HK flag HAPPY VALLEY
15 November 2023
Wednesday 15th November

HK

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Nakayama Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf) Racecard

  • Channel: SKY
  • Distance: 5f
  • Going: Good
Runners
8

Type
Flat

Surface
Turf

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(7)
Harmony N Blessed silk
CD
C
Harmony N Blessed tb
J: Angus Chung
T: David A Hayes
CD
4 x C&D Winner - Won 4 times before on this course at this distance
C
5 x Course Winner - Won 5 times before at this course
Four-time C&D winner; found life tough recently off this mark and has something to find
513221
Age: 7
Weight: 9-9
OR: 80
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
4 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 9-9 tb 5/9 Heroic Master (3¾L) 4/1 80 81
13 Sep 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-4 tb 1/11 Humble Star (shd) 71/10 75 85
12 Jul 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 9-4 tb 3/12 Seasons Wit (¾L) 5/2 75 84
7 Jun 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-12 tb 2/10 Seasons Wit (1L) 39/10 74 84
24 May 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-3 tb 2/10 Seasons Wit (shd) 66/10 72 82
26 Apr 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-10 tb 1/11 Seasons Wit (½L) 462/100 67 80
2
(4)
Explosive Witness silk
CD
D
Explosive Witness
J: C Y Ho
T: C Fownes
CD
3 x C&D Winner - Won 3 times before on this course at this distance
D
4 x Distance Winner - Won 4 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 31 in the last 14 days (3%)
Veteran is not one to rely on these days although often runs respectably in defeat
344572
Age: 9
Weight: 9-4
OR: 75
Days: 14
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Nov 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-8 3/7 Majestic Knight (3½L) 81/10 75 86
22 Oct 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-7 4/13 Invincible Sage (2L) 10/1 76 84
4 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 9-6 4/9 Heroic Master (1¾L) 41/10 77 85
24 Sep 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-8 5/14 Sparkling Knight (2½L) 9/1 78 87
13 Sep 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-8 7/11 Harmony N Blessed (4¼L) 11/1 79 74
12 Jul 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 9-9 2/12 Seasons Wit (shd) 42/1 80 92
3
(2)
Run Run Cool silk
D
Run Run Cool e/s
J: Luke Currie
T: F C Lor
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 11 in the last 14 days (0%)
Yet to finish in the first three here; reduced mark but the percentage call is to oppose
008632
Age: 6
Weight: 9-2
OR: 73
Days: 31
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
15 Oct 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f Gd Hc 9-7 e/s 10/14 Lucky Encounter (6¼L) 102/1 75 68
24 Sep 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-7 e/s 11/14 Sparkling Knight (6¾L) 47/10F 77 70
1 Jul 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 8-13 e/s 8/13 Dream Winner (4¼L) 42/1 79 81
10 Jun 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-9 e/s 6/8 Dream Winner (5¼L) 22/1 80 79
28 May 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 8-6 e/s 3/8 Stoltz (1¼L) 23/5 80 86
21 May 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-8 e/s 2/11 Ka Ying Spirit (½L) 35/1 79 89
4
(6)
Humble Star silk
C
Humble Star t
J: Zac Purton
T: P C Ng
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 28 in the last 14 days (29%)
Looks to have the measure of a couple of these rivals on these terms; leading contender
232680
Age: 5
Weight: 8-9
OR: 66
Days: 14
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Nov 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-13 t 2/7 Majestic Knight (3½L) 21/10 66 77
4 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 8-9 t 3/9 Heroic Master (1L) 17/10F 66 77
13 Sep 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-7 t 2/11 Harmony N Blessed (shd) 14/1 64 74
