ITV Aintree Outsiders: Adrian picks out three horses who look overpriced
6 hours ago
WOLVERHAMPTON (AW)
14 November 2023
Tuesday 14th November
Fairyhouse Tips
ABANDONED
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- Channel:
- Distance: 7f 36y
- Going: Standard
- Runners
- 12
- Type
- All Weather
- Surface
- Tapeta
- Stalls
- Outside
- Weather
- Showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Beaten 20l and 34l in two 7f races, the latest on Polytrack at Chelmsford
78
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 52yNv | 9-4 | 8/8 | Louis Quatorze (34L) | 150/1 | - | - |
| 25 Sep 23 | Lei Leicester | 7f GS | 32yMd | 9-7 | 7/8 | Ambiente Friendly (20L) | 50/1 | - | 38 |
Not obviously progressive but he's gone down by only a neck in three of his five starts
52532
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: 80
Days: 13
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St | 52yMd | 9-4 | 2/7 | Placo (nk) | 4/1 | 78 | 81 |
| 14 Oct 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 52yMd | 9-7 | 3/5 | Spun To Gold (nk) | 3/1 | 78 | 81 |
| 22 Sep 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 22yNv | 9-4 | 5/11 | Olympic Candle (2½L) | 5/1 | - | 75 |
| 1 Sep 23 | Sal Salisbury | 6f GS | 42yNv | 9-7 | 2/11 | Solar Aclaim (nk) | 11/10F | - | 80 |
| 22 Jul 23 | Nby Newbury | 6f Gd | 42yNv | 9-2 | 5/10 | Sketch (7L) | 5/1 | - | 64 |
40,000gns yearling; sixth foal; closely related to 7f-1m winner Montatham (RPR 114)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: -
Off since finishing sixth at Newmarket about three months ago in a 7f maiden (7f; 18-1)
6
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 95
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 23 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 7f Gd | 42yMd | 9-7 | 6/10 | Ghostwriter (8¼L) | 18/1 | - | 64 |
In touch before getting outpaced and finishing a 3.75l fourth at Lingfield (7f AW; 10-1)
4
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 19
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 23 | Lin Lingfield (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 52yNv | 9-4 | 4/8 | Christian David (3¾L) | 10/1 | - | 74 |
Third foal; half-brother to French 1m AW winner Big Log; dam 1m/9.4f AW winner
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: -
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 14 in the last 14 days (0%)
Improved 4th over 6f here recently; sprint bred and will need to see out this longer trip
74
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f St | 52yMd | 9-7 | 4/9 | Engineer (2½L) | 125/1 | - | 76 |
| 29 Sep 23 | Hay Haydock | 6f Sft | 42yMd | 9-2 | 7/8 | Global Skies (20L) | 50/1 | - | 20 |
No better than fifth in two AW runs at this trip; looks best watched for now
57
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 21
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 23 | Wol Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f St | 52yMd | 9-5 | 7/10 | Serengeti Sunrise (7½L) | 100/30 | - | 50 |
| 14 Aug 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 42yMd | 9-5 | 5/10 | Caelan (7¾L) | 14/1 | - | 51 |
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 11 wins from 34 in the last 14 days (32%)
It's been a low-key start thus far, beaten about 12l in two 7f novices
48
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 15
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 23 | Ncs Newcastle (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 | 8/12 | Venture Capital (11½L) | 11/1 | - | 53 |
| 5 Oct 23 | Sal Salisbury | 7f Sft | 42yNv | 9-7 | 4/7 | Ten Bob Tony (12L) | 9/1 | - | 57 |
Others have achieved superior figures and he needs this to get a handicap mark
55
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
OR: -
Days: 12
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 52yNv | 9-4 | 5/8 | Louis Quatorze (5½L) | 18/1 | - | 66 |
| 19 Oct 23 | Cfd Chelmsford (AW) | 7f St | 52yNv | 9-7 | 5/7 | Whip Cracker (12L) | 15/2 | - | 54 |
Well bred; in a top yard and likely best to let the market guide
Form:
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
OR: -
Days: -
Verdict
Another chance is given to DEBORA'S DREAM who has gone close in three of his five starts, with his latest effort perhaps his best yet.
Debora's Dream
Betting Forecast:
3/1 Debora's Dream,
7/2 Galloping On,
9/2 King Street,
7/1 Eastern Dream,
Alvesta,
10/1 Reine Des Coeurs,
12/1 Formidable Force,
14/1 Road To Wembley,
Wide Margin,
20/1 Viridian,
100/1 Away Day,
Harlington
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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