‘It could be a great day for the Gredley family’ – ITV outsiders for Friday at Newmarket
18 hours ago
NEWMARKET
27 September 2024
Friday 27th September
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (Class 1) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Soft
- Runners
- 7
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
- Stalls
- Centre
- Weather
- Rain
Selection
Selection
Selected At
Ecstatic
Selected at:
7/2
Impressive maiden winner over 7.5f at Tipperary on fast ground in August. She failed to back that up in the Group 2 May Hill at Doncaster but she’s the choice of Ryan Moore. Respected.
Bookmaker
Offer
Best Odds
Bet Here
7/2
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 16 wins from 64 in the last 14 days (25%)
Ran creditably, amid traffic issues, at Leopardstown last time; enters calculations
413
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 13
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 7f Gd | 2yLF | 9-2 | 3/9 | Chantez (1L) | 9/4 | - | 90 |
| 30 Jul 24 | Gal Galway | 7f Y | 2yMdF | 9-2 | 1/13 | Lady Mairen (5L) | 13/8F | - | 92 |
| 11 Jul 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 7f Gd | 2yMdF | 8-9 | 4/14 | Exactly (4L) | 16/1 | - | 81 |
Gives the impression this step up to 7f may prompt a higher level of form; hood on
15
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: 90
Days: 62
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 6f GF | 2yG3F | 9-2 | 5/8 | Simmering (2¾L) | 14/1 | - | 87 |
| 4 Jul 24 | Hay Haydock | 6f Gd | 32yMdF | 9-2 | 1/9 | Ecology (1½L) | 4/1 | - | 83 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Brings progressive 7f form; ran well in Goodwood Group 3 most recently; solid chance
412
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: 96
Days: 34
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 7f Sft | 2yG3F | 9-2 | 2/7 | Anshoda (1¾L) | 10/1 | - | 92 |
| 12 Aug 24 | Ayr Ayr | 7f Gd | 42yNvF | 9-2 | 1/5 | Shining Pearl (2¾L) | 10/11F | - | 84 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 7f Gd | 32yMdF | 9-2 | 4/10 | Desert Flower (7L) | 7/1 | - | 74 |
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 11 wins from 43 in the last 14 days (26%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 16 wins from 64 in the last 14 days (25%)
May Hill effort suggests this drop back in trip will suit; should do better still
315
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 8f Gd | 2yG2F | 9-2 | 5/9 | Desert Flower (4¼L) | 13/2 | - | 94 |
| 9 Aug 24 | Tip Tipperary | 7.5f GF | 2yMdF | 9-2 | 1/15 | Lush Lips (3¼L) | 2/1 | - | 86 |
| 18 Jul 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 8f Gd | 2yMdF | 9-2 | 3/7 | Swelter (4¼L) | 3/1 | - | 77 |
D
2 x Distance Winner - Won 2 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (28%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (25%)
Well-bred filly who has recorded two comfortable wins and looks a smart prospect
11
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: 93
Days: 17
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 24 | Lei Leicester | 7f Sft | 42yNvF | 9-8 | 1/12 | Starlit Spice (2½L) | 8/13F | - | 87 |
| 25 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 7f GF | 42yMdF | 9-2 | 1/7 | Glistening (1¼L) | 6/1 | - | 84 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Came up short in the May Hill and has something to prove in another Group 2
117
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: 87
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 24 | Don Doncaster | 8f Gd | 2yG2F | 9-2 | 7/9 | Desert Flower (7¾L) | 80/1 | 84 | 86 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 8f Sft | 22yNvF | 9-8 | 1/7 | Manila Thriller (nk) | 5/2J | - | 86 |
| 11 Jul 24 | Crl Carlisle | 7f GS | 52yMdF | 9-2 | 1/6 | Lady Chartwell (¾L) | 13/8F | - | 76 |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 27 in the last 14 days (4%)
Won with a bit to spare at Newbury ten weeks ago; brings potential to this race
1
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: 70
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 24 | Nby Newbury | 6f Gd | 42yMdF | 9-2 | 1/10 | Montrachet Girl (1L) | 100/30 | - | 79 |
Verdict
Highly promising FORMAL is taken to give the soon-retiring Sir Michael Stoute a fourth Rockfel win. Duty First is second choice.
Formal
Betting Forecast:
5/4 Formal,
7/2 Ecstatic,
4/1 Bubbling,
6/1 Duty First,
14/1 Definitive,
16/1 Troia,
33/1 Serving With Style
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