Road to Cheltenham: It's too early to write off this 40/1 Ryanair Chase contender
18 hours ago
SOUTHWELL
26 November 2024
Golf And Gallop Package Mares' Handicap Chase (Class 5) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 3m 60y
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 6
- Type
- Chase Turf
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Sunny
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Running well over fences/hurdles at Perth in the summer; pulled up latest; new yard
-P444P
Age: 8
Weight: 12-0
OR: 100
Days: 41
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 24 | Pun Punchestown | 23f Gd/Y | HcCh | 11-1 | PU/12 | Pebble Bleu () | 11/1 | 99 | - |
| 17 Aug 24 | Per Perth | 24f Gd | 5HcH | 11-4 | 4/15 | Bullion Boss (1¾L) | 11/1 | 102 | 105 |
| 14 Jul 24 | Per Perth | 24f Gd | 3HcCh | 9-10 | 4/8 | Cap Du Nord (4¾L) | 11/1 | 102 | 105 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Per Perth | 20f Gd | 4HcCh | 10-13 | 4/6 | Planned Paradise (19L) | 20/1 | 102 | 102 |
| 16 Jun 24 | Dpt Downpatrick | 19f Gd | HcHM | 11-1 | PU/10 | Hidden Land () | 25/1 | 99 | - |
| 20 Dec 23 | Ayr Ayr | 21.5f Sft | 4HcH | 10-11 t1 | PU/7 | Cream Of The West () | 18/1 | 105 | - |
Solid form for the level; good 3rd over 2m6f latest; should stay 3m; closely involved
P56213
Age: 6
Weight: 11-9
OR: 95
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 22.5f GS | 5HcCh | 11-1 | 3/16 | Harrys Hope (3½L) | 4/1 | 94 | 99 |
| 24 Sep 24 | War Warwick | 20f GS | 5HcCh | 11-7 | 1/13 | School For Scandal (shd) | 9/2 | 88 | 101 |
| 30 Aug 24 | Fon Fontwell | 21.5f Gd | 5NvHcCh | 11-10 | 2/10 | Belgarum (9½L) | 11/1 | 88 | 95 |
| 20 Jul 24 | Crt Cartmel | 17.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 11-1 | 6/10 | Sword Of Fate (6½L) | 14/1 | 90 | 92 |
| 8 Jun 24 | Ban Bangor-on-Dee | 20.5f Gd | 5HcChM | 10-13 | 5/10 | Fancy Stuff (16L) | 14/1 | 93 | 87 |
| 19 May 24 | Str Stratford | 17f Gd | 5NvHcCh | 11-11 | PU/10 | Dusky Days () | 10/1 | 97 | - |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 16 wins from 57 in the last 14 days (28%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 15 wins from 52 in the last 14 days (29%)
Improving over fences and had things her own way over 2m6f last week; good claims
-66731
Age: 6
Weight: 10-8
OR: 73
Days: 8
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 24 | Lei Leicester | 22.5f GF | 5HcChM | 10-2 tp | 1/8 | Hey Day Baby (13L) | 11/4F | 73 | 89 |
| 19 Oct 24 | Str Stratford | 22.5f Hy | 5HcCh | 10-6 tp | 3/12 | Aworkinprogress (6¼L) | 12/1 | 74 | 78 |
| 6 Oct 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 24f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-11 tp1 | 7/12 | Ballyrashane (12½L) | 12/1 | 78 | 73 |
| 8 Sep 24 | Fon Fontwell | 22f GS | 5HcHM | 10-8 t1 | 6/9 | State Of Honor (39L) | 10/1 | 81 | 54 |
| 11 May 24 | War Warwick | 16f Gd | 4MdH | 10-8 | 6/9 | El Curamach (34L) | 25/1 | - | 64 |
| 7 Mar 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 15f Hy | 4NvHM | 10-11 | 6/10 | Emily's Choice (22L) | 20/1 | - | 70 |
w2
Wind Op - Second run after wind operation
Hurdle wins at 2m/3m1f; pulled up on latest chase start in January and over hurdles in May
5P86-P
Age: 8
Weight: 10-5
OR: 77
Days: 204
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 24 | War Warwick | 25f Gd | 5HcH | 10-2 | PU/14 | Newtonian () | 6/1 | 81 | - |
| 19 Mar 24 | Wet Wetherby | 24f Sft | 5HcH | 10-3 | 6/9 | Kinder Kid (13½L) | 4/1 | 81 | 77 |
