ITV Aintree Outsiders: Adrian picks out three horses who look overpriced
6 hours ago
EXETER
10 November 2023
Friday 10th November
Fontwell Tips
ABANDONED
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Betway 'Future Stars' Silver Bowl Novices' Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 3m 54y
- Going: Good To Soft
- Runners
- 5
- Type
- Chase Turf
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Scattered showers
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 6 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (38%)
Beat a multiple point winner by some 9l in a maiden hunter chase at Down Royal in May
1
Age: 6
Weight: 11-7
OR: -
Days: 193
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 May 23 | Dro Down Royal | 23f Y | MdHntCh | 11-7 | 1/10 | Focus Point (9L) | 10/1 | - | 128 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Grade 2 winner over hurdles; promising chaser and stable has a good record in this novice
2111F-
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: 141
Days: 210
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr 23 | Ain Aintree | 24.5f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-8 | F/15 | Apple Away () | 5/1 | 141 | - |
| 14 Jan 23 | War Warwick | 21f Hy | NvHG2 | 11-2 | 1/7 | Ginny's Destiny (5L) | 9/2 | 129 | 143 |
| 26 Dec 22 | Kem Kempton | 21f Sft | 3HcH | 11-0 | 1/15 | Bourbali (1½L) | 5/4F | 123 | 130 |
| 2 Dec 22 | Exe Exeter | 16.5f GS | 4NvH | 11-0 | 1/17 | Lallygag (1¼L) | 1/2F | - | 119 |
| 5 Nov 22 | Ain Aintree | 20f GS | 3NvH | 11-0 | 2/7 | Man At Work (1¼L) | 10/11F | - | 121 |
| 7 Mar 22 | Wet Wetherby | 16f Hy | 5NHF | 11-10 | 1/3 | Saint Patric (5½L) | 30/100F | - | 123 |
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 1 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (4%)
Didn't hang about over hurdles despite winning; impressive winner of only point
512-
Age: 5
Weight: 11-2
OR: 125
Days: 234
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 23 | Wet Wetherby | 19.5f Sft | 4NvH | 11-9 | 2/5 | Springwell Bay (1¾L) | 5/2 | - | 119 |
| 22 Dec 22 | Ffo Ffos Las | 20f Sft | 4NvH | 11-0 | 1/14 | Firestream (6L) | 16/1 | - | 126 |
| 2 Nov 22 | Chp Chepstow | 19.5f GS | 4MdH | 11-3 | 5/14 | Knowsley Road (9L) | 12/1 | - | 110 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Grade 1 novice hurdle winner and sky looks the limit over fences; schooled well
1214-
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: 147
Days: 210
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr 23 | Ain Aintree | 24.5f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-8 t | 4/15 | Apple Away (4¼L) | 4/1 | 148 | 146 |
| 17 Mar 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | NvHG1 | 11-7 t | 1/20 | Affordale Fury (1L) | 18/1 | 136 | 151 |
| 28 Jan 23 | Don Doncaster | 24.5f Gd | NvHG2 | 11-0 t | 2/10 | Maximilian (1L) | 5/2F | - | 138 |
| 25 Nov 22 | Nby Newbury | 20.5f Gd | 3NvH | 11-0 t1 | 1/10 | Heezer Geezer (5L) | 15/8F | - | 130 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (0%)
Ran to a useful level over hurdles (mostly handicaps) and bred to make a chaser
22282-
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
OR: 132
Days: 216
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Apr 23 | Hay Haydock | 24.5f GS | 2HcH | 11-9 | 2/15 | Tiger Jet (3¼L) | 9/2 | 128 | 131 |
| 16 Mar 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HcHG3 | 10-9 | 8/23 | Good Time Jonny (5L) | 18/1 | 128 | 128 |
| 18 Feb 23 | Hay Haydock | 24.5f GS | 2HcH | 11-1 | 2/9 | Johnson's Blue (1½L) | 4/1F | 126 | 128 |
| 27 Jan 23 | Hun Huntingdon | 25f GS | 2HcH | 10-13 | 2/12 | Itchy Feet (1¼L) | 11/4F | 123 | 127 |
| 30 Dec 22 | Tau Taunton | 24f GS | 3HcH | 11-7 | 2/13 | Apple Rock (½L) | 3/1 | 118 | 124 |
| 20 Nov 22 | Utt Uttoxeter | 23.5f Sft | 3HcH | 10-8 | 1/5 | Eyeofthescorpion (4¼L) | 10/11F | 109 | 121 |
Verdict
All five are exciting but STAY AWAY FAY had the highest honours over hurdles and he's reported to have schooled like a dream.
Stay Away Fay
Betting Forecast:
4/5 Stay Away Fay,
7/4 Grey Dawning,
8/1 The Changing Man,
14/1 Hurricane Highway,
20/1 Ballydesmond
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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