'She's clearly going the right way' - ITV Outsiders for Friday including a 40/1 shot
13 hours ago
EPSOM
29 September 2024
Betfred 'Pickyourpunt' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 4) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 1m 2f 17y
- Going: Heavy
- Runners
- 7
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (4%)
Did well to win at Goodwood; Forest Gate (2nd) has 7lb swing but this is a useful prospect
61
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
OR: -
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sep 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | 4Nv | 9-4 | 1/10 | Forest Gate (1¼L) | 7/2 | - | 87 |
| 15 Jun 24 | San Sandown | 10f GS | 2Md | 9-3 | 6/13 | Prague (7¾L) | 18/1 | - | 73 |
Sir Lowry's Pass overhauled him late on at Goodwood (1m2f, good); has 7lb swing with him
322
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: 82
Days: 26
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sep 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Gd | 4Nv | 9-4 | 2/10 | Sir Lowry's Pass (1¼L) | 7/1 | - | 84 |
| 11 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f GS | 43yNv | 9-4 | 2/8 | Vanish (2L) | 10/1 | - | 84 |
| 4 Jun 24 | Lei Leicester | 8f GS | 4Md | 9-5 | 3/13 | So Deuce (7L) | 8/1 | - | 66 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 29 in the last 14 days (3%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (26%)
Others have better form but he looks sure to improve, with this longer trip surely a help
3
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 10
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 24 | Pon Pontefract | 8f GF | 5Md | 9-7 t1 | 3/6 | With Style (5L) | 4/1 | - | 73 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 9 wins from 29 in the last 14 days (31%)
Stoutly bred; 100-1 and always behind for novice at Kempton (1m, AW) in February
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: -
Days: 214
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | 5Nv | 8-7 | 11/12 | Suspicion (14½L) | 100/1 | - | 51 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 9 wins from 29 in the last 14 days (31%)
Modest form on debut (7f, AW) and not so good at Ffos Las (1m, heavy) later in August
66
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: -
Days: 30
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 24 | Ffo Ffos Las | 8f Hy | 5MdF | 9-2 | 6/9 | Native Souvenir (15½L) | 28/1 | - | 46 |
| 14 Aug 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 5NvF | 9-2 | 6/9 | Raheena (9¾L) | 18/1 | - | 58 |
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 9 wins from 29 in the last 14 days (31%)
Carlisle second (1m3f, soft) last time; switches headgear; should be seriously involved
4-3692
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: 77
Days: 18
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 24 | Crl Carlisle | 11f Sft | 5Md | 9-2 p | 2/14 | South Pole (¾L) | 5/6F | 79 | 79 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Hay Haydock | 14f Gd | 23yHc | 8-11 p1 | 9/13 | Align The Stars (10L) | 11/1 | 80 | 74 |
| 14 Jun 24 | San Sandown | 10f GF | 43yHc | 9-10 | 6/9 | Travolta (7¼L) | 3/1F | 81 | 79 |
| 17 May 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f Gd | 43yMd | 9-2 | 3/11 | Hosaamm (1¼L) | 8/1 | - | 79 |
| 18 Nov 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 10f St | 52yMd | 9-2 | 4/12 | Alacrity (4¾L) | 15/8F | - | 63 |
| 15 Oct 23 | Goo Goodwood | 9f Sft | 42yNv | 9-2 | 3/7 | Black Run (2L) | 5/1 | - | 75 |
Second from off the pace at Goodwood (1m2f, soft) on latest start; big form chance
3-3672
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
OR: 80
Days: 35
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 10f Sft | 23yMdF | 9-2 h | 2/9 | Estrange (5½L) | 4/1 | 78 | 82 |
| 6 Jun 24 | Hay Haydock | 10f Gd | 4MdF | 9-2 h1 | 7/13 | Power Of Destiny (5½L) | 17/2 | 84 | 67 |
| 8 May 24 | Chs Chester | 11.5f Gd | 3yLF | 9-2 | 6/6 | Forest Fairy (7¼L) | 7/1 | - | 82 |
| 19 Apr 24 | Nby Newbury | 10f GS | 43yMdF | 9-2 | 3/14 | Sinology (¾L) | 100/30 | - | 77 |
| 15 Sep 23 | Don Doncaster | 7f Sft | 22yMdF | 9-2 | 3/11 | Circe (1¾L) | 11/2 | - | 73 |
Verdict
Five of these look in serious contention but SIR LOWRY'S PASS, despite his penalty, is taken to follow up his Goodwood win.
Sir Lowry's Pass
Betting Forecast:
3/1 Lasting Love,
Forest Gate,
7/2 Sir Lowry's Pass,
Games People Play,
5/1 Rickshaw,
33/1 Angel Rose,
66/1 Trapper John
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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