| 7 Feb 24 | Sed Sedgefield | 27f Sft | 5HcH | 10-12 | 8/11 | Dillarchie (35L) | 15/2 | 84 | 57 |
| 11 Jan 24 | Cat Catterick | 25.5f Sft | 5NvHcCh | 10-12 | PU/11 | Time For A Pint () | 5/1 | 84 | - |
| 19 Dec 23 | Cat Catterick | 19.5f GS | 5HcHM | 11-3 | 5/14 | Mistral Nell (14L) | 3/1F | 85 | 81 |
| 23 Nov 23 | Ncs Newcastle | 23.5f Sft | 5HcH | 10-11 | 2/10 | Tune In A Box (9½L) | 13/2 | 85 | 85 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 7 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (26%)
Has won and gone close in just two C&D starts; weighted to be involved back here
3342P4
Age: 8
Weight: 10-3
OR: 75
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 24 | War Warwick | 25.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-6 tp | 4/10 | Jony Max (13L) | 14/1 | 76 | 74 |
| 23 Sep 24 | Sed Sedgefield | 26.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-4 tp | PU/6 | Chemical Warfare () | 17/2 | 78 | - |
| 17 Aug 24 | Mar Market Rasen | 21.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-12 tp | 2/11 | Hey Day Baby (12L) | 8/1 | 78 | 80 |
| 26 Jun 24 | Wor Worcester | 23f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-11 tp | 4/14 | Head On (21L) | 17/2 | 78 | 74 |
| 11 Jun 24 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-4 tp | 3/9 | Prince Cleni (1¾L) | 7/1 | 76 | 81 |
| 8 May 24 | Fon Fontwell | 26f Gd | 5HcCh | 10-6 tp | 3/12 | River Tyne (16½L) | 33/1 | 78 | 74 |
Has course form but lightly raced now and was pulled up on chase debut; 3lb wrong
32-65P
Age: 7
Weight: 10-2
OR: 71
Days: 30
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 24 | Wcn Wincanton | 20f Gd | 5NvHcCh | 10-2 p | PU/12 | Camino Rocio () | 20/1 | 74 | - |
| 24 Sep 24 | War Warwick | 19f GS | 5HcHM | 9-9 p | 5/11 | Apples Moon (17L) | 18/1 | 74 | 63 |
| 17 Jul 24 | Utt Uttoxeter | 20f Sft | 5HcH | 10-2 | 6/9 | Ten Ten Twenty (30L) | 11/1 | 74 | 56 |
| 18 Jul 23 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f GS | 5HcHM | 10-2 p | 2/8 | Sunshine Girl (1½L) | 7/1 | 74 | 73 |
| 12 Jun 23 | Sth Southwell | 20.5f Gd | 5HcHM | 9-13 p1 | 3/8 | Midnight Gold (26L) | 20/1 | 76 | 60 |
| 6 Apr 23 | Her Hereford | 19.5f GS | 5HcHM | 10-8 | 9/10 | Kalpaga (56L) | 50/1 | 80 | 38 |
3
D
Shesupincourt
T: Ryan Potter
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
P8-053
Age: 7
Weight: 10-13
OR: 85
Days: 8
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 24 | Lei Leicester | 22.5f GF | 5HcChM | 11-0 p | 3/8 | Northern Reel (14L) | 11/1 | 85 | 87 |
| 6 Nov 24 | Chp Chepstow | 23.5f Gd | 4HcCh | 10-5 | 5/10 | Idefix De Ciergues (15L) | 16/1 | 86 | 85 |
| 13 Oct 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 24f GS | 5HcH | 11-4 | 10/13 | I'm On My Way (71L) | 28/1 | 88 | 27 |
| 26 Mar 24 | Tau Taunton | 24f Sft | 5HcHM | 11-4 p | 8/10 | Tuscan Rose (85L) | 12/1 | 90 | 9 |
| 18 Feb 24 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f Hy | 5HcHM | 12-0 | PU/6 | Innisfree Lass () | 4/1 | 90 | - |
| 2 Feb 24 | Sth Southwell | 24.5f GS | 5HcHM | 11-1 | 2/9 | Tequila Blaze (9L) | 10/1 | 91 | 82 |
Verdict
This will be more competitive than at Leicester last week but NORTHERN REEL won in good style and can get the better of Smurfette.
Northern Reel
Betting Forecast:
8/15 Northern Reel,
4/1 Smurfette,
12/1 Shesupincourt,
Bella Ciao,
14/1 Eightytwo Team,
16/1 Just Jess,
20/1 Nowinittowinit
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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