12 Jul 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 8-9 t 6/12 Seasons Wit (2½L) 31/1 66 69
3 May 23 Hap Happy Valley 6f Gd Hc 8-13 t 8/12 Hoss (4¾L) 79/10 68 66
29 Mar 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f Sl Hc 8-13 t 12/12 Youthful Deal (17½L) 11/1 70 30
5
(1)
Kyrus Dragon silk
Kyrus Dragon h
J: Brenton Avdulla
T: D J Hall
Dual winner in Australia; low-key start to Hong Kong career and likely to need more time
767-43
Age: 4
Weight: 8-9
OR: 66
Days: 17
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
29 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 6f Gd Hc 8-10 h1 7/12 Golden Artie (2½L) 49/1 67 69
4 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 8-10 6/9 Heroic Master (3¾L) 66/1 67 68
6
(5)
Atomic Energy silk
CD
Atomic Energy t
J: Alexis Badel
T: A S Cruz
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 31 in the last 14 days (3%)
Won twice over C&D in March/April and likely more to come after only eight runs; chances
043112
Age: 4
Weight: 8-8
OR: 65
Days: 137
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
1 Jul 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 8-2 t 10/13 Dream Winner (5¼L) 33/1 65 63
7 Jun 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 7-10 t 4/10 Seasons Wit (3L) 12/5 65 68
24 May 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-2 t 3/10 Seasons Wit (½L) 10/1 64 72
12 Apr 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-0 t 1/11 G One Excellent (nk) 5/1 58 70
22 Mar 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 8-9 t 1/12 Momentum Galaxy (shd) 31/10 53 67
15 Feb 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f GF Hc 8-6 t 2/11 G One Excellent (nk) 14/1 51 64
7
(8)
Fortune Warrior silk
CD
Fortune Warrior p
J: Karis Teetan
T: P C Ng
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 28 in the last 14 days (29%)
Up 5lb for first local success (C&D) but has scope for further progress at this level
169300
Age: 4
Weight: 8-3
OR: 60
Days: 7
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
8 Nov 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-7 p 1/12 Super Fast Dragon (shd) 6/1 55 67
29 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-6 p 6/12 Mr Valiant (2½L) 18/1 57 62
10 Sep 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f Y Hc 9-7 p 9/9 Super Winner (11L) 6/4F 58 43
9 Jul 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f GF Hc 9-2 p 3/12 Lucky Quality (1¼L) 64/1 58 63
28 May 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f Gd Hc 7-13 p 12/12 Bundle Of Charm (10½L) 152/1 60 39
30 Apr 23 Sha Sha Tin 6f Gd Hc 8-8 p 12/14 Reward Smile (6¾L) 246/1 62 52
8
(3)
Super Commander silk
CD
Super Commander tv
J: Antoine Hamelin
T: P C Ng
CD
4 x C&D Winner - Won 4 times before on this course at this distance
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 8 wins from 28 in the last 14 days (29%)
Class 4 C&D winner end of last season; likely to need a career best to win off this mark
623701
Age: 7
Weight: 8-5
OR: 60
Days: 4
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
11 Nov 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 8-3 tv 6/10 Invincible Sage (5¾L) 16/5 60 51
22 Oct 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 8-5 tv 2/13 Invincible Sage (1¼L) 11/1 60 71
15 Oct 23 Sha Sha Tin 5f Gd Hc 9-2 tv 3/14 Summit Cheers (1¼L) 17/1 60 70
11 Oct 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-7 tv 7/12 Happy Day (2½L) 14/1 60 64
13 Sep 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-9 tv 12/12 Kowloon East Star (8¼L) 54/10 60 49
17 May 23 Hap Happy Valley 5f Gd Hc 9-5 tv 1/12 Savvy Delight (¾L) 705/100 55 71
Verdict

5yo HUMBLE STAR has the beating of a few of these foes on these terms and can land a deserved success.

Verdict silk image
Humble Star

Betting Forecast:

5/2 Humble Star,

4/1 Harmony N Blessed,

Explosive Witness,

Atomic Energy,

8/1 Fortune Warrior,

10/1 Super Commander,

12/1 Kyrus Dragon,

16/1 Run Run Cool

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