 91 |
| 7 Apr 24 | Exe Exeter | 24.5f Hy | 5HcChM | 11-0 tp1 | 3/11 | Cooleenymore (116L) | 9/1 | 91 | - |
| 8 Mar 24 | Exe Exeter | 24.5f Sft | 5HcCh | 11-7 t | 3/8 | Bampton Star (13L) | 28/1 | 93 | 90 |
| 26 Nov 23 | Exe Exeter | 21.5f GS | 5HcH | 11-12 t | PU/15 | Danton () | 100/1 | 98 | - |
| 12 Mar 23 | War Warwick | 21f Sft | 4HcH | 11-2 t | PU/8 | Cedar Row () | 22/1 | 103 | - |
0-14 but ran okay when sixth on recent stable debut and he may be able to build on that
475-P6
Age: 7
Weight: 10-10
OR: 81
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f GS | 5NvHcH | 10-11 h1 | 6/15 | Lady Harriett (16L) | 33/1 | 83 | 74 |
| 4 May 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 24f Sft | 5NvHcCh | 10-12 t | PU/10 | Higgs () | 20/1 | 78 | - |
| 11 Apr 24 | Tau Taunton | 23f Sft | 5HcCh | 10-11 t | 5/12 | Seymour Promise (16½L) | 9/1 | 83 | 76 |
| 9 Mar 24 | Her Hereford | 19.5f GS | 5NvHcH | 11-3 tp | 7/13 | Another Lord (29L) | 10/1 | 85 | 61 |
| 13 Feb 24 | Lin Lingfield | 23f Sft | 5HcH | 11-3 tp1 | 4/10 | Major Fortune (9½L) | 15/2 | 88 | 85 |
| 23 Jan 24 | Lei Leicester | 20f Sft | 5NvHcCh | 11-3 t | PU/10 | Natty Night () | 6/1 | 88 | - |
Makes handicap debut off lowly mark and over new trip, but he's shown little over hurdles
558P5
Age: 4
Weight: 10-6
OR: 79
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Gd | 3NvH | 10-7 | 5/6 | Sorceleur (43L) | 100/1 | - | 57 |
| 27 Oct 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Gd | 4MdH | 10-10 | PU/16 | Vaguely Royal () | 200/1 | - | - |
| 25 Jul 24 | Wor Worcester | 16f Gd | 4NvMdH | 11-0 | 8/11 | Ebony Warrior (37L) | 150/1 | - | 63 |
| 2 Jul 24 | Str Stratford | 16.5f GF | 5NHF | 10-9 | 5/8 | Ronnies Rules (18½L) | 7/1 | - | 81 |
| 14 Jun 24 | Nab Newton Abbot | 17f Gd | 4NHF | 10-6 | 5/8 | Alan De Banks (13L) | 11/1 | - | 80 |
Tailed off on all 3 starts but the step up in trip is an interesting move on h'cap debut
667-
Age: 7
Weight: 10-2
OR: 73
Days: 265
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 24 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f Sft | 4MdH | 10-12 | 7/9 | Pirates' Tale (42L) | 200/1 | - | 69 |
| 23 Feb 24 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f Hy | 4NvH | 10-9 | 6/8 | Spirits Bay (42L) | 100/1 | - | 62 |
| 31 Jan 24 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f GS | 4MdHM | 11-6 | 6/8 | Florencethemachine (74L) | 125/1 | - | 38 |
9
Misting
T: Neil King
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
0-657P
Age: 5
Weight: 10-8
OR: 79
Days: 166
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 23.5f GS | 5NvHcHM | 11-0 | PU/11 | Giulietta () | 40/1 | 81 | - |
| 30 May 24 | War Warwick | 19f Gd | 4MdH | 11-0 | 7/13 | Onlyamatteroftime (27L) | 150/1 | - | 76 |
| 18 May 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f GS | 4NvH | 10-10 | 5/9 | Miss Maverick (26L) | 150/1 | - | 76 |
| 6 May 24 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 4MdHM | 11-2 | 6/9 | Get Sky High (48L) | 80/1 | - | 66 |
| 11 Dec 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 16f St/Slw | 5NHF | 10-2 | 10/14 | My Louise (36L) | 200/1 | - | 58 |
| 20 Nov 23 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f GS | 4NHF | 10-9 | 11/12 | Dunskay (76L) | 33/1 | - | 35 |
Verdict
This may not take much winning and HONEY JACK, who was a fair fourth on his handicap debut at Kempton, is taken to come out on top.
Honey Jack
Betting Forecast:
5/2 Honey Jack,
4/1 Chauffeur Driven,
5/1 Native Moon,
7/1 Hi Riko,
8/1 Outside Adesa,
9/1 Diamatiste,
14/1 Ca Plane Pour Moi,
20/1 Inchagoill Lady,
Misting,
Confused Again,
25/1 Till You Can't
